โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

Boston Red Sox vs Oakland Athletics

July 28, 2026 ยท 9:40 PM ET ยท Sutter Health Park
BOS 87-75  ยท  OAK 64-98

๐Ÿ Final: BOS 3, OAK 4 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 72%
Projected Score BOS 5 ยท OAK 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

OAK Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
OAK Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 3.04 vs 3.56) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 4.4) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
OAK K edge vs BOS lineup (9.9 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Recent run diff (+3.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS OAK SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

BOS โ€” Away LHP
ERA3.65
WHIP1.10
FIP3.43
K/97.2
K/BB5.6
Road ERA: 4.24
vs
OAK โ€” Home LHP
ERA5.47
WHIP1.52
FIP3.89
K/99.9
K/BB5.7
Home ERA: 5.49

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

BOS Away OAK Home
Team OPS 0.683 0.696
Bullpen FIP 3.55 5.39
Run Diff / 10G +1.1 -2.1
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -3 -2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
BOS -1.5 (+1240)
OAK +1.5 (-9600)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (+810)
Under 7.5 (-2100)
Moneyline
BOS +1140
OAK -6200

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

BOS โ€” Away
Ceddanne Rafaela Ceddanne Rafaela CF
Singles
0.5
72 ยท OVER
Caleb Durbin Caleb Durbin 3B
Singles
0.5
61 ยท UNDER
Jarren Duran Jarren Duran LF
Singles
0.5
55 ยท OVER
Willson Contreras Willson Contreras 1B
Hits + Runs + RBIs
0.5
54 ยท OVER
OAK โ€” Home
Henry Bolte Henry Bolte CF
Singles
0.5
68 ยท OVER
Tommy White Tommy White 3B
Singles
0.5
55 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.