NHL Final Intelligence
Ottawa Senators 3, Anaheim Ducks 6 — Recap
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Game Recap
The Anaheim Ducks overcame a three-goal deficit to defeat the Ottawa Senators 6-3, with a dominant second and third period performance. Ottawa opened the scoring in the first period when Philip Tomasino put the puck past Laurent Brossoit at 6:00, assisted by Thomas Chabot and Drake Batherson. Claude Giroux extended the Senators' lead just over a minute later at 7:02, assisted by Jake Sanderson and Artem Zub. Michael Amadio further widened the gap to 3-0 at 17:37 with assists from Giroux and Sanderson, completing a strong offensive showing for Ottawa in the opening frame.
Anaheim began its comeback in the second period, with Cutter Gauthier scoring at 1:35 to make it 3-1. Judd Caulfield quickly followed at 3:33, assisted by Noah Warren and Leo Carlsson, pulling the Ducks within one goal. Caulfield then tied the game 3-3 with 42 seconds left in the period, assisted by Tristan Luneau and Nikita Nesterenko, completing Anaheim's three-goal second period surge against Jonas Johansson. The Ducks outshot the Senators 33-23 overall.
Anaheim continued its momentum into the third period, as Gauthier scored his second goal of the game at 1:50, assisted by Jackson LaCombe and Carlsson, to give the Ducks their first lead. Gauthier completed his hat trick just 36 seconds later at 2:26, with Carlsson and Mikael Granlund assisting, pushing the score to 5-3. Roger McQueen sealed the victory for Anaheim at 15:19, assisted by Caulfield and Luneau. Laurent Brossoit made 20 saves on 23 shots for Anaheim, while Jonas Johansson stopped 27 of 33 for Ottawa. The SportsFBI model had favored Ottawa at 51% pregame, a prediction that ultimately missed. Anaheim now stands at 5-7-1, and Ottawa is 9-5-1.
How the Prediction Fared
Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Ottawa Senators (-122, 55% implied) over the Anaheim Ducks. The underdog won.
SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Ottawa Senators (51% confidence). It gave a 32% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 3 goals.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.
📊 Game Flow
- P1 6:00 Philip Tomasino (Thomas Chabot, Drake Batherson) OTT · snap shot · OTT 1, ANA 0
- P1 7:02 Claude Giroux (Jake Sanderson, Artem Zub) OTT · snap shot · OTT 2, ANA 0
- P1 17:37 Michael Amadio (Claude Giroux, Jake Sanderson) OTT · snap shot · OTT 3, ANA 0
- P2 1:35 Cutter Gauthier ANA · wrist shot · OTT 3, ANA 1
- P2 3:33 Judd Caulfield (Noah Warren, Leo Carlsson) ANA · wrist shot · OTT 3, ANA 2
- P2 19:18 Judd Caulfield (Tristan Luneau, Nikita Nesterenko) ANA · Power play · tip-in shot · OTT 3, ANA 3
- P3 1:50 Cutter Gauthier (Jackson LaCombe, Leo Carlsson) ANA · Power play · wrist shot · OTT 3, ANA 4
- P3 2:26 Cutter Gauthier (Leo Carlsson, Mikael Granlund) ANA · Power play · snap shot · OTT 3, ANA 5
- P3 15:19 Roger McQueen (Judd Caulfield, Tristan Luneau) ANA · Power play · snap shot · OTT 3, ANA 6
📋 Team Stats
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 7 | 9 | 7 | 23 |
| ANA | 8 | 13 | 12 | 33 |
🎯 Shot Map
- 3Goals9% of attempts
- 20Saved61% of attempts
- 10Missed the net30% of attempts
- 6Goals14% of attempts
- 27Saved64% of attempts
- 9Missed the net21% of attempts
● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.
🏒 Box Score
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Giroux | R | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:02 |
| Jake Sanderson | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:59 |
| Michael Amadio | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:18 |
| Philip Tomasino | R | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:18 |
| Thomas Chabot | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19:27 |
| Artem Zub | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:53 |
| Drake Batherson | R | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:19 |
| Tim Stützle | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 22:54 |
| Shane Pinto | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 18:58 |
| Tyler Kleven | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 |
| Jordan Spence | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:39 |
| Ridly Greig | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17:32 |
| Dylan Cozens | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:57 |
| Nikolas Matinpalo | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16:19 |
| Fabian Zetterlund | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15:09 |
| Nick Cousins | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:18 |
| Stephen Halliday | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:02 |
| Xavier Bourgault | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 02:49 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Johansson | L | 27 | 33 | 81.8 | 6 | 60:00 |
| Player | Pos | G | A | P | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter Gauthier | L | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:02 |
| Judd Caulfield | R | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13:21 |
| Leo Carlsson | C | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:40 |
| Tristan Luneau | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:12 |
| Roger McQueen | C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:46 |
| Jackson LaCombe | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28:04 |
| Mikael Granlund | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:04 |
| Noah Warren | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11:16 |
| Nikita Nesterenko | C | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 09:35 |
| Drew Helleson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21:59 |
| Pavel Mintyukov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21:27 |
| Beckett Sennecke | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20:53 |
| Alex Killorn | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16:32 |
| Tim Washe | C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 |
| A.J. Greer | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10:30 |
| Sam Colangelo | R | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:27 |
| Travis Mitchell | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 09:29 |
| Jeff Malott | L | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 08:30 |
| Player | Dec | SV | SA | SV% | GA | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurent Brossoit | W | 20 | 23 | 87.0 | 3 | 60:00 |
🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judd Caulfield ANA | Points | 0.5 | 3 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Leo Carlsson ANA | Points | 0.5 | 3 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 2 | Under | |
| Cutter Gauthier ANA | Points | 0.5 | 3 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 0 | Under | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 3.5 | 5 | Over | |
| Claude Giroux OTT | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 1.5 | 3 | Over | |
| Jake Sanderson OTT | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over | |
| Shots on goal | 2.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Tristan Luneau ANA | Points | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
| Assists | 0.5 | 2 | Over |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
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