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MLB Matchup Intelligence

DET vs
BOS

Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox

April 20, 2026 ยท 11:10 AM ET ยท Fenway Park
DET 76-86  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: DET 6, BOS 8 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Boston Red Sox
Confidence 72%
Projected Score BOS 9 ยท DET 6
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Key injuries DET (Troy Melton, Colt Keith) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS SP quality edge (FIP 3.34 vs 3.97, PF 1.07) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 3.1) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET K edge vs BOS lineup (10.5 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Recent run diff (+1.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

DET โ€” Away RHP
Jack Flaherty
Jack Flaherty
ERA4.48
WHIP1.39
FIP3.82
K/910.5
K/BB6.2
Road ERA: 4.75
vs
BOS โ€” Home RHP
Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
ERA2.72
WHIP1.15
FIP3.38
K/97.9
K/BB5.5
Home ERA: 2.72

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

DET โ€” Away
  1. 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
  2. 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
  3. 3 Colt Keith 1B
  4. 4 Riley Greene LF
  5. 5 Dillon Dingler DH
  6. 6 Kerry Carpenter RF
  7. 7 Matt Vierling CF
  8. 8 Hao-Yu Lee 3B
  9. 9 Jake Rogers C
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Roman Anthony LF
  2. 2 Willson Contreras 1B
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Masataka Yoshida DH
  5. 5 Trevor Story SS
  6. 6 Jarren Duran CF
  7. 7 Caleb Durbin 3B
  8. 8 Marcelo Mayer 2B
  9. 9 Carlos Narvaez C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

DET Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.716 0.683
Bullpen FIP 4.74 3.55
Run Diff / 10G +1.4 +0.2
Days Rest 0 0
Streak -1 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
DET +1.5 (+326)
BOS -1.5 (-485)
Total (O/U)
Over 14.5 (+316)
Under 14.5 (-467)
Moneyline
DET +1240
BOS -9900

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

DET โ€” Away

No data yet.

BOS โ€” Home
Sonny Gray Sonny Gray SP
Outs
16.5
63 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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