โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies

May 6, 2026 ยท 9:20 PM ET ยท Coors Field
NYM 74-88  ยท  COL 58-104

๐Ÿ Final: NYM 10, COL 5 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYM 10 ยท COL 7
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

COL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL Key injuries NYM (Jared Young, Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM SP quality edge (FIP 4.52 vs 6.14, PF 1.28) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Defensive edge (dWAR 3.3) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM K edge vs COL lineup (11.0 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
COL SP home venue edge (ERA 4.61 H vs 7.02 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYM โ€” Away RHP
ERA3.85
WHIP1.27
FIP3.36
K/911.0
K/BB7.1
Road ERA: 4.08
vs
COL โ€” Home LHP
ERA5.44
WHIP1.50
FIP6.02
K/94.7
K/BB0.9
Home ERA: 4.61

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYM Away COL Home
Team OPS 0.712 0.735
Bullpen FIP 4.39 5.45
Run Diff / 10G -0.5 -0.7
Days Rest 1 1
Streak -1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYM -3.5 (-190)
COL +3.5 (+145)
Total (O/U)
Over 16.5 (+147)
Under 16.5 (-194)
Moneyline
NYM -10000
COL +1340

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.