NFL Final Intelligence
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals β Recap
September 13, 2026 Β· Paycor Stadium Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Cincinnati Bengals held off a determined second-half rally by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, securing a narrow victory after building a substantial early lead. A dominant first half, highlighted by opportunistic defense and efficient offensive execution, established a cushion that ultimately proved enough to withstand Tampa Bay's spirited comeback attempt.
Tampa Bay initially grabbed the lead with a 34-yard Chase McLaughlin field goal in the first quarter. However, Cincinnati responded swiftly, as Demetrius Knight Jr. returned a fumble 27 yards for a touchdown. Soon after, Joe Burrow connected with Mike Gesicki for a 2-yard score, giving the Bengals a 14-3 advantage. Chase Brown further extended that lead with a 5-yard rush touchdown in the second quarter, making it 21-3. Following a Bucky Irving 10-yard rush for the Buccaneers, Evan McPherson added a 20-yard field goal, sending Cincinnati into halftime with a 24-10 lead.
The Bengals appeared to solidify their control early in the third quarter when Evan McPherson connected on a 55-yard field goal, pushing their lead to 27-10. Yet, the Buccaneers refused to concede. After a 51-yard field goal by Chase McLaughlin, Josiah Trotter ignited Tampa Bay with a 38-yard interception return for a touchdown, suddenly narrowing the deficit to a mere seven points at 27-20. As the fourth quarter commenced, McPherson again proved crucial, delivering two more field goals from 58 and 32 yards respectively. These vital kicks stretched Cincinnati's lead to 33-20, providing the necessary buffer to absorb Baker Mayfield's late 9-yard rushing touchdown for the Buccaneers.
Ultimately, the Bengals' ability to build a significant lead early, combined with Evan McPherson's clutch kicking in the second half, was just enough to withstand the Buccaneers' persistent efforts to erase a substantial deficit. Cincinnati moves to an unblemished 1-0 on the season, while Tampa Bay begins 0-1.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Cincinnati Bengals (-192, 63% implied) over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Final: the Cincinnati Bengals won 33β27.
SportsFBI's model favored the Cincinnati Bengals (70% confidence). Final: the Cincinnati Bengals won 33β27.
Standouts
Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
Biggest Quarter
The Cincinnati Bengals scored 14 points in the 1st quarter β the biggest single quarter of the game.
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