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MLB Matchup Intelligence

ARI vs
LAD

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers

July 11, 2026 Β· 9:10 PM ET Β· Dodger Stadium
ARI 86-76  Β·  LAD 100-62

🏁 Final: ARI 9, LAD 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap β†’

πŸ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner πŸ† Los Angeles Dodgers
Confidence 70%
Projected Score LAD 7 Β· ARI 5
Blowout Probability 13%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine β€” not a guarantee.

πŸ“Š Engine Edges

LAD Home field β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜…
LAD Key injuries ARI (Corbin Burnes, Gabriel Moreno) β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜…
LAD SP quality edge (FIP 2.91 vs 4.09) β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜…
ARI LAD SP elevated fatigue β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜…
LAD ARI SP fatigued β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜…
ARI Defensive edge (dWAR 3.0) β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜…
ARI Recent run diff (+0.7 R/G L10) β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜…
ARI LAD SP road-favored (pitching at home) β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜…
ARI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜… β˜…

⚾ Starting Pitchers

ARI β€” Away RHP
Brandon Pfaadt
Brandon Pfaadt
ERA3.77
WHIP1.18
FIP3.76
K/96.2
K/BB4.1
Road ERA: 3.13
vs
LAD β€” Home RHP
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
ERA2.53
WHIP0.87
FIP3.22
K/98.9
K/BB6.8
Home ERA: 3.31

🧒 Starting Lineup

ARI β€” Away
  1. 1 Ketel Marte 2B
  2. 2 Geraldo Perdomo SS
  3. 3 Corbin Carroll RF
  4. 4 Gabriel Moreno DH
  5. 5 Max Kepler LF
  6. 6 Tim Tawa 1B
  7. 7 Nolan Arenado 3B
  8. 8 James McCann C
  9. 9 Tommy Troy CF
LAD β€” Home
  1. 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
  2. 2 Andy Pages CF
  3. 3 Freddie Freeman 1B
  4. 4 Mookie Betts SS
  5. 5 Max Muncy 3B
  6. 6 Kyle Tucker RF
  7. 7 Teoscar Hernandez LF
  8. 8 Dalton Rushing C
  9. 9 Tommy Edman 2B

πŸ“Έ Team Snapshot

ARI Away LAD Home
Team OPS 0.736 0.787
Bullpen FIP 3.95 4.57
Run Diff / 10G +0.8 +0.1
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -2 3

πŸ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
ARI -4.5 (-114)
LAD +4.5 (-114)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (+125)
Under 11.5 (-163)
Moneyline
ARI -4200
LAD +1040

πŸ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

ARI β€” Away
Gabriel Moreno Gabriel Moreno DH
Singles
0.5
62 Β· OVER
Brandon Pfaadt Brandon Pfaadt SP
Outs
14.5
58 Β· OVER
Nolan Arenado Nolan Arenado 3B
Total Bases
3.5
57 Β· UNDER
Geraldo Perdomo Geraldo Perdomo SS
Singles
0.5
55 Β· OVER
LAD β€” Home
Teoscar Hernandez Teoscar Hernandez LF
Singles
0.5
58 Β· OVER
Mookie Betts Mookie Betts SS
Total Bases
3.5
55 Β· UNDER
Yoshinobu Yamamoto Yoshinobu Yamamoto SP
Outs
18.5
55 Β· OVER
Freddie Freeman Freddie Freeman 1B
Singles
0.5
53 Β· OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges β€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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