NFL Final Intelligence

GB 2-2
17 – 14
FINAL
TB 1-4

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers β€” Recap

October 4, 2026  Β· Raymond James Stadium  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

Green Bay secured a narrow victory, establishing a lead with a strong second quarter and adding to it in the third before ultimately fending off a late Tampa Bay rally. The Packers' offense, highlighted by Jordan Love's two touchdown passes, built a 10-point advantage that proved insurmountable for the Buccaneers.

The scoring opened in the second quarter when Jordan Love connected with Matthew Golden for a 2-yard touchdown, giving Green Bay the initial lead. Tampa Bay quickly responded, tying the game on a 2-yard rush by Sean Tucker. However, Green Bay reclaimed the advantage just before halftime with a long 58-yard field goal from Trey Smack. The Packers then extended their lead in the third quarter as Love found Tucker Kraft for another 2-yard touchdown pass. Tampa Bay mounted a fourth-quarter push, with Jalon Daniels throwing a 10-yard touchdown to Kenny Gainwell, bringing them within three points, but they were unable to score again.

Green Bay's pivotal scoring burst in the second and early third quarters ultimately dictated the game's outcome. After Tampa Bay tied the score, Trey Smack's 58-yard field goal provided a crucial three points heading into halftime. Jordan Love's second touchdown pass to Tucker Kraft early in the third quarter then established a 17-7 lead, giving the Packers a comfortable cushion. While the Buccaneers tightened the contest late, they couldn't overcome this double-digit deficit, which was built largely by Love's consistent passing, accounting for both of Green Bay's touchdowns. The pregame market and SportsFBI's model both favored Green Bay, a prediction that proved correct.

The Packers' ability to generate scoring drives and maintain composure when the Buccaneers attempted a comeback ultimately secured their victory. Their early offensive efficiency, particularly in the air, provided just enough margin to hold off Tampa Bay's late challenge. Green Bay now stands at 2-2, while Tampa Bay remains winless at 0-4.

#NFL #Packers #Buccaneers #JordanLove

How the Prediction Fared

βœ“ Favorite Won

Pregame, the market favored the Green Bay Packers (-125, 53% implied) over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Final: the Green Bay Packers won 17–14.

βœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model favored the Green Bay Packers (64% confidence). Final: the Green Bay Packers won 17–14.

Standouts

Jordan Love
Passing
22/30, 197 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
Bucky Irving
Rushing
16 CAR, 61 YDS
Christian Watson
Receiving
3 REC, 47 YDS

Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

1234 T
GB 0 10 7 0 17
TB 0 7 0 7 14

Biggest Quarter

The Green Bay Packers scored 10 points in the 2nd quarter β€” the biggest single quarter of the game.

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