โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

SEA vs
CHW

Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox

May 9, 2026 ยท 7:10 PM ET ยท Rate Field
SEA 76-86  ยท  CHW 84-78

๐Ÿ Final: SEA 1, CHW 6 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Chicago White Sox
Confidence 72%
Projected Score CHW 5 ยท SEA 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

CHW Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA SP quality edge (FIP 4.87 vs 5.14) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHW Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA Catcher arm edge (CS% 16pp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHW Recent run diff (+0.7 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CHW SP home venue edge (ERA 3.92 H vs 5.44 A) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

SEA โ€” Away RHP
Luis Castillo
Luis Castillo
ERA5.85
WHIP1.49
FIP4.89
K/97.7
K/BB4.7
vs
CHW โ€” Home LHP
Anthony Kay
Anthony Kay
ERA4.44
WHIP1.37
FIP4.26
K/97.3
K/BB4.2
Home ERA: 3.92

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

SEA โ€” Away
  1. 1 Rob Refsnyder RF
  2. 2 Cal Raleigh DH
  3. 3 Julio Rodriguez CF
  4. 4 Josh Naylor 1B
  5. 5 Randy Arozarena LF
  6. 6 J.P. Crawford SS
  7. 7 Mitch Garver C
  8. 8 Cole Young 2B
  9. 9 Leo Rivas 3B
CHW โ€” Home
  1. 1 Sam Antonacci LF
  2. 2 Munetaka Murakami 1B
  3. 3 Miguel Vargas 3B
  4. 4 Colson Montgomery SS
  5. 5 Chase Meidroth 2B
  6. 6 Andrew Benintendi DH
  7. 6 Jarred Kelenic RF
  8. 7 Tristan Peters CF
  9. 8 Randal Grichuk DH
  10. 9 Edgar Quero C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

SEA Away CHW Home
Team OPS 0.645 0.739
Bullpen FIP 4.56 4.03
Run Diff / 10G +0.2 +0.9
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 3

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
SEA +3.5 (+163)
CHW -3.5 (-217)
Total (O/U)
Over 6.5 (-145)
Under 6.5 (+111)
Moneyline
SEA +1400
CHW -10000

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

SEA โ€” Away

No data yet.

CHW โ€” Home
Anthony Kay Anthony Kay SP
Pitcher Ks
3.5
55 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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