NFL Final Intelligence

GB 2-2
22 – 39
FINAL
MIN 4-0

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings β€” Recap

September 13, 2026  Β· U.S. Bank Stadium  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

Minnesota engineered a significant comeback, overcoming an early 12-point deficit to defeat Green Bay in their season opener. A dominant fourth quarter saw the Vikings score 22 unanswered points, flipping a five-point deficit into a commanding lead and securing the win at home.

The Packers seized control early in the game. Kicker Trey Smack opened the scoring with a 59-yard field goal, followed by an 81-yard touchdown pass from Jordan Love to Christian Watson, though the extra point failed, putting Green Bay up 9-0. Minnesota responded with a Will Reichard field goal. The second quarter continued the back-and-forth, with Smack adding another field goal, only for Carson Wentz to connect with Justin Jefferson for a 39-yard touchdown. Love and Watson then teamed up again for a 2-yard score before halftime, giving the Packers a 19-10 advantage. Smack extended Green Bay's lead to 22-10 with a 26-yard field goal in the third quarter, but the Vikings immediately answered with a 16-yard touchdown pass from Wentz to T.J. Hockenson, making it 22-17 heading into the final frame.

The momentum definitively shifted in the fourth quarter, as the Vikings mounted an overwhelming offensive surge. After trailing 22-17, Minnesota took its first lead of the game with an Aaron Jones Sr. 3-yard rushing touchdown, successfully converting a two-point conversion with a pass from Carson Wentz to Justin Jefferson, making the score 25-22. The Vikings continued to pile on, with Jordan Mason adding a 1-yard rushing touchdown. To cap off their 22-point quarter, Wentz found Justin Jefferson for a 9-yard touchdown pass, solidifying the home team's lead. While Jordan Love and Christian Watson connected for two long touchdowns for Green Bay, including an 81-yard strike, their efforts were ultimately overshadowed by Minnesota's late-game dominance and inability to score in the final quarter.

The Vikings' resilience and explosive fourth-quarter performance ultimately decided the contest, as they steadily chipped away at Green Bay's early lead before completely taking over late in the game. The home field advantage, noted by SportsFBI's pregame model favoring Minnesota, proved to be a factor as the Vikings energized their comeback. Minnesota begins its season 1-0, while Green Bay starts 0-1.

#NFL #Vikings #Packers #JustinJefferson #ChristianWatson

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Upset

Pregame, the market favored the Green Bay Packers (-125, 53% implied) over the Minnesota Vikings. Final: the Minnesota Vikings won 39–22, pulling off the upset.

βœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model favored the Minnesota Vikings (59% confidence). Final: the Minnesota Vikings won 39–22.

Standouts

Jordan Love
Passing
21/42, 387 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
Jordan Mason
Rushing
15 CAR, 59 YDS, 1 TD
Christian Watson
Receiving
6 REC, 147 YDS, 2 TD

Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

1234 T
GB 9 10 3 0 22
MIN 3 7 7 22 39

Biggest Quarter

The Minnesota Vikings scored 22 points in the 4th quarter β€” the biggest single quarter of the game.

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