NHL Final Intelligence

DET 4-3-3
1 – 4
FINAL
CGY 3-6-0

Detroit Red Wings 1, Calgary Flames 4 β€” Recap

 Β· Scotiabank Saddledome  Β· Recap published  Β· View Preview

πŸ“°Game Recap

Calgary's offense erupted for three goals in the second period, propelling the Flames to a 4-1 victory over the Detroit Red Wings. Joel Farabee contributed a goal and two assists for Calgary, which secured its third win of the season. The Flames opened the scoring late in the first period when Farabee netted a goal at 17:50, assisted by Adam Klapka and Kevin Bahl.

Detroit tied the game early in the second period as Andrew Copp scored at 2:22, with an assist from J.T. Compher. However, Calgary quickly regained control, beginning with Zayne Parekh's goal at 8:38, assisted by Matt Coronato and Farabee. Ryan Strome extended the lead to 3-1 at 17:04, assisted by Morgan Frost and Matvei Gridin. Gridin then capped the period with a goal at 18:30, with Farabee and Coronato earning assists, giving the Flames a commanding three-goal advantage.

Neither team scored in the third period, as Devin Cooley of the Flames stopped 28 of 29 shots. John Gibson of the Red Wings made 21 saves on 25 shots. Detroit outshot Calgary 29-25 for the game. The outcome defied SportsFBI's pregame model, which had leaned toward Detroit with a 60% probability. Calgary improved its record to 3-6-0, while Detroit fell to 4-3-3.

#CalgaryFlames #DetroitRedWings #NHLRecap #Farabee #Gridin

How the Prediction Fared

⚑ Upset

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Detroit Red Wings (-130, 57% implied) over the Calgary Flames. The underdog won.

⚑ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Detroit Red Wings (60% confidence). It gave a 31% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 3 goals.

πŸ’΅ Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Puck line Β· DET -1.5 CGY covered Won by 3
Total Β· 6.5 Under 5 combined
Moneyline DET -134 Β· CGY +112 DET favored
Line movementOpening line β†’ close
Puck line (CGY) +1.5+1.5 No move
Total 5.56.5 +1
Moneyline (CGY) +106+112 +6

Standouts

Top Scorer Β· CGY
1 G, 2 A, 3 PTS, 3 SOG Β· 17:50 TOI
Goals Β· CGY
1 G, 1 A, 2 PTS, 4 SOG Β· 17:55 TOI
Season highs
Joel Farabee Β· Season-high 3 points

Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.

πŸ“Š Game Flow

DET 0 largest lead Never led
CGY 3 largest lead P2 18:30 (DET 1, CGY 4) Β· 3-0 run, P2 8:38–P2 18:30
Swings 0 lead changes Tied 1 time
Scoring summary
  • P1 17:50 Joel Farabee (Adam Klapka, Kevin Bahl) CGY Β· snap shot Β· DET 0, CGY 1
  • P2 2:22 Andrew Copp (J.T. Compher) DET Β· backhand shot Β· DET 1, CGY 1
  • P2 8:38 Zayne Parekh (Matt Coronato, Joel Farabee) CGY Β· Power play Β· wrist shot Β· DET 1, CGY 2
  • P2 17:04 Ryan Strome (Morgan Frost, Matvei Gridin) CGY Β· snap shot Β· DET 1, CGY 3
  • P2 18:30 Matvei Gridin (Joel Farabee, Matt Coronato) CGY Β· Power play Β· snap shot Β· DET 1, CGY 4

Linescore

123 T
DET 010 1
CGY 130 4

Shots on goal: DET 29, CGY 25

Biggest Period

The Calgary Flames scored 3 goals in P2 β€” the biggest single period of the game.

πŸ“‹ Team Stats

DETCGY
30Shots on goal25
48Shot attempts47
27Faceoff wins22
18Hits20
6Blocked shots15
0Power-play goals2
3Takeaways6
21Giveaways9
11Penalty minutes11
84.0%Save %96.7%
Shots on goal by period
TeamP1P2P3Total
DET10101030
CGY810725

🎯 Shot Map

Detroit Red Wings1 G Β· 41 attempts
William Wallinder: saved (wrist)Moritz Seider: saved (wrist)Michael Brandsegg-NygΓ₯rd: saved (backhand)Anton Johansson: saved (wrist)Dylan Larkin: saved (wrist)Dylan Larkin: saved (wrist)Alex DeBrincat: missed the netViktor Arvidsson: missed the netViktor Arvidsson: missed the netAndrew Copp: saved (wrist)Lucas Raymond: missed the netAndrew Copp: saved (tip-in)Andrew Copp: saved (poke)Ben Chiarot: missed the netDylan Larkin: saved (wrist)Andrew Copp: goal (backhand)Lucas Raymond: missed the netLucas Raymond: missed the netAlex DeBrincat: saved (backhand)Alex DeBrincat: saved (wrist)Viktor Arvidsson: saved (snap)Justin Faulk: saved (slap)Michael Brandsegg-NygΓ₯rd: saved (slap)Michael Rasmussen: saved (tip-in)Moritz Seider: saved (slap)Lucas Raymond: saved (wrist)Dylan Larkin: saved (backhand)Dylan Larkin: saved (wrist)Emmitt Finnie: missed the netLucas Raymond: saved (slap)Dylan Larkin: saved (wrist)Moritz Seider: saved (wrist)Alex DeBrincat: saved (wrist)Lucas Raymond: missed the netMichael Brandsegg-NygΓ₯rd: saved (wrist)Andrew Copp: saved (wrist)Albert Johansson: saved (slap)Anton Johansson: saved (slap)Lucas Raymond: saved (wrist)Emmitt Finnie: missed the netAndreas Englund: missed the net
  • 1Goals2% of attempts
  • 29Saved71% of attempts
  • 11Missed the net27% of attempts
Calgary Flames4 G Β· 31 attempts
Matvei Gridin: saved (wrist)Matvei Gridin: saved (wrist)Martin Pospisil: missed the netMatvei Gridin: missed the netBrennan Othmann: missed the netYan Kuznetsov: missed the netRyan Strome: saved (wrist)Jake Middleton: saved (wrist)Adam Klapka: saved (wrist)Jake Middleton: missed the netJoel Farabee: saved (wrist)Joel Farabee: goal (snap)Zach Whitecloud: saved (wrist)Brennan Othmann: saved (wrist)Zayne Parekh: goal (wrist)Brennan Othmann: saved (wrist)Ryan Strome: saved (slap)Kevin Bahl: saved (wrist)Ryan Strome: goal (snap)Adam Klapka: saved (wrist)Matvei Gridin: goal (snap)Matvei Gridin: saved (wrist)Martin Pospisil: saved (wrist)Ben Jones: missed the netJoel Farabee: saved (wrist)Adam Klapka: saved (wrist)Matt Coronato: saved (wrist)Zayne Parekh: saved (wrist)Zach Whitecloud: saved (wrist)Matt Coronato: saved (wrist)Yan Kuznetsov: saved (slap)
  • 4Goals13% of attempts
  • 21Saved68% of attempts
  • 6Missed the net19% of attempts

