โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

SEA vs
STL

Seattle Mariners vs St. Louis Cardinals

April 25, 2026 ยท 2:15 PM ET ยท Busch Stadium
SEA 76-86  ยท  STL 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: SEA 11, STL 9 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Seattle Mariners
Confidence 72%
Projected Score SEA 12 ยท STL 9
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

STL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA SP quality edge (FIP 2.40 vs 4.98) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SEA SP fatigued โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Defensive edge (dWAR 2.7) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA Catcher arm edge (CS% 16pp) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA Recent run diff (+1.2 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SEA SP home dependent โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

SEA โ€” Away RHP
Bryan Woo
Bryan Woo
ERA4.01
WHIP1.10
FIP3.11
K/99.1
K/BB7.1
Road ERA: 5.40
vs
STL โ€” Home LHP
Matthew Liberatore
Matthew Liberatore
ERA5.23
WHIP1.47
FIP4.53
K/98.9
K/BB5.7
Home ERA: 5.66

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

SEA โ€” Away
  1. 1 Rob Refsnyder RF
  2. 2 Cal Raleigh DH
  3. 3 Julio Rodriguez CF
  4. 4 Josh Naylor 1B
  5. 5 Randy Arozarena LF
  6. 6 J.P. Crawford SS
  7. 7 Mitch Garver C
  8. 8 Cole Young 2B
  9. 9 Will Wilson 3B
STL โ€” Home
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera DH
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Walker RF
  5. 5 Nolan Gorman 3B
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Nathan Church LF
  8. 8 Pedro Pages C
  9. 9 Victor Scott II CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

SEA Away STL Home
Team OPS 0.668 0.669
Bullpen FIP 4.56 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -0.1 -1.3
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 -4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
SEA -1.5 (-512)
STL +1.5 (+340)
Total (O/U)
Over 20.5 (+308)
Under 20.5 (-452)
Moneyline
SEA -1980
STL +790

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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