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MLB Matchup Intelligence

ARI vs
COL

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies

May 15, 2026 ยท 8:40 PM ET ยท Coors Field
ARI 86-76  ยท  COL 58-104

๐Ÿ Final: ARI 9, COL 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Arizona Diamondbacks
Confidence 72%
Projected Score ARI 7 ยท COL 5
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

COL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Key injuries ARI (Corbin Burnes, Gabriel Moreno) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL SP quality edge (FIP 5.15 vs 5.83, PF 1.28) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Defensive edge (dWAR 8.2) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Recent run diff (+2.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI SP road mastery (ERA 4.47 R vs 6.21 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

ARI โ€” Away RHP
Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly
ERA4.94
WHIP1.46
FIP5.25
K/96.3
K/BB2.4
Road ERA: 4.47
vs
COL โ€” Home LHP
Kyle Freeland
Kyle Freeland
ERA6.65
WHIP1.52
FIP4.94
K/97.2
K/BB5.3
Home ERA: 6.42

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

ARI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Ketel Marte 2B
  2. 2 Corbin Carroll RF
  3. 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
  4. 4 Nolan Arenado 3B
  5. 5 Ildemaro Vargas 1B
  6. 6 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
  7. 7 Gabriel Moreno C
  8. 8 Jose Fernandez DH
  9. 9 Ryan Waldschmidt CF
COL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Edouard Julien 1B
  2. 2 Mickey Moniak LF
  3. 3 Hunter Goodman C
  4. 4 TJ Rumfield DH
  5. 5 Troy Johnston RF
  6. 6 Jake McCarthy CF
  7. 7 Willi Castro 2B
  8. 8 Ezequiel Tovar SS
  9. 9 Kyle Karros 3B

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

ARI Away COL Home
Team OPS 0.725 0.748
Bullpen FIP 3.95 5.45
Run Diff / 10G +0.2 -1.9
Days Rest 1 0
Streak -2 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
ARI -5.5 (-158)
COL +5.5 (+121)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (-136)
Under 11.5 (+104)
Moneyline
ARI -10000
COL +1340

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

ARI โ€” Away

No data yet.

COL โ€” Home
Kyle Freeland Kyle Freeland SP
Pitcher Ks
3.5
50 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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