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MLB Matchup Intelligence

COL vs
PHI

Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies

May 10, 2026 ยท 1:35 PM ET ยท Citizens Bank Park
COL 58-104  ยท  PHI 88-74

๐Ÿ Final: COL 0, PHI 6 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Philadelphia Phillies
Confidence 72%
Projected Score PHI 7 ยท COL 5
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

PHI Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP quality edge (FIP 2.83 vs 5.21) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL PHI SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI COL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Defensive edge (dWAR 3.6) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI K edge vs COL lineup (10.0 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Recent run diff (+2.1 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP home venue edge (ERA 2.33 H vs 3.94 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

COL โ€” Away RHP
Tomoyuki Sugano
Tomoyuki Sugano
ERA5.37
WHIP1.31
FIP5.34
K/95.6
K/BB3.5
Road ERA: 5.79
vs
PHI โ€” Home LHP
Cristopher Sanchez
Cristopher Sanchez
ERA2.91
WHIP1.20
FIP2.71
K/910.0
K/BB8.1
Home ERA: 2.33

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

COL โ€” Away
  1. 1 Jordan Beck RF
  2. 2 Tyler Freeman 2B
  3. 3 Hunter Goodman C
  4. 4 Willi Castro 1B
  5. 5 Brenton Doyle CF
  6. 6 Mickey Moniak DH
  7. 7 Kyle Karros 3B
  8. 8 Ezequiel Tovar SS
  9. 9 Jake McCarthy LF
PHI โ€” Home
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Adolis Garcia RF
  5. 5 Brandon Marsh LF
  6. 6 J.T. Realmuto C
  7. 7 Bryson Stott 2B
  8. 8 Alec Bohm 3B
  9. 9 Justin Crawford CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

COL Away PHI Home
Team OPS 0.706 0.713
Bullpen FIP 5.45 4.07
Run Diff / 10G -1.3 +0.8
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
COL +6.5 (-115)
PHI -6.5 (-113)
Total (O/U)
Over 11.5 (-118)
Under 11.5 (-110)
Moneyline
COL +1340
PHI -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

COL โ€” Away
Tomoyuki Sugano Tomoyuki Sugano SP
Pitcher Ks
3.5
50 ยท OVER
PHI โ€” Home

No data yet.

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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