โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

SEA vs
STL

Seattle Mariners vs St. Louis Cardinals

April 24, 2026 ยท 8:15 PM ET ยท Busch Stadium
SEA 76-86  ยท  STL 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: SEA 3, STL 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Seattle Mariners
Confidence 72%
Projected Score SEA 4 ยท STL 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

STL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA SP quality edge (FIP 3.81 vs 4.11) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA STL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SEA SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Defensive edge (dWAR 3.8) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA Recent run diff (+1.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SEA SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

SEA โ€” Away RHP
George Kirby
George Kirby
ERA4.33
WHIP1.40
FIP3.85
K/97.6
K/BB5.2
Road ERA: 5.55
vs
STL โ€” Home RHP
Andre Pallante
Andre Pallante
ERA3.83
WHIP1.27
FIP3.63
K/96.1
K/BB3.3
Home ERA: 4.51

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

SEA โ€” Away
  1. 1 J.P. Crawford SS
  2. 2 Cal Raleigh C
  3. 3 Julio Rodriguez CF
  4. 4 Josh Naylor 1B
  5. 5 Randy Arozarena LF
  6. 6 Luke Raley RF
  7. 7 Dominic Canzone DH
  8. 8 Cole Young 2B
  9. 9 Leo Rivas 3B
STL โ€” Home
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera C
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Walker RF
  5. 5 Nolan Gorman DH
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Nathan Church CF
  8. 8 Ramon Urias 3B
  9. 9 Jose Fermin LF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

SEA Away STL Home
Team OPS 0.699 0.687
Bullpen FIP 4.56 3.97
Run Diff / 10G +0.3 -1.1
Days Rest 1 1
Streak 2 -4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
SEA -1.5 (+1400)
STL +1.5 (-10000)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+557)
Under 5.5 (-1040)
Moneyline
SEA -1720
STL +740

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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