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MLB Matchup Intelligence

NYY vs
NYM

New York Yankees vs New York Mets

May 16, 2026 ยท 7:15 PM ET ยท Citi Field
NYY 93-68  ยท  NYM 74-88

๐Ÿ Final: NYY 3, NYM 6 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† New York Mets
Confidence 72%
Projected Score NYM 6 ยท NYY 4
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

NYM Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY Key injuries NYM (Christian Scott) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYY SP quality edge (FIP 3.22 vs 4.06) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM NYY SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Recent run diff (+1.5 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM NYY SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
NYM Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

NYY โ€” Away LHP
Carlos Rodon
Carlos Rodon
ERA2.67
WHIP1.05
FIP3.37
K/99.7
K/BB5.7
Road ERA: 3.24
vs
NYM โ€” Home RHP
Huascar Brazoban
Huascar Brazoban
ERA2.96
WHIP1.09
FIP3.70
K/97.5
K/BB3.6

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

NYY โ€” Away
  1. 1 Ben Rice DH
  2. 2 Aaron Judge RF
  3. 3 Cody Bellinger LF
  4. 4 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
  5. 5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
  6. 6 Amed Rosario 3B
  7. 7 Trent Grisham CF
  8. 8 Anthony Volpe SS
  9. 9 Austin Wells C
NYM โ€” Home
  1. 1 Carson Benge RF
  2. 2 Bo Bichette SS
  3. 3 Juan Soto LF
  4. 4 Mark Vientos 1B
  5. 5 Marcus Semien 2B
  6. 6 Player #4873604 CF
  7. 7 Austin Slater DH
  8. 8 Brett Baty 3B
  9. 9 Luis Torrens C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

NYY Away NYM Home
Team OPS 0.742 0.702
Bullpen FIP 4.52 4.39
Run Diff / 10G -0.4 +1.1
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
NYY +2.5 (+230)
NYM -2.5 (-319)
Total (O/U)
Over 9.5 (+229)
Under 9.5 (-317)
Moneyline
NYY +1320
NYM -3200

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

NYY โ€” Away
Carlos Rodon Carlos Rodon SP
Pitcher Ks
5.5
51 ยท OVER
NYM โ€” Home

No data yet.

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