โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

SEA vs
STL

Seattle Mariners vs St. Louis Cardinals

April 26, 2026 ยท 2:15 PM ET ยท Busch Stadium
SEA 76-86  ยท  STL 77-85

๐Ÿ Final: SEA 3, STL 2 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Seattle Mariners
Confidence 72%
Projected Score SEA 4 ยท STL 2
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

STL Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA SP quality edge (FIP 3.84 vs 4.39) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA STL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Defensive edge (dWAR 2.3) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
SEA Recent run diff (+0.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

SEA โ€” Away RHP
Emerson Hancock
Emerson Hancock
ERA3.57
WHIP1.14
FIP3.85
K/98.2
K/BB6.1
Road ERA: 4.03
vs
STL โ€” Home RHP
Michael McGreevy
Michael McGreevy
ERA3.95
WHIP1.28
FIP4.21
K/96.2
K/BB3.6
Home ERA: 3.98

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

SEA โ€” Away
  1. 1 J.P. Crawford SS
  2. 2 Cal Raleigh C
  3. 3 Julio Rodriguez CF
  4. 4 Randy Arozarena LF
  5. 5 Luke Raley RF
  6. 6 Dominic Canzone DH
  7. 7 Connor Joe 1B
  8. 8 Cole Young 2B
  9. 9 Leo Rivas 3B
STL โ€” Home
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera C
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Walker RF
  5. 5 Nolan Gorman DH
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Nathan Church LF
  8. 8 Ramon Urias 3B
  9. 9 Victor Scott II CF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

SEA Away STL Home
Team OPS 0.691 0.668
Bullpen FIP 4.56 3.97
Run Diff / 10G -0.3 -0.9
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 2 -4

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
SEA -1.5 (+740)
STL +1.5 (-1720)
Total (O/U)
Over 5.5 (+660)
Under 5.5 (-1380)
Moneyline
SEA -2700
STL +900

๐Ÿ” Key Suspects Top 1 Preview

Top betting prop targets identified by the BlowOutAlert engine for this matchup. Click a suspect for the full evidence breakdown. Full rankings, verdicts, sharp money signals, and live lineup tracking are in the workspace.

SEA โ€” Away

No data yet.

STL โ€” Home
Michael McGreevy Michael McGreevy SP
Pitcher Ks
3.5
51 ยท OVER

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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