NFL Final Intelligence
Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles β Recap
September 13, 2026 Β· Lincoln Financial Field Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Philadelphia Eagles secured a tight 24-22 victory over the Washington Commanders, navigating a persistent Washington comeback attempt that ultimately fell short due to crucial missed extra points. Philadelphia established an early lead, weathering a second-half surge from the Commanders before delivering a decisive fourth-quarter touchdown to secure the win. SportsFBIβs pregame model, favoring Philadelphia with 72% confidence due to home-field advantage, proved correct.
The game began with Washington drawing first blood in the opening quarter with a 55-yard field goal from Drew Stevens. Philadelphia responded forcefully in the second quarter, as Jalen Hurts connected with Dallas Goedert for a 17-yard touchdown pass, followed by a 9-yard score to Dontayvion Wicks, building a 14-3 lead. Before halftime, Washington managed to find the end zone with a 1-yard rush from Jacory Croskey-Merritt, though Drew Stevens' subsequent extra point was blocked, leaving the score 14-9 at the break. Jake Elliott extended Philadelphiaβs lead with a 35-yard field goal in the third quarter.
While Philadelphiaβs dominant second quarter was key in building a cushion, the true turning point came in the fourth quarter's seesaw battle. Washington rallied, with Stefon Diggs catching a 10-yard touchdown pass from Jayden Daniels, narrowing the gap to a single point at 17-16. However, the Eagles quickly answered, as Jalen Hurts found Dallas Goedert for a second time, this one a 43-yard touchdown pass, re-establishing a critical eight-point lead. Washington fought back again with Antonio Williams scoring on a 1-yard pass from Jayden Daniels, but their subsequent two-point conversion attempt failed, preserving Philadelphiaβs slim advantage.
Philadelphia's ability to create and then protect its lead, anchored by Jalen Hurts' three touchdown passes and a resilient defense that bent but did not break, ultimately proved enough to withstand Washington's determined effort. The Eagles begin their season 1-0, while the Commanders fall to 0-1.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Philadelphia Eagles (-230, 67% implied) over the Washington Commanders. Final: the Philadelphia Eagles won 24β22.
SportsFBI's model favored the Philadelphia Eagles (72% confidence). Final: the Philadelphia Eagles won 24β22.
Standouts
Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
Biggest Quarter
The Philadelphia Eagles scored 14 points in the 2nd quarter β the biggest single quarter of the game.
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