NHL Final Intelligence
New Jersey Devils 5, New York Islanders 4 (OT) — Recap
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Game Recap
The New Jersey Devils relied on an overwhelming 50-shot attack to defeat the New York Islanders 5-4 in overtime, validating SportsFBI's pregame lean of New Jersey at 64%. Jake Allen stopped 19 of 23 shots for the Devils, while Ilya Sorokin was kept busy turning aside 44 of 48 shots for the Islanders as New Jersey improved its record to 11-5-0 and New York moved to 7-6-2.
The first period set a fast-paced tone with three total goals. Anthony Duclair opened the scoring for the Islanders at 15:06 with assists from Simon Holmstrom and Jean-Gabriel Pageau. The Devils answered quickly at 15:23 when Evan Rodrigues scored off a feed from Anthony Mantha, but the Islanders reclaimed the lead at 17:14 on a goal by Matthew Schaefer, assisted by Bo Horvat and Emil Heineman, making it 2-1.
New Jersey tied it 2-2 early in the second period at 04:42 when Declan Chisholm scored with helpers from Jesper Bratt and Arseny Gritsyuk. New York responded 26 seconds later at 05:08 as Holmstrom scored, assisted by Kyle Palmieri and Horvat. The Islanders extended their lead to 4-2 at 11:54 when Victor Eklund scored off passes from Tony DeAngelo and Brayden Schenn.
The Devils mounted their third-period comeback starting at 06:08, when Luke Evangelista scored with assists from Brett Pesce and Nico Hischier to cut the deficit to 4-4. Dougie Hamilton then tied the game 4-4 at 13:42, converting feeds from Jack Hughes and Evangelista to eventually force the extra session and seal the victory.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the New Jersey Devils (-148, 60% implied) over the New York Islanders.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the New Jersey Devils (64% confidence). It gave a 32% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 1 goal.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
📊 Game Flow
- P1 15:06 Anthony Duclair (Simon Holmstrom, Jean-Gabriel Pageau) NYI · wrist shot · NJD 0, NYI 1
- P1 15:23 Evan Rodrigues (Anthony Mantha) NJD · wrist shot · NJD 1, NYI 1
- P1 17:14 Matthew Schaefer (Bo Horvat, Emil Heineman) NYI · wrist shot · NJD 1, NYI 2
- P2 4:42 Declan Chisholm (Jesper Bratt, Arseny Gritsyuk) NJD · wrist shot · NJD 2, NYI 2
- P2 5:08 Simon Holmstrom (Kyle Palmieri, Bo Horvat) NYI · wrist shot · NJD 2, NYI 3
- P2 11:54 Victor Eklund (Tony DeAngelo, Brayden Schenn) NYI · poke shot · NJD 2, NYI 4
- P3 6:08 Luke Evangelista (Brett Pesce, Nico Hischier) NJD · bat shot · NJD 3, NYI 4
- P3 13:42 Dougie Hamilton (Jack Hughes, Luke Evangelista) NJD · Power play · wrist shot · NJD 4, NYI 4
📋 Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 14 | 18 | 16 | 48 |
| NYI | 6 | 8 | 9 | 23 |
🎯 Shot Map
- 4Goals7% of attempts
- 44Saved72% of attempts
- 13Missed the net21% of attempts
- 4Goals12% of attempts
- 19Saved58% of attempts
- 10Missed the net30% of attempts
● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
🏒 Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Evangelista | R | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:54 |
| Dougie Hamilton | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21:29 |
| Evan Rodrigues | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13:35 |
| Declan Chisholm | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:08 |
| Jack Hughes | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22:21 |
| Brett Pesce | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21:28 |
| Jesper Bratt | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 19:02 |
| Nico Hischier | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:58 |
| Arseny Gritsyuk | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:34 |
| Anthony Mantha | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:27 |
| Luke Hughes | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25:18 |
| Jonas Siegenthaler | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18:58 |
| Timo Meier | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17:43 |
| Connor Brown | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15:03 |
| Johnathan Kovacevic | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14:19 |
| Jesper Boqvist | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13:10 |
| Amadeus Lombardi | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10:31 |
| Cody Glass | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:20 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | — | 19 | 23 | 82.6 | 4 | 59:54 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Holmstrom | R | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:14 |
| Bo Horvat | C | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19:17 |
| Matthew Schaefer | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 22:22 |
| Victor Eklund | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 14:19 |
| Anthony Duclair | L | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:18 |
| Tony DeAngelo | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19:47 |
| Emil Heineman | L | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16:35 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 |
| Kyle Palmieri | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:58 |
| Brayden Schenn | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:32 |
| Adam Pelech | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 |
| Logan Stanley | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21:38 |
| Matthew Kessel | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:20 |
| Ben Hutton | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:03 |
| Ondrej Palat | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13:29 |
| Casey Cizikas | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:10 |
| Kyle MacLean | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:25 |
| Mitchell Chaffee | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11:11 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | — | 44 | 48 | 91.7 | 4 | 60:03 |
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