● goal (large) Β· ● saved Β· βœ• missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.

πŸ’ Box Score

DET skatersG goals Β· A assists Β· P points Β· SOG shots on goal Β· TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Andrew Copp C 101+150014:36
J.T. Compher L 011-101015:32
Moritz Seider D 000-131124:43
Alex DeBrincat R 000-130021:56
Lucas Raymond L 000032120:47
Justin Faulk D 000011120:23
Viktor Arvidsson L 000010020:19
Ben Chiarot D 000-100119:35
Dylan Larkin C 000060019:34
Emmitt Finnie C 000-100018:22
Michael Brandsegg-NygΓ₯rd R 000034016:34
Andreas Englund D 000+104114:06
Michael Rasmussen C 000012013:45
William Wallinder D 000011113:22
Albert Johansson D 000010012:14
Anton Johansson D 000-120011:35
Nate Danielson C 000-101011:20
Keegan Kolesar R 000001008:37
DET goaliesG goals Β· A assists Β· P points Β· SOG shots on goal Β· TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
John Gibson L 212584.0460:00
CGY skatersG goals Β· A assists Β· P points Β· SOG shots on goal Β· TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Joel Farabee L 123+131118:52
Matvei Gridin R 112+140117:55
Matt Coronato R 022020016:09
Zayne Parekh D 101020015:40
Ryan Strome C 101+130013:38
Kevin Bahl D 011+110325:03
Adam Klapka R 011+133014:03
Morgan Frost C 011001212:20
Simon Nemec D 000000022:13
Zach Whitecloud D 000+122120:31
Jake Middleton D 000+110118:26
Yan Kuznetsov D 000-110017:38
Jonathan Castagna C 000+103217:16
Martin Pospisil C 000013015:42
Ben Jones C 000003113:48
Yegor Sharangovich C 000-100212:36
Brennan Othmann L 000024012:16
Aydar Suniev L 000-100109:54
CGY goaliesG goals Β· A assists Β· P points Β· SOG shots on goal Β· TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Devin Cooley W 293096.7160:00

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

PlayerPropLineActualResult
Joel Farabee CGY Points0.53 Over
Assists0.52 Over
Goals0.51 Over
Shots on goal1.53 Over
Matvei Gridin CGY Points0.52 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Shots on goal1.54 Over
Matt Coronato CGY Points0.52 Over
Assists0.52 Over
Goals0.50 Under
Shots on goal2.52 Under
Andrew Copp DET Points0.51 Over
Assists0.50 Under
Shots on goal1.55 Over
Morgan Frost CGY Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.50 Under
Shots on goal1.50 Under
Ryan Strome CGY Points0.51 Over
Assists0.50 Under
Shots on goal1.53 Over

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

βš”οΈ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series DET 0 – 1 CGY
Last 3 meetings Β· since 2025-26 DET 2 – 1 CGY
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Detroit Red Wings 4-4-3 L1 L10 4-3-3 Next game recap: @ EDM Β· Mon, Oct 26
Calgary Flames 4-6-0 W3 L10 4-6-0 Next game recap: vs TOR Β· Mon, Oct 26

πŸ” Key Suspects Results

6 of 11 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

DET — Away
Alex DeBrincat Alex DeBrincat RW Points Β· BetMGM 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Dylan Larkin Dylan Larkin C Shots on Goal Β· FanDuel 4+ MILESTONE HIT Actual 6
Justin Faulk Justin Faulk D Anytime Goal Β· FanDuel 1+ MILESTONE MISS Actual 0
Andrew Copp Andrew Copp C Points Β· BetMGM 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1
Moritz Seider Moritz Seider D Shots on Goal Β· BetMGM 2.5 UNDER MISS Actual 3
CGY — Home
Matt Coronato Matt Coronato RW Points Β· DraftKings 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 2
Yegor Sharangovich Yegor Sharangovich C Shots on Goal Β· DraftKings 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Simon Nemec Simon Nemec D Points Β· BetMGM 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Joel Farabee Joel Farabee LW Points Β· DraftKings 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 3
Zayne Parekh Zayne Parekh D Points Β· DraftKings 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1
Ryan Strome Ryan Strome C Shots on Goal Β· BetMGM 1.5 OVER HIT Actual 3

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