โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
CHW

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox

July 28, 2026 ยท 7:40 PM ET ยท Rate Field
NYY 93-68  ยท  CHW 84-78

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 3, CHW 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Chicago White Sox
Confidence 59%
Projected Score CHW 3 ยท NYY 1
Blowout Probability 6%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

CHW Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP quality edge (FIP 3.71 vs 4.50) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHW NYY SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHW Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHW Recent run diff (+1.0 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHW SP home venue edge (ERA 3.92 H vs 5.44 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHW Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away RHP
Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole
ERA3.61
WHIP1.10
FIP3.88
K/99.3
K/BB7.5
Road ERA: 3.50
vs
CHW โ€” Home LHP
Anthony Kay
Anthony Kay
ERA4.44
WHIP1.37
FIP4.26
K/97.3
K/BB4.2
Home ERA: 3.92

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  2. 2 Ben Rice DH
  3. 3 Amed Rosario 3B
  4. 4 Jasson Dominguez RF
  5. 5 Trent Grisham CF
  6. 6 Anthony Volpe SS
  7. 7 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  8. 8 Max Schuemann LF
  9. 9 Austin Wells C
CHW โ€” Home
  1. 1 Sam Antonacci LF
  2. 2 Munetaka Murakami 1B
  3. 3 Miguel Vargas 3B
  4. 4 Colson Montgomery SS
  5. 5 Andrew Benintendi DH
  6. 6 Braden Montgomery RF
  7. 7 Tristan Peters CF
  8. 8 Chase Meidroth 2B
  9. 9 Drew Romo C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away CHW Home
Team OPS 0.708 0.729
Bullpen FIP 4.52 4.03
Run Diff / 10G -0.3 +0.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY -2.5 (-385)
CHW +2.5 (+270)
Total (O/U)
Over 3.5 (+106)
Under 3.5 (-138)
Moneyline
NYY -10000
CHW +1300

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
Hits
1.5
72 ยท UNDER
Jasson Dominguez Jasson Dominguez RF
Hits
1.5
70 ยท UNDER
Anthony Volpe Anthony Volpe SS
Hits
1.5
68 ยท UNDER
Paul Goldschmidt Paul Goldschmidt 1B
Hits
1.5
65 ยท UNDER
CHW โ€” Home
Sam Antonacci Sam Antonacci LF
Hits
1.5
78 ยท OVER
Miguel Vargas Miguel Vargas 3B
Hits
1.5
71 ยท UNDER
Chase Meidroth Chase Meidroth 2B
Hits
1.5
70 ยท UNDER
Braden Montgomery Braden Montgomery RF
Hits
1.5
65 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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