NFL Final Intelligence
Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders β Recap
September 13, 2026 Β· Allegiant Stadium Β· View Preview
Game Recap
The Las Vegas Raiders opened their season with a decisive victory over the Miami Dolphins, effectively building an early lead and then consistently answering Miami's offensive efforts. Their ability to convert drives into touchdowns, a key factor identified by SportsFBI's pregame model favoring the Raiders, ultimately proved insurmountable for a Dolphins squad that struggled to find the end zone.
Las Vegas established control early in the contest, with Kirk Cousins connecting with Jack Bech for a 15-yard touchdown pass in the first quarter. Kicker Matt Gay extended the lead with a 47-yard field goal early in the second quarter. Miami responded with a 41-yard field goal from Riley Patterson, but the Raiders quickly countered when Cousins again found a receiver for a score, this time a 13-yard pass to Ashton Jeanty. Another 37-yard field goal from Patterson kept the Dolphins within striking distance heading into halftime, but Las Vegas held a significant advantage.
The gameβs pivotal sequence unfolded in the third quarter. The Dolphins injected life into their offense when Malik Willis powered into the end zone on a 14-yard run, bringing Miami within four points. Yet, any momentum was swiftly extinguished by the Raiders. Cousins and Jeanty linked up for their second 13-yard touchdown pass of the game, instantly pushing the lead back to 11 points. Matt Gay then added a 30-yard field goal, further extending Las Vegasβs advantage and effectively sealing Miamiβs comeback hopes. Ashton Jeantyβs performance, including 102 rushing yards on 23 carries along with two receiving touchdowns, highlighted the Raiders' balanced attack that repeatedly kept the Dolphins at bay.
The Raiders ultimately prevailed by dictating the pace and consistently finding ways to score, particularly at critical junctures when Miami attempted to rally. Their efficiency in converting red zone opportunities into touchdowns, contrasted with the Dolphins' frequent reliance on field goals, proved to be the decisive factor. The Las Vegas Raiders now stand at 1-0 for the season, while the Miami Dolphins start 0-1.
How the Prediction Fared
Pregame, the market favored the Las Vegas Raiders (-175, 61% implied) over the Miami Dolphins. Final: the Las Vegas Raiders won 27β13.
SportsFBI's model favored the Las Vegas Raiders (64% confidence). Final: the Las Vegas Raiders won 27β13.
Standouts
Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
Biggest Quarter
The Las Vegas Raiders scored 10 points in the 2nd quarter β the biggest single quarter of the game.
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