โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

PHI vs
PIT

Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates

May 16, 2026 ยท 4:05 PM ET ยท PNC Park
PHI 88-74  ยท  PIT 82-80

๐Ÿ Final: PHI 6, PIT 0 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Philadelphia Phillies
Confidence 72%
Projected Score PHI 5 ยท PIT 3
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

PIT Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Key injuries PIT (Oneil Cruz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Key injuries PHI (Luis Arraez) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI SP quality edge (FIP 2.52 vs 4.75) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT PHI SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Defensive edge (dWAR 7.2) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI K edge vs PIT lineup (10.0 K/9) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PHI Recent run diff (+1.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT PHI SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PHI โ€” Away LHP
Cristopher Sanchez
Cristopher Sanchez
ERA2.91
WHIP1.20
FIP2.71
K/910.0
K/BB8.1
Road ERA: 3.94
vs
PIT โ€” Home RHP
Bubba Chandler
Bubba Chandler
ERA4.62
WHIP1.40
FIP4.11
K/98.2
K/BB3.5
Home ERA: 4.68

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

PHI โ€” Away
  1. 1 Trea Turner SS
  2. 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
  3. 3 Bryce Harper 1B
  4. 4 Alec Bohm 3B
  5. 5 Brandon Marsh LF
  6. 6 Adolis Garcia RF
  7. 7 Bryson Stott 2B
  8. 8 J.T. Realmuto C
  9. 9 Justin Crawford CF
PIT โ€” Home
  1. 1 Oneil Cruz CF
  2. 2 Konnor Griffin SS
  3. 3 Bryan Reynolds LF
  4. 4 Marcell Ozuna DH
  5. 5 Ryan O'Hearn 1B
  6. 6 Nick Gonzales 3B
  7. 7 Brandon Lowe 2B
  8. 8 Jared Triolo RF
  9. 9 Henry Davis C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PHI Away PIT Home
Team OPS 0.713 0.725
Bullpen FIP 4.07 3.99
Run Diff / 10G +1.3 -0.1
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PHI -4.5 (-150)
PIT +4.5 (+115)
Total (O/U)
Over 7.5 (+124)
Under 7.5 (-162)
Moneyline
PHI -10000
PIT +1380

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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