NHL Final Intelligence

UTA 10-6-1
2 – 4
FINAL
OTT 10-6-1

Utah Mammoth 2, Ottawa Senators 4 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

The Ottawa Senators defeated the Utah Mammoth 4-2, validating a pregame SportsFBI model lean of 53% toward Ottawa. Despite outshooting the Senators 32 to 21, the Mammoth could not overcome Samuel Ersson's 28-save performance, while Karel Vejmelka stopped 17 of 20 shots for Utah. Both teams now hold identical 10-6-1 records.

The first period featured a goal from each side. Fabian Zetterlund opened the scoring for Ottawa at 5:27 with assists from Stephen Halliday and Philip Tomasino. Utah responded at 9:57 when Clayton Keller scored, assisted by Anders Lee, leaving the score tied 1-1 after a scoreless second period.

The third period saw four total goals as Ottawa secured the win. Michael Amadio broke the tie at 6:29 with assists from Claude Giroux and Tyler Kleven. Utah answered at 9:53 with a goal by Barrett Hayton, assisted by Clayton Keller and MacKenzie Weegar. Finally, Nick Cousins scored the game-winner at 17:42, assisted by Thomas Chabot and Shane Pinto, sealing the 4-2 final.

#OttawaSenators #UtahMammoth #NHLHockey #GameRecap

How the Prediction Fared

⚡ Upset

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Utah Mammoth (-120, 55% implied) over the Ottawa Senators. The underdog won.

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Ottawa Senators (53% confidence). It gave a 32% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 2 goals.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Puck line · UTA -1.5 OTT covered Won by 2
Total · 6.5 Under 6 combined
Moneyline UTA -118 · OTT -102 UTA favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Puck line (OTT) +1.5+1.5 No move
Total 6.56.5 No move
Moneyline (OTT) -106-102 +4

Standouts

Top Scorer · UTA
Clayton Keller
1 G, 1 A, 2 PTS, 6 SOG · 16:40 TOI
Goals · UTA
Barrett Hayton
1 G, 0 A, 1 PTS, 3 SOG · 14:23 TOI
Season highs
Clayton Keller · Season-high 6 shots on goal

Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.

📊 Game Flow

UTA 0 largest lead Never led
OTT 1 largest lead P1 5:27 (UTA 0, OTT 1)
Swings 0 lead changes Tied 2 times
Scoring summary
  • P1 5:27 Fabian Zetterlund (Stephen Halliday, Philip Tomasino) OTT · Power play · wrist shot · UTA 0, OTT 1
  • P1 9:57 Clayton Keller (Anders Lee) UTA · wrist shot · UTA 1, OTT 1
  • P3 6:29 Michael Amadio (Claude Giroux, Tyler Kleven) OTT · wrist shot · UTA 1, OTT 2
  • P3 9:53 Barrett Hayton (Clayton Keller, MacKenzie Weegar) UTA · tip-in shot · UTA 2, OTT 2
  • P3 17:42 Nick Cousins (Thomas Chabot, Shane Pinto) OTT · tip-in shot · UTA 2, OTT 3

Linescore

123 T
UTA 101 2
OTT 102 4

Shots on goal: UTA 30, OTT 20

Biggest Period

The Ottawa Senators scored 2 goals in P3 — the biggest single period of the game.

📋 Team Stats

UTAOTT
32Shots on goal21
63Shot attempts56
32Faceoff wins26
23Hits40
14Blocked shots11
0Power-play goals1
6Takeaways3
26Giveaways21
4Penalty minutes4
85.0%Save %93.3%
Shots on goal by period
TeamP1P2P3Total
UTA147930
OTT79420

🎯 Shot Map

Utah Mammoth2 G · 47 attempts
Jack McBain: saved (wrist)Artem Duda: saved (slap)Kevin Stenlund: missed the netBarrett Hayton: saved (wrist)Mikhail Sergachev: saved (wrist)Anders Lee: saved (backhand)MacKenzie Weegar: saved (slap)Clayton Keller: missed the netMacKenzie Weegar: saved (wrist)Nick DeSimone: missed the netClayton Keller: saved (wrist)Clayton Keller: goal (wrist)Jack McBain: saved (wrist)Mikhail Sergachev: saved (slap)Artem Duda: saved (wrist)Barrett Hayton: saved (backhand)Clayton Keller: saved (backhand)Artem Duda: missed the netLogan Cooley: saved (snap)Kevin Stenlund: saved (wrist)Michael Carcone: missed the netClayton Keller: missed the netDmitri Simashev: missed the netAndrew Peeke: saved (wrist)Artem Duda: missed the netNick Schmaltz: saved (wrist)Mikhail Sergachev: saved (wrist)Clayton Keller: saved (wrist)MacKenzie Weegar: missed the netMikhail Sergachev: saved (snap)Michael Carcone: saved (wrist)Anders Lee: missed the netClayton Keller: saved (slap)Anders Lee: missed the netMichael Carcone: saved (wrist)Kevin Stenlund: saved (deflected)Anders Lee: missed the netLiam O'Brien: missed the netArtem Duda: missed the netBarrett Hayton: goal (tip-in)MacKenzie Weegar: missed the netLiam O'Brien: saved (wrist)Vincent Trocheck: saved (snap)Lawson Crouse: missed the netLogan Cooley: saved (snap)Clayton Keller: saved (wrist)Logan Cooley: missed the net
  • 2Goals4% of attempts
  • 28Saved60% of attempts
  • 17Missed the net36% of attempts
Ottawa Senators3 G · 43 attempts
Philip Tomasino: saved (snap)Tim Stützle: saved (wrist)Fabian Zetterlund: goal (wrist)Claude Giroux: saved (wrist)Sammy Blais: saved (wrist)Nikolas Matinpalo: saved (wrist)Nikolas Matinpalo: saved (deflected)Claude Giroux: missed the netStephen Halliday: missed the netThomas Chabot: missed the netArtem Zub: missed the netJake Sanderson: saved (snap)Fabian Zetterlund: missed the netStephen Halliday: saved (wrist)Tyler Kleven: missed the netNick Cousins: missed the netMichael Amadio: missed the netDylan Cozens: saved (wrist)Sammy Blais: missed the netThomas Chabot: saved (wrist)Jordan Spence: saved (slap)Jake Sanderson: missed the netMichael Amadio: missed the netMichael Amadio: saved (snap)Tim Stützle: saved (tip-in)Tim Stützle: saved (wrist)Dylan Cozens: saved (wrist)Jordan Spence: missed the netDylan Cozens: missed the netDrake Batherson: missed the netNick Cousins: missed the netJordan Spence: missed the netMichael Amadio: goal (wrist)Thomas Chabot: saved (slap)Artem Zub: missed the netShane Pinto: missed the netFabian Zetterlund: missed the netClaude Giroux: missed the netDylan Cozens: missed the netDrake Batherson: saved (wrist)Jake Sanderson: missed the netNick Cousins: missed the netNick Cousins: goal (tip-in)
  • 3Goals7% of attempts
  • 17Saved40% of attempts
  • 23Missed the net53% of attempts

● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.

🏒 Box Score

UTA skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Clayton Keller R 112+261016:40
Barrett Hayton C 101+130114:23
MacKenzie Weegar D 011-122320:41
Anders Lee L 011+110114:43
Mikhail Sergachev D 000040323:56
Dmitri Simashev D 000002221:33
Andrew Peeke D 000+110120:15
Logan Cooley C 000022018:25
Vincent Trocheck C 000013017:45
Lawson Crouse L 000002116:16
Artem Duda D 000020114:10
Nick Schmaltz C 000-110013:47
Dylan Guenther R 000-100013:17
Kevin Stenlund C 000-121113:11
Nick DeSimone D 000000012:50
Jack McBain C 000-124011:51
Michael Carcone L 000022011:13
Liam O'Brien C 000014010:19
UTA goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Karel Vejmelka — 172085.0357:51
OTT skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Michael Amadio R 101+122016:59
Fabian Zetterlund L 101011015:46
Nick Cousins C 101015214:42
Thomas Chabot D 011+121022:30
Shane Pinto C 011+102017:47
Claude Giroux R 011+113017:36
Tyler Kleven D 011000315:21
Stephen Halliday C 011-112113:19
Philip Tomasino R 011010111:06
Jordan Spence D 000+211020:38
Jake Sanderson D 000-111120:15
Tim Stützle C 000035019:48
Artem Zub D 000-100118:14
Drake Batherson R 000012016:39
Nikolas Matinpalo D 000-124016:23
Dylan Cozens C 000-126114:47
Sammy Blais L 000-112108:01
Hayden Hodgson R 000003005:24
OTT goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Samuel Ersson — 283093.3257:51

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

PlayerPropLineActualResult
Clayton Keller UTA Points0.52 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.51 Over
Shots on goal2.56 Over
Claude Giroux OTT Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Shots on goal1.51 Under
MacKenzie Weegar UTA Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Shots on goal1.52 Over
Thomas Chabot OTT Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Shots on goal1.52 Over
Shane Pinto OTT Points0.51 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.50 Under
Shots on goal2.50 Under
Barrett Hayton UTA Points0.51 Over
Assists0.50 Under
Shots on goal1.53 Over

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series UTA 0 – 1 OTT
Last 3 meetings · since 2025-26 UTA 1 – 2 OTT
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Utah Mammoth 10-7-1 L2 L10 4-5-1 Next game: @ VGK · Wed, Nov 11
Ottawa Senators 11-6-1 W2 L10 5-4-1 Next game: vs WSH · Tue, Nov 10

🔍 Key Suspects Results

4 of 13 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

UTA — Away
Mikhail Sergachev Mikhail Sergachev D Points · BetMGM 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Clayton Keller Clayton Keller RW Assists · BetMGM 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 1
Nick Schmaltz Nick Schmaltz C Points · BetMGM 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Logan Cooley Logan Cooley C Goals · FanDuel 3+ MILESTONE MISS Actual 0
Dylan Guenther Dylan Guenther RW Shots on Goal · DraftKings 2.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
MacKenzie Weegar MacKenzie Weegar D Assists · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1
OTT — Home
Jake Sanderson Jake Sanderson D Assists · FanDuel 2+ MILESTONE MISS Actual 0
Tim Stützle Tim Stützle C Shots on Goal · BetMGM 2.5 UNDER MISS Actual 3
Drake Batherson Drake Batherson RW Points · BetMGM 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Shane Pinto Shane Pinto C Points · DraftKings 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 1
Michael Amadio Michael Amadio RW Anytime Goal · Fanatics 1+ MILESTONE HIT Actual 1
Claude Giroux Claude Giroux RW Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1
Thomas Chabot Thomas Chabot D Points · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1

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