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MLB Matchup Intelligence

BOS vs
BAL

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

April 25, 2026 ยท 12:05 PM ET ยท Oriole Park at Camden Yards
BOS 87-75  ยท  BAL 79-82

๐Ÿ Final: BOS 17, BAL 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 72%
Projected Score BOS 7 ยท BAL 4
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BAL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Key injuries BAL (Samuel Basallo) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL BOS SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 8.1) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS K edge vs BAL lineup (11.1 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Recent run diff (+3.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL SP home venue edge (ERA 3.63 H vs 4.46 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BAL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BOS โ€” Away LHP
Garrett Crochet
Garrett Crochet
ERA6.30
WHIP1.47
FIP3.90
K/911.1
K/BB7.8
vs
BAL โ€” Home LHP
Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers
ERA4.03
WHIP1.19
FIP3.40
K/98.4
K/BB6.3
Home ERA: 3.63

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

BOS โ€” Away
  1. 1 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  2. 2 Willson Contreras 1B
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Trevor Story SS
  5. 5 Andruw Monasterio DH
  6. 6 Jarren Duran LF
  7. 7 Caleb Durbin 3B
  8. 8 Connor Wong C
  9. 9 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B
BAL โ€” Home
  1. 1 Taylor Ward DH
  2. 2 Gunnar Henderson SS
  3. 3 Adley Rutschman C
  4. 4 Pete Alonso 1B
  5. 5 Tyler O'Neill RF
  6. 6 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
  7. 7 Leody Taveras CF
  8. 8 Coby Mayo 3B
  9. 9 Blaze Alexander LF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BOS Away BAL Home
Team OPS 0.705 0.718
Bullpen FIP 3.55 3.94
Run Diff / 10G -2.1 +1.0
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -3 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BOS -5.5 (+116)
BAL +5.5 (-151)
Total (O/U)
Over 10.5 (+122)
Under 10.5 (-159)
Moneyline
BOS -10000
BAL +1300

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BOS โ€” Away

No data yet.

BAL โ€” Home
Trevor Rogers Trevor Rogers SP
Pitcher Ks
5.5
53 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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