โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

STL vs
CIN

St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds

May 23, 2026 ยท 7:15 PM ET ยท Great American Ball Park
STL 77-85  ยท  CIN 75-87

๐Ÿ Final: STL 6, CIN 7 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Cincinnati Reds
Confidence 69%
Projected Score CIN 8 ยท STL 6
Blowout Probability 12%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

CIN Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Key injuries CIN (Chase Burns) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SP quality edge (FIP 3.72 vs 7.10, PF 1.12) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CIN STL SP elevated fatigue โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Defensive edge (dWAR 3.5) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
CIN Recent run diff (+1.9 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL SP road mastery (ERA 3.22 R vs 4.51 H) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
STL Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

STL โ€” Away RHP
Andre Pallante
Andre Pallante
ERA3.83
WHIP1.27
FIP3.63
K/96.1
K/BB3.3
Road ERA: 3.22
vs
CIN โ€” Home RHP
Chase Petty
Chase Petty
ERA4.83
WHIP1.26
FIP5.50
K/94.3
K/BB1.7

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

STL โ€” Away
  1. 1 JJ Wetherholt 2B
  2. 2 Ivan Herrera DH
  3. 3 Alec Burleson 1B
  4. 4 Jordan Walker RF
  5. 5 Nolan Gorman 3B
  6. 6 Masyn Winn SS
  7. 7 Bryan Torres LF
  8. 8 Pedro Pages C
  9. 9 Victor Scott II CF
CIN โ€” Home
  1. 1 Blake Dunn CF
  2. 2 Elly De La Cruz SS
  3. 3 JJ Bleday DH
  4. 4 Sal Stewart 3B
  5. 5 Nathaniel Lowe 1B
  6. 6 Matt McLain 2B
  7. 7 Will Benson RF
  8. 8 P.J. Higgins C
  9. 9 TJ Friedl LF

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

STL Away CIN Home
Team OPS 0.667 0.706
Bullpen FIP 3.97 5.25
Run Diff / 10G -0.9 +1.0
Days Rest 1 2
Streak -4 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
STL -1.5 (+820)
CIN +1.5 (-2200)
Total (O/U)
Over 13.5 (+309)
Under 13.5 (-454)
Moneyline
STL +489
CIN -850

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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