NFL Final Intelligence
Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers β Recap
October 4, 2026 Β· Raymond James Stadium Β· View Preview
Game Recap
Green Bay secured a narrow victory, establishing a lead with a strong second quarter and adding to it in the third before ultimately fending off a late Tampa Bay rally. The Packers' offense, highlighted by Jordan Love's two touchdown passes, built a 10-point advantage that proved insurmountable for the Buccaneers.
The scoring opened in the second quarter when Jordan Love connected with Matthew Golden for a 2-yard touchdown, giving Green Bay the initial lead. Tampa Bay quickly responded, tying the game on a 2-yard rush by Sean Tucker. However, Green Bay reclaimed the advantage just before halftime with a long 58-yard field goal from Trey Smack. The Packers then extended their lead in the third quarter as Love found Tucker Kraft for another 2-yard touchdown pass. Tampa Bay mounted a fourth-quarter push, with Jalon Daniels throwing a 10-yard touchdown to Kenny Gainwell, bringing them within three points, but they were unable to score again.
Green Bay's pivotal scoring burst in the second and early third quarters ultimately dictated the game's outcome. After Tampa Bay tied the score, Trey Smack's 58-yard field goal provided a crucial three points heading into halftime. Jordan Love's second touchdown pass to Tucker Kraft early in the third quarter then established a 17-7 lead, giving the Packers a comfortable cushion. While the Buccaneers tightened the contest late, they couldn't overcome this double-digit deficit, which was built largely by Love's consistent passing, accounting for both of Green Bay's touchdowns. The pregame market and SportsFBI's model both favored Green Bay, a prediction that proved correct.
The Packers' ability to generate scoring drives and maintain composure when the Buccaneers attempted a comeback ultimately secured their victory. Their early offensive efficiency, particularly in the air, provided just enough margin to hold off Tampa Bay's late challenge. Green Bay now stands at 2-2, while Tampa Bay remains winless at 0-4.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Green Bay Packers (-125, 53% implied) over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Final: the Green Bay Packers won 17β14.
SportsFBI's model favored the Green Bay Packers (64% confidence). Final: the Green Bay Packers won 17β14.
Standouts
Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
Biggest Quarter
The Green Bay Packers scored 10 points in the 2nd quarter β the biggest single quarter of the game.
More NFL Results β Sunday, October 4, 2026
























Sharper Picks Start Here
Live odds, Key Suspects, player props, DFS rankings, and real-time game tracking β all in one workspace built for serious bettors and DFS players.

