โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

PIT vs
STL

Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals

May 19, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM ET ยท Busch Stadium
PIT 82-80  ยท  STL 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: PIT 6, STL 9 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† St. Louis Cardinals
Confidence 72%
Projected Score STL 8 ยท PIT 6
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

STL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries PIT (Oneil Cruz) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT SP quality edge (FIP 3.66 vs 4.56) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
PIT Defensive edge (dWAR 2.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Recent run diff (+0.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

PIT โ€” Away RHP
Mitch Keller
Mitch Keller
ERA5.29
WHIP1.38
FIP4.34
K/97.0
K/BB3.7
Road ERA: 5.17
vs
STL โ€” Home LHP
Matthew Liberatore
Matthew Liberatore
ERA5.23
WHIP1.47
FIP4.53
K/98.9
K/BB5.7
Home ERA: 5.66

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

PIT โ€” Away
  1. 1 Nick Gonzales 3B
  2. 2 Konnor Griffin SS
  3. 3 Bryan Reynolds LF
  4. 4 Marcell Ozuna DH
  5. 5 Oneil Cruz CF
  6. 6 Jhostynxon Garcia RF
  7. 7 Brandon Lowe 2B
  8. 8 Jared Triolo 1B
  9. 9 Henry Davis C
STL โ€” Home
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera DH
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Walker RF
  5. 5 Nolan Gorman 3B
  6. 6 Nathan Church LF
  7. 7 Cesar Prieto SS
  8. 8 Pedro Pages C
  9. 9 Victor Scott II CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

PIT Away STL Home
Team OPS 0.683 0.625
Bullpen FIP 3.99 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -0.5 +0.4
Days Rest 1 1
Streak 1 -4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
PIT -1.5 (+800)
STL +1.5 (-2000)
Total (O/U)
Over 13.5 (+344)
Under 13.5 (-521)
Moneyline
PIT +484
STL -830

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB