NHL Final Intelligence
Minnesota Wild 5, Seattle Kraken 1 — Recap
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Game Recap
The Minnesota Wild earned a 5-1 victory over the Seattle Kraken, driven by a dominant second-period offensive surge and a significant advantage in shots on goal. Minnesota outshot Seattle 36-24, validating the SportsFBI model's pregame lean favoring the Wild.
After a back-and-forth opening period, Minnesota established control. Kirill Kaprizov opened the scoring for the Wild just 26 seconds into the game, assisted by Joel Eriksson Ek and Quinn Hughes, but Berkly Catton tied the game for Seattle at 10:13 with assists from Kaapo Kakko and Brandon Montour. The second period saw the Wild break the game open with three unanswered goals. Blake Coleman netted the go-ahead goal at 2:11, assisted by Matt Kiersted. Olli Maatta extended Minnesota’s lead to 3-1 at 11:33, with Ryan Hartman assisting, before Joel Eriksson Ek capitalized at 13:00, supported by Matt Boldy and Kirill Kaprizov, to make it 4-1 heading into the final period.
The Wild maintained their three-goal advantage through much of the third period. Coleman added his second goal of the game at 16:24, unassisted, to solidify the victory. Joey Daccord made 31 saves on 35 shots for the Kraken, while Jesper Wallstedt stopped 22 of 23 shots for the Wild. Following the contest, Seattle's record stands at 7-3-1, and Minnesota improved to 6-3-2.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Minnesota Wild (-192, 66% implied) over the Seattle Kraken.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Minnesota Wild (64% confidence). It gave a 35% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 4 goals.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
📊 Game Flow
- P1 0:26 Kirill Kaprizov (Joel Eriksson Ek, Quinn Hughes) MIN · backhand shot · MIN 1, SEA 0
- P1 10:13 Berkly Catton (Kaapo Kakko, Brandon Montour) SEA · wrist shot · MIN 1, SEA 1
- P2 2:11 Blake Coleman (Matt Kiersted) MIN · wrist shot · MIN 2, SEA 1
- P2 11:33 Olli Maatta (Ryan Hartman) MIN · wrist shot · MIN 3, SEA 1
- P2 13:00 Joel Eriksson Ek (Matt Boldy, Kirill Kaprizov) MIN · wrist shot · MIN 4, SEA 1
- P3 16:24 Blake Coleman MIN · Empty net · wrist shot · MIN 5, SEA 1
Biggest Period
The Minnesota Wild scored 3 goals in P2 — the biggest single period of the game.
📋 Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 7 | 16 | 13 | 36 |
| SEA | 14 | 1 | 9 | 24 |
🎯 Shot Map
- 5Goals9% of attempts
- 31Saved55% of attempts
- 20Missed the net36% of attempts
- 1Goals3% of attempts
- 23Saved68% of attempts
- 10Missed the net29% of attempts
● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
🏒 Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Coleman | L | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:30 |
| Kirill Kaprizov | L | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:54 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | C | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:08 |
| Olli Maatta | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:05 |
| Quinn Hughes | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:49 |
| Matt Boldy | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17:14 |
| Matt Kiersted | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:39 |
| Ryan Hartman | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:47 |
| Jared Spurgeon | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21:47 |
| Jonas Brodin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17:44 |
| Zach Bogosian | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16:57 |
| Danila Yurov | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:57 |
| Michael McCarron | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:11 |
| Yakov Trenin | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:01 |
| Nico Sturm | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:21 |
| Bobby Brink | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13:21 |
| Maxim Shabanov | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:00 |
| Tyler Pitlick | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 09:35 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Wallstedt | W | 23 | 24 | 95.8 | 1 | 60:00 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkly Catton | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:22 |
| Brandon Montour | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23:42 |
| Kaapo Kakko | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:18 |
| Vince Dunn | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20:47 |
| Ryker Evans | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:43 |
| Matty Beniers | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:43 |
| Jordan Eberle | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18:52 |
| Adam Larsson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17:46 |
| Josh Mahura | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16:39 |
| Bobby McMann | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16:25 |
| Mackie Samoskevich | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16:21 |
| Chandler Stephenson | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:56 |
| Frederick Gaudreau | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:54 |
| Shane Wright | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15:33 |
| Ryan Winterton | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:24 |
| Cale Fleury | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13:41 |
| Ben Meyers | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:02 |
| Curtis Douglas | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 05:17 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | L | 31 | 35 | 88.6 | 4 | 56:35 |
🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov MIN | Points | 1.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 3.5 | 4 | Over | |
| Blake Coleman MIN | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 5 | Over | |
| Joel Eriksson Ek MIN | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 3.5 | 2 | Under | |
| Brandon Montour SEA | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 2 | Under | |
| Matt Boldy MIN | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 3.5 | 5 | Over | |
| Berkly Catton SEA | Points | 0.5 | 1 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 5 | Over |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
⚔️ Season Series & What's Next
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