โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

PHI vs
MIA

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

July 28, 2026 ยท 6:40 PM ET ยท loanDepot park
PHI 88-74  ยท  MIA 80-82

๐Ÿ Final: PHI 0, MIA 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Miami Marlins
Confidence 55%
Projected Score MIA 2 ยท PHI 0
Blowout Probability 3%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

MIA Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Key injuries MIA (Jakob Marsee) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA SP quality edge (FIP 4.13 vs 5.28) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
MIA Defensive edge (dWAR 4.6) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Recent run diff (+1.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP road mastery (ERA 3.95 R vs 5.72 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PHI โ€” Away RHP
Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
ERA4.67
WHIP1.35
FIP4.84
K/99.1
K/BB6.1
Road ERA: 3.95
vs
MIA โ€” Home RHP
Sandy Alcantara
Sandy Alcantara
ERA3.87
WHIP1.23
FIP3.96
K/96.4
K/BB4.0
Home ERA: 3.18

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

PHI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Bryson Stott 2B
  3. 3 Bryce Harper DH
  4. 4 Alec Bohm 1B
  5. 5 Brandon Marsh LF
  6. 6 Edmundo Sosa 3B
  7. 7 Justin Crawford CF
  8. 8 Bryan De La Cruz RF
  9. 9 Garrett Stubbs C
MIA โ€” Home
  1. 1 Otto Lopez SS
  2. 2 Kyle Stowers 1B
  3. 3 Heriberto Hernandez LF
  4. 4 Xavier Edwards 2B
  5. 5 Liam Hicks DH
  6. 6 Griffin Conine RF
  7. 7 Jakob Marsee CF
  8. 8 Graham Pauley 3B
  9. 9 Joe Mack C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PHI Away MIA Home
Team OPS 0.688 0.748
Bullpen FIP 4.07 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -0.2 -2.1
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PHI -1.5 (+1060)
MIA +1.5 (-4400)
Total (O/U)
Over 1.5 (+546)
Under 1.5 (-1000)
Moneyline
PHI +890
MIA -2200

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 4 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

PHI โ€” Away
Trea Turner Trea Turner SS
Hits
1.5
78 ยท UNDER
Bryson Stott Bryson Stott 2B
Hits
1.5
76 ยท UNDER
Bryce Harper Bryce Harper DH
Hits
1.5
73 ยท UNDER
Edmundo Sosa Edmundo Sosa 3B
Hits
3.5
68 ยท UNDER
MIA โ€” Home
Heriberto Hernandez Heriberto Hernandez LF
Hits
1.5
78 ยท UNDER
Kyle Stowers Kyle Stowers 1B
Hits
1.5
76 ยท UNDER
Liam Hicks Liam Hicks DH
Hits
1.5
65 ยท UNDER
Graham Pauley Graham Pauley 3B
Hits
1.5
57 ยท UNDER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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