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MLB Matchup Intelligence

ARI vs
COL

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies

May 17, 2026 ยท 3:10 PM ET ยท Coors Field
ARI 86-76  ยท  COL 58-104

๐Ÿ Final: ARI 8, COL 6 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Arizona Diamondbacks
Confidence 72%
Projected Score ARI 9 ยท COL 6
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

COL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Key injuries ARI (Corbin Burnes, Gabriel Moreno) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI SP quality edge (FIP 3.22 vs 4.76, PF 1.28) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Defensive edge (dWAR 7.6) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Recent run diff (+2.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL ARI SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

ARI โ€” Away RHP
Michael Soroka
Michael Soroka
ERA3.41
WHIP1.09
FIP3.01
K/98.8
K/BB6.6
Road ERA: 4.23
vs
COL โ€” Home RHP
Michael Lorenzen
Michael Lorenzen
ERA7.21
WHIP1.89
FIP5.31
K/96.4
K/BB2.5

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

ARI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Ildemaro Vargas 2B
  2. 2 Corbin Carroll RF
  3. 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
  4. 4 Nolan Arenado 3B
  5. 5 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
  6. 6 Adrian Del Castillo DH
  7. 7 Gabriel Moreno C
  8. 8 Jose Fernandez 1B
  9. 9 Ryan Waldschmidt CF
COL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Edouard Julien 2B
  2. 2 Mickey Moniak LF
  3. 3 Hunter Goodman DH
  4. 4 TJ Rumfield 1B
  5. 5 Troy Johnston RF
  6. 6 Willi Castro SS
  7. 7 Jake McCarthy CF
  8. 8 Kyle Karros 3B
  9. 9 Brett Sullivan C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

ARI Away COL Home
Team OPS 0.704 0.752
Bullpen FIP 3.95 5.45
Run Diff / 10G +0.3 -1.8
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -2 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
ARI -1.5 (-437)
COL +1.5 (+300)
Total (O/U)
Over 14.5 (+274)
Under 14.5 (-393)
Moneyline
ARI -2400
COL +860

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

ARI โ€” Away
Michael Soroka Michael Soroka SP
Outs
16.5
51 ยท UNDER
COL โ€” Home

No data yet.

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