Canadiens 4, Maple Leafs 2 — NHL Recap

📰Game Recap

The Montréal Canadiens defeated the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-2 as both teams finished with 28 shots on goal. The SportsFBI pregame lean had favored Toronto at 53%, but Montréal established early control with two first-period goals from Alex Newhook. Newhook opened the scoring at 5:56 with an assist from Oliver Kapanen, then added his second goal at 13:06, assisted by Kaiden Guhle and Kirby Dach, to build a 2-0 lead.

Montréal extended its advantage in the second period when Chris Kreider scored unassisted at 12:57, making it 3-0. Despite the 3-0 deficit, Toronto mounted a push in the third period. William Nylander put the Maple Leafs on the board at 6:19 with assists from Darren Raddysh and Auston Matthews. Gavin McKenna quickly followed at 7:14, cutting the margin to 3-2 with help from Dakota Joshua and Colton Sissons.

Any potential Toronto comeback was halted when Zachary Bolduc restored a two-goal cushion for Montréal at 12:15, converting passes from Lane Hutson and Cole Caufield to seal the 4-2 final. Jacob Fowler stopped 26 of 28 shots for the Canadiens, while Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 24 of 28 for the Maple Leafs. With the outcome, Toronto moved to 8-7-2 and Montréal improved to 10-3-3.

#Canadiens #MapleLeafs #NHL #Hockey

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Favorite Won

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Montréal Canadiens (-122, 55% implied) over the Toronto Maple Leafs.

⚡ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Toronto Maple Leafs (53% confidence). It gave a 32% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 2 goals.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Puck line · MTL -1.5 MTL covered Won by 2

Total · 6.5 Under 6 combined

Moneyline MTL -125 · TOR +104 MTL favored

Line movementOpening line → close

Puck line (TOR) +1.5+1.5 No move

Total 6.56.5 No move

Moneyline (TOR) +100+104 +4

Standouts

Top Scorer · MTL

Alex Newhook

2 G, 0 A, 2 PTS, 2 SOG · 14:15 TOI

Goals · TOR

Gavin McKenna

1 G, 0 A, 1 PTS, 4 SOG · 14:38 TOI

Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.

📊 Game Flow

MTL 3 largest lead P2 12:57 (MTL 3, TOR 0) · 3-0 run, P1 5:56–P2 12:57

TOR 0 largest lead Never led · 2-0 run, P3 6:19–P3 7:14

Swings 0 lead changes Tied 0 times

Scoring summary

P1 5:56 Alex Newhook (Oliver Kapanen) MTL · wrist shot · MTL 1, TOR 0
P1 13:06 Alex Newhook (Kaiden Guhle, Kirby Dach) MTL · tip-in shot · MTL 2, TOR 0
P2 12:57 Chris Kreider MTL · wrist shot · MTL 3, TOR 0
P3 6:19 William Nylander (Darren Raddysh, Auston Matthews) TOR · Power play · slap shot · MTL 3, TOR 1
P3 7:14 Gavin McKenna (Dakota Joshua, Colton Sissons) TOR · wrist shot · MTL 3, TOR 2
P3 12:15 Zachary Bolduc (Lane Hutson, Cole Caufield) MTL · Power play · slap shot · MTL 4, TOR 2

Linescore

	1	2	3		T
MTL	2	1	1		4
TOR	0	0	2		2

Shots on goal: MTL 28, TOR 28

📋 Team Stats

MTLTOR

28Shots on goal28

56Shot attempts57

31Faceoff wins19

14Hits21

15Blocked shots7

1Power-play goals1

6Takeaways3

12Giveaways18

8Penalty minutes4

92.9%Save %85.7%

Shots on goal by period

Team	P1	P2	P3	Total
MTL	11	7	10	28
TOR	9	10	9	28

🎯 Shot Map

Montréal Canadiens4 G · 41 attempts

4Goals10% of attempts
24Saved59% of attempts
13Missed the net32% of attempts

Toronto Maple Leafs2 G · 49 attempts

2Goals4% of attempts
26Saved53% of attempts
21Missed the net43% of attempts

● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.

