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MLB Matchup Intelligence

MIN vs
BOS

Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox

May 23, 2026 ยท 4:10 PM ET ยท Fenway Park
MIN 77-85  ยท  BOS 87-75

๐Ÿ Final: MIN 4, BOS 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Minnesota Twins
Confidence 72%
Projected Score MIN 5 ยท BOS 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

BOS Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN Key injuries BOS (Mickey Gasper, Roman Anthony) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS MIN SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Defensive edge (dWAR 6.0) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN K edge vs BOS lineup (10.4 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIN Recent run diff (+1.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS MIN SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
BOS Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

MIN โ€” Away RHP
Taj Bradley
Taj Bradley
ERA3.73
WHIP1.22
FIP3.76
K/910.4
K/BB6.5
Road ERA: 4.34
vs
BOS โ€” Home LHP
Jovani Moran
Jovani Moran
ERA3.15
WHIP1.14
FIP4.17
K/910.1
K/BB5.5

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

MIN โ€” Away
  1. 1 Byron Buxton CF
  2. 2 Trevor Larnach LF
  3. 3 Austin Martin RF
  4. 4 Josh Bell DH
  5. 5 Kody Clemens 1B
  6. 6 Victor Caratini C
  7. 7 Orlando Arcia 2B
  8. 8 Brooks Lee 3B
  9. 9 Ryan Kreidler SS
BOS โ€” Home
  1. 1 Jarren Duran LF
  2. 2 Mickey Gasper DH
  3. 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
  4. 4 Willson Contreras 1B
  5. 5 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
  6. 6 Nick Sogard 3B
  7. 7 Marcelo Mayer 2B
  8. 8 Connor Wong C
  9. 9 Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

MIN Away BOS Home
Team OPS 0.716 0.719
Bullpen FIP 4.18 3.55
Run Diff / 10G +1.3 -0.1
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
MIN -1.5 (-141)
BOS +1.5 (+108)
Total (O/U)
Over 6.5 (-103)
Under 6.5 (-126)
Moneyline
MIN -587
BOS +377

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

MIN โ€” Away
Taj Bradley Taj Bradley SP
Pitcher Ks
4.5
67 ยท OVER
BOS โ€” Home

No data yet.

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