NHL Final Intelligence
Detroit Red Wings 1, Calgary Flames 4 β Recap
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Game Recap
Calgary's offense erupted for three goals in the second period, propelling the Flames to a 4-1 victory over the Detroit Red Wings. Joel Farabee contributed a goal and two assists for Calgary, which secured its third win of the season. The Flames opened the scoring late in the first period when Farabee netted a goal at 17:50, assisted by Adam Klapka and Kevin Bahl.
Detroit tied the game early in the second period as Andrew Copp scored at 2:22, with an assist from J.T. Compher. However, Calgary quickly regained control, beginning with Zayne Parekh's goal at 8:38, assisted by Matt Coronato and Farabee. Ryan Strome extended the lead to 3-1 at 17:04, assisted by Morgan Frost and Matvei Gridin. Gridin then capped the period with a goal at 18:30, with Farabee and Coronato earning assists, giving the Flames a commanding three-goal advantage.
Neither team scored in the third period, as Devin Cooley of the Flames stopped 28 of 29 shots. John Gibson of the Red Wings made 21 saves on 25 shots. Detroit outshot Calgary 29-25 for the game. The outcome defied SportsFBI's pregame model, which had leaned toward Detroit with a 60% probability. Calgary improved its record to 3-6-0, while Detroit fell to 4-3-3.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Detroit Red Wings (-130, 57% implied) over the Calgary Flames. The underdog won.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Detroit Red Wings (60% confidence). It gave a 31% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 3 goals.
π΅ Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
π Game Flow
- P1 17:50 Joel Farabee (Adam Klapka, Kevin Bahl) CGY Β· snap shot Β· DET 0, CGY 1
- P2 2:22 Andrew Copp (J.T. Compher) DET Β· backhand shot Β· DET 1, CGY 1
- P2 8:38 Zayne Parekh (Matt Coronato, Joel Farabee) CGY Β· Power play Β· wrist shot Β· DET 1, CGY 2
- P2 17:04 Ryan Strome (Morgan Frost, Matvei Gridin) CGY Β· snap shot Β· DET 1, CGY 3
- P2 18:30 Matvei Gridin (Joel Farabee, Matt Coronato) CGY Β· Power play Β· snap shot Β· DET 1, CGY 4
Biggest Period
The Calgary Flames scored 3 goals in P2 β the biggest single period of the game.
π Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 |
| CGY | 8 | 10 | 7 | 25 |
π― Shot Map
- 1Goals2% of attempts
- 29Saved71% of attempts
- 11Missed the net27% of attempts
- 4Goals13% of attempts
- 21Saved68% of attempts
- 6Missed the net19% of attempts
β goal (large) Β· β saved Β· β missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
π Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Copp | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:36 |
| J.T. Compher | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:32 |
| Moritz Seider | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24:43 |
| Alex DeBrincat | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21:56 |
| Lucas Raymond | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 20:47 |
| Justin Faulk | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20:23 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:19 |
| Ben Chiarot | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:35 |
| Dylan Larkin | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19:34 |
| Emmitt Finnie | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:22 |
| Michael Brandsegg-NygΓ₯rd | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 16:34 |
| Andreas Englund | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 14:06 |
| Michael Rasmussen | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13:45 |
| William Wallinder | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:22 |
| Albert Johansson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:14 |
| Anton Johansson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:35 |
| Nate Danielson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:20 |
| Keegan Kolesar | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 08:37 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | L | 21 | 25 | 84.0 | 4 | 60:00 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Farabee | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18:52 |
| Matvei Gridin | R | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:55 |
| Matt Coronato | R | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:09 |
| Zayne Parekh | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:40 |
| Ryan Strome | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 |
| Kevin Bahl | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25:03 |
| Adam Klapka | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14:03 |
| Morgan Frost | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12:20 |
| Simon Nemec | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:13 |
| Zach Whitecloud | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20:31 |
| Jake Middleton | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:26 |
| Yan Kuznetsov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:38 |
| Jonathan Castagna | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17:16 |
| Martin Pospisil | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15:42 |
| Ben Jones | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13:48 |
| Yegor Sharangovich | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:36 |
| Brennan Othmann | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12:16 |
| Aydar Suniev | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 09:54 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Cooley | W | 29 | 30 | 96.7 | 1 | 60:00 |
ποΈ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Farabee CGY | Points | 0.5 | 3 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Matvei Gridin CGY | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 4 | Over | |
| Matt Coronato CGY | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 2 | Under | |
| Andrew Copp DET | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 5 | Over | |
| Morgan Frost CGY | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Ryan Strome CGY | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 3 | Over |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
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