🏒 Box Score

MTL skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice

Player	Pos	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	HIT	BLK	TOI
Alex Newhook	C	2	0	2	+2	2	1	2	14:15
Zachary Bolduc	R	1	0	1	0	3	3	1	16:08
Chris Kreider	L	1	0	1	0	3	0	1	11:37
Kaiden Guhle	D	0	1	1	+1	2	3	1	26:13
Lane Hutson	D	0	1	1	0	2	0	1	22:55
Cole Caufield	R	0	1	1	0	3	1	0	16:28
Kirby Dach	C	0	1	1	+2	1	1	0	13:19
Oliver Kapanen	C	0	1	1	+2	0	0	0	11:19
Alexandre Carrier	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	22:48
Noah Dobson	D	0	0	0	+1	3	0	3	21:27
Nick Suzuki	C	0	0	0	+1	1	0	1	18:24
Juraj Slafkovský	L	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	16:29
Phillip Danault	C	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15:55
Alexandre Texier	L	0	0	0	0	4	0	1	14:20
Jake Evans	C	0	0	0	-1	1	0	0	14:01
Arber Xhekaj	D	0	0	0	+1	1	1	0	11:09
Adam Engstrom	D	0	0	0	+1	0	0	0	10:44
Owen Beck	C	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	10:21

MTL goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice

Player	Dec	SV	SA	SV%	GA	TOI
Jacob Fowler	—	26	28	92.9	2	58:46

TOR skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice

Player	Pos	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	HIT	BLK	TOI
William Nylander	R	1	0	1	0	4	0	0	21:40
Gavin McKenna	L	1	0	1	-1	4	0	0	14:38
Darren Raddysh	D	0	1	1	-2	1	1	0	28:29
Auston Matthews	C	0	1	1	0	3	1	2	21:43
Colton Sissons	C	0	1	1	+1	2	1	0	13:18
Dakota Joshua	C	0	1	1	+1	0	2	0	09:35
Jake McCabe	D	0	0	0	-3	1	2	1	22:27
Oliver Ekman-Larsson	D	0	0	0	+1	0	3	0	20:24
John Tavares	C	0	0	0	0	4	1	0	19:55
Jack Roslovic	C	0	0	0	-1	3	0	1	18:50
Chris Tanev	D	0	0	0	-1	0	0	0	18:23
Troy Stecher	D	0	0	0	+1	2	1	1	16:35
Easton Cowan	R	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	16:01
Nick Paul	L	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	15:25
Teddy Blueger	C	0	0	0	-3	0	0	1	10:51
Brandon Duhaime	L	0	0	0	-3	2	3	0	09:42
Zack MacEwen	R	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	08:41
Morgan Rielly	D	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	05:45

TOR goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice

Player	Dec	SV	SA	SV%	GA	TOI
Sergei Bobrovsky	—	24	28	85.7	4	57:36

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

Player	Prop	Line	Actual	Result
Alex Newhook MTL	Points	0.5	2	Over
	Assists	0.5	0	Under
	Shots on goal	1.5	2	Over
Lane Hutson MTL	Points	0.5	1	Over
	Assists	0.5	1	Over
	Shots on goal	1.5	2	Over
Gavin McKenna TOR	Points	0.5	1	Over
	Assists	0.5	0	Under
	Shots on goal	1.5	4	Over
William Nylander TOR	Points	0.5	1	Over
	Assists	0.5	0	Under
	Goals	0.5	1	Over
	Shots on goal	2.5	4	Over
Darren Raddysh TOR	Points	0.5	1	Over
	Assists	0.5	1	Over
	Shots on goal	2.5	1	Under
Cole Caufield MTL	Points	0.5	1	Over
	Assists	0.5	1	Over
	Goals	0.5	0	Under
	Shots on goal	3.5	3	Under