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MLB Matchup Intelligence

BAL vs
MIA

Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins

May 6, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท loanDepot park
BAL 79-82  ยท  MIA 80-82

๐Ÿ Final: BAL 7, MIA 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Baltimore Orioles
Confidence 69%
Projected Score BAL 7 ยท MIA 5
Blowout Probability 12%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIA Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA SP quality edge (FIP 3.73 vs 4.74) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL MIA SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA K edge vs BAL lineup (9.6 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Recent run diff (+3.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA SP home venue edge (ERA 3.10 H vs 4.95 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BAL โ€” Away RHP
Brandon Young
Brandon Young
ERA3.56
WHIP1.35
FIP4.40
K/97.7
K/BB4.1
Road ERA: 3.20
vs
MIA โ€” Home RHP
Eury Perez
Eury Perez
ERA3.91
WHIP1.21
FIP3.88
K/99.6
K/BB5.8
Home ERA: 3.10

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BAL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Gunnar Henderson SS
  2. 2 Taylor Ward LF
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman C
  4. 4 Pete Alonso 1B
  5. 5 Samuel Basallo DH
  6. 6 Leody Taveras CF
  7. 7 Dylan Beavers RF
  8. 8 Coby Mayo 3B
  9. 9 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
MIA โ€” Home
  1. 1 Xavier Edwards 2B
  2. 2 Liam Hicks 1B
  3. 3 Connor Norby 3B
  4. 4 Kyle Stowers LF
  5. 5 Jakob Marsee CF
  6. 6 Christopher Morel DH
  7. 7 Owen Caissie RF
  8. 8 Joe Mack C
  9. 9 Javier Sanoja SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BAL Away MIA Home
Team OPS 0.710 0.711
Bullpen FIP 3.94 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -4.2 -1.1
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BAL -2.5 (-137)
MIA +2.5 (+105)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (+102)
Under 11.5 (-132)
Moneyline
BAL -1320
MIA +640

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BAL โ€” Away
Brandon Young Brandon Young SP
Pitcher Ks
3.5
64 ยท OVER
MIA โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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