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MLB Matchup Intelligence

COL vs
ARI

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks

May 23, 2026 ยท 10:10 PM ET ยท Chase Field
COL 58-104  ยท  ARI 86-76

๐Ÿ Final: COL 4, ARI 5 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Arizona Diamondbacks
Confidence 72%
Projected Score ARI 6 ยท COL 4
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

ARI Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Key injuries ARI (Corbin Burnes, Gabriel Moreno) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Defensive edge (dWAR 7.8) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Recent run diff (+3.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI SP home venue edge (ERA 5.93 H vs 6.82 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
ARI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

COL โ€” Away RHP
Michael Lorenzen
Michael Lorenzen
ERA7.21
WHIP1.89
FIP5.31
K/96.4
K/BB2.5
vs
ARI โ€” Home RHP
Zac Gallen
Zac Gallen
ERA6.07
WHIP1.55
FIP5.23
K/95.5
K/BB2.5
Home ERA: 5.93

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

COL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Jake McCarthy CF
  2. 2 Hunter Goodman C
  3. 3 TJ Rumfield 1B
  4. 4 Willi Castro 1B
  5. 4 Tyler Freeman RF
  6. 5 Troy Johnston LF
  7. 6 Ezequiel Tovar SS
  8. 7 Sterlin Thompson DH
  9. 8 Chad Stevens 2B
  10. 9 Kyle Karros 3B
ARI โ€” Home
  1. 1 Ketel Marte 2B
  2. 2 Corbin Carroll RF
  3. 3 Geraldo Perdomo SS
  4. 4 Nolan Arenado 3B
  5. 5 Ildemaro Vargas 1B
  6. 6 Gabriel Moreno C
  7. 7 Jose Fernandez DH
  8. 8 Tim Tawa LF
  9. 9 Ryan Waldschmidt CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

COL Away ARI Home
Team OPS 0.689 0.741
Bullpen FIP 5.45 3.95
Run Diff / 10G -1.7 +1.9
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -2

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
COL -1.5 (+1240)
ARI +1.5 (-10000)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (+380)
Under 9.5 (-594)
Moneyline
COL +670
ARI -1420

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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