NFL Final Intelligence

MIA 0-4
13 – 27
FINAL
LV 3-1

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders β€” Recap

September 13, 2026  Β· Allegiant Stadium  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

The Las Vegas Raiders opened their season with a decisive victory over the Miami Dolphins, effectively building an early lead and then consistently answering Miami's offensive efforts. Their ability to convert drives into touchdowns, a key factor identified by SportsFBI's pregame model favoring the Raiders, ultimately proved insurmountable for a Dolphins squad that struggled to find the end zone.

Las Vegas established control early in the contest, with Kirk Cousins connecting with Jack Bech for a 15-yard touchdown pass in the first quarter. Kicker Matt Gay extended the lead with a 47-yard field goal early in the second quarter. Miami responded with a 41-yard field goal from Riley Patterson, but the Raiders quickly countered when Cousins again found a receiver for a score, this time a 13-yard pass to Ashton Jeanty. Another 37-yard field goal from Patterson kept the Dolphins within striking distance heading into halftime, but Las Vegas held a significant advantage.

The game’s pivotal sequence unfolded in the third quarter. The Dolphins injected life into their offense when Malik Willis powered into the end zone on a 14-yard run, bringing Miami within four points. Yet, any momentum was swiftly extinguished by the Raiders. Cousins and Jeanty linked up for their second 13-yard touchdown pass of the game, instantly pushing the lead back to 11 points. Matt Gay then added a 30-yard field goal, further extending Las Vegas’s advantage and effectively sealing Miami’s comeback hopes. Ashton Jeanty’s performance, including 102 rushing yards on 23 carries along with two receiving touchdowns, highlighted the Raiders' balanced attack that repeatedly kept the Dolphins at bay.

The Raiders ultimately prevailed by dictating the pace and consistently finding ways to score, particularly at critical junctures when Miami attempted to rally. Their efficiency in converting red zone opportunities into touchdowns, contrasted with the Dolphins' frequent reliance on field goals, proved to be the decisive factor. The Las Vegas Raiders now stand at 1-0 for the season, while the Miami Dolphins start 0-1.

#NFL #Raiders #Dolphins #AshtonJeanty #KirkCousins

How the Prediction Fared

βœ“ Favorite Won

Pregame, the market favored the Las Vegas Raiders (-175, 61% implied) over the Miami Dolphins. Final: the Las Vegas Raiders won 27–13.

βœ“ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model favored the Las Vegas Raiders (64% confidence). Final: the Las Vegas Raiders won 27–13.

Standouts

Malik Willis
Passing
15/27, 220 YDS, 1 INT
Ashton Jeanty
Rushing
23 CAR, 102 YDS
Caleb Douglas
Receiving
5 REC, 94 YDS

Full box score, defensive stats, and every player's line are available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Linescore

1234 T
MIA 0 6 7 0 13
LV 7 10 10 0 27

Biggest Quarter

The Las Vegas Raiders scored 10 points in the 2nd quarter β€” the biggest single quarter of the game.

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