NFL Final Intelligence
Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts β Recap
September 13, 2026 Β· Lucas Oil Stadium Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Baltimore Ravens overcame an early deficit to secure a commanding 41-23 victory over the Indianapolis Colts, powered by a prolific offensive display that included 28 unanswered points. Running back Derrick Henry was a dominant force, rushing for three touchdowns, while quarterback Lamar Jackson demonstrated exceptional efficiency, throwing for over 300 yards and a touchdown without an interception. The Ravens' ability to control the game after an initial setback laid the foundation for their strong start to the season.
Indianapolis initially seized momentum, with Jonathan Taylor scoring a 1-yard rushing touchdown in the first quarter, though Spencer Shrader's extra point failed, leaving the Colts up 6-0. Baltimore quickly countered, as Jackson scampered for a 5-yard rushing score, and Henry added a 4-yard run to put the Ravens ahead 14-6 by the end of the first quarter. The second quarter saw the Ravens truly pull away, beginning with Zay Flowers' 54-yard touchdown reception from Jackson, followed by Henry's 32-yard dash. Although Taylor added another 3-yard rushing touchdown for Indianapolis, a 57-yard field goal by Tyler Loop sent Baltimore into halftime with a commanding 31-13 lead. Shrader connected on a 58-yard field goal in the third quarter for Indianapolis, but Henry's third touchdown early in the fourth quarter solidified Baltimore's advantage before a late Colts touchdown pass from Daniel Jones to Tyler Warren and a final Tyler Loop field goal closed out the scoring.
Baltimore's decisive second quarter, where they outscored the Colts 17-7, proved the turning point in the contest, allowing them to establish an insurmountable lead. Henry's powerful ground game, highlighted by two scores in the quarter and a third later, consistently moved the chains and converted in the red zone. Through the air, Jackson exploited the Colts' defense, connecting with Flowers for a significant 54-yard touchdown that showcased the duo's big-play capability and bolstered Jackson's impressive 324-yard passing performance. The Ravens' balanced attack, featuring both dominant rushing and efficient passing, effectively overwhelmed Indianapolis.
Ultimately, the Ravens prevailed through their superior offensive firepower and ability to rebound from an early challenge. Their star-studded lineup, particularly the one-two punch of Jackson and Henry, proved too much for the Colts to contain over four quarters, driving a performance that aligned with SportsFBI's pregame lean. The Baltimore Ravens now stand at 1-0, while the Indianapolis Colts begin their season 0-1.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Baltimore Ravens (-192, 63% implied) over the Indianapolis Colts. Final: the Baltimore Ravens won 41β23.
SportsFBI's model favored the Baltimore Ravens (54% confidence). Final: the Baltimore Ravens won 41β23.
Standouts
Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
Biggest Quarter
The Baltimore Ravens scored 17 points in the 2nd quarter β the biggest single quarter of the game.
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