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MLB Matchup Intelligence

BAL vs
WSH

Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals

May 16, 2026 ยท 4:05 PM ET ยท Nationals Park
BAL 79-82  ยท  WSH 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: BAL 3, WSH 13 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Washington Nationals
Confidence 72%
Projected Score WSH 7 ยท BAL 5
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

WSH Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH SP quality edge (FIP 2.40 vs 4.08) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH BAL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH K edge vs BAL lineup (10.6 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Recent run diff (+0.5 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
WSH BAL SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BAL โ€” Away RHP
Chris Bassitt
Chris Bassitt
ERA4.59
WHIP1.55
FIP4.04
K/96.5
K/BB3.2
Road ERA: 5.73
vs
WSH โ€” Home RHP
Cade Cavalli
Cade Cavalli
ERA3.02
WHIP1.16
FIP2.97
K/910.6
K/BB8.1
Home ERA: 3.29

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BAL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Gunnar Henderson SS
  2. 2 Taylor Ward LF
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman C
  4. 4 Pete Alonso 1B
  5. 5 Samuel Basallo DH
  6. 6 Tyler O'Neill RF
  7. 7 Leody Taveras CF
  8. 8 Coby Mayo 3B
  9. 9 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
WSH โ€” Home
  1. 1 James Wood RF
  2. 2 Luis Garcia Jr. 1B
  3. 3 Jose Tena 3B
  4. 4 CJ Abrams SS
  5. 5 Daylen Lile LF
  6. 6 Nasim Nunez 2B
  7. 7 Keibert Ruiz C
  8. 8 Jorbit Vivas DH
  9. 9 Jacob Young CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BAL Away WSH Home
Team OPS 0.709 0.734
Bullpen FIP 3.94 5.88
Run Diff / 10G +0.3 -0.2
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BAL +3.5 (-104)
WSH -3.5 (-125)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (-139)
Under 11.5 (+107)
Moneyline
BAL +1020
WSH -3800

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BAL โ€” Away

No data yet.

WSH โ€” Home
Cade Cavalli Cade Cavalli SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
67 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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