โ† MLB

MLB Matchup Intelligence

TOR vs
DET

Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers

May 16, 2026 ยท 1:10 PM ET ยท Comerica Park
TOR 79-83  ยท  DET 76-86

๐Ÿ Final: TOR 2, DET 1 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Toronto Blue Jays
Confidence 72%
Projected Score TOR 3 ยท DET 1
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

DET Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR Key injuries DET (Troy Melton, Colt Keith) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Key injuries TOR (Dylan Cease) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET SP quality edge (FIP 3.33 vs 3.61) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
DET Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR Recent run diff (+2.6 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR DET SP road-favored (pitching at home) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

TOR โ€” Away LHP
Mason Fluharty
Mason Fluharty
ERA3.30
WHIP1.25
FIP3.61
K/99.4
K/BB5.4
vs
DET โ€” Home RHP
Casey Mize
Casey Mize
ERA4.32
WHIP1.23
FIP4.08
K/97.6
K/BB4.9
Home ERA: 9.26

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

TOR โ€” Away
  1. 1 George Springer DH
  2. 2 Yohendrick Pinango LF
  3. 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
  4. 4 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
  5. 5 Daulton Varsho CF
  6. 6 Jesus Sanchez RF
  7. 7 Lenyn Sosa 2B
  8. 8 Andres Gimenez SS
  9. 9 Tyler Heineman C
DET โ€” Home
  1. 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
  2. 2 Dillon Dingler DH
  3. 3 Hao-Yu Lee 3B
  4. 4 Matt Vierling CF
  5. 5 Riley Greene LF
  6. 6 Spencer Torkelson 1B
  7. 7 Zach McKinstry 2B
  8. 8 Wenceel Perez RF
  9. 9 Jake Rogers C

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

TOR Away DET Home
Team OPS 0.646 0.693
Bullpen FIP 4.49 4.74
Run Diff / 10G -0.1 -2.7
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
TOR -1.5 (+950)
DET +1.5 (-3100)
Total (O/U)
Over 3.5 (+233)
Under 3.5 (-324)
Moneyline
TOR -780
DET +460

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

Launch Workspace Back to MLB