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MLB Matchup Intelligence

TOR vs
TB

Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays

May 6, 2026 ยท 1:10 PM ET ยท Tropicana Field
TOR 79-83  ยท  TB 98-64

๐Ÿ Final: TOR 0, TB 3 This preview reflects the pregame matchup. View Full Recap โ†’

๐Ÿ† SportsFBI Verdict

Projected Winner ๐Ÿ† Tampa Bay Rays
Confidence 72%
Projected Score TB 3 ยท TOR 0
Blowout Probability 14%

Model-based estimate from BlowoutAlert's MLB matchup engine โ€” not a guarantee.

๐Ÿ“Š Engine Edges

TB Home field โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Record edge โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TOR Key injuries TB (Chandler Simpson, Griffin Jax) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Key injuries TOR (Dylan Cease) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB SP quality edge (FIP 2.71 vs 4.18, PF 0.95) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Offensive composite (wOBA/xwOBA/matchup) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Defensive edge (dWAR 4.0) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Recent run diff (+1.4 R/G L10) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…
TB Bullpen edge (quality/availability) โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜… โ˜…

โšพ Starting Pitchers

TOR โ€” Away LHP
Patrick Corbin
Patrick Corbin
ERA5.51
WHIP1.54
FIP4.41
K/97.1
K/BB4.3
Road ERA: 4.07
vs
TB โ€” Home LHP
Shane McClanahan
Shane McClanahan
ERA3.36
WHIP1.12
FIP3.40
K/98.1
K/BB5.1
Home ERA: 2.61

๐Ÿงข Starting Lineup

TOR โ€” Away
  1. 1 George Springer DH
  2. 2 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
  3. 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
  4. 4 Lenyn Sosa 2B
  5. 5 Ernie Clement SS
  6. 6 Davis Schneider LF
  7. 7 Myles Straw CF
  8. 8 Yohendrick Pinango RF
  9. 9 Tyler Heineman C
TB โ€” Home
  1. 1 Yandy Diaz DH
  2. 2 Ryan Vilade RF
  3. 3 Junior Caminero 3B
  4. 4 Jonathan Aranda 1B
  5. 5 Jonny DeLuca CF
  6. 6 Ben Williamson 2B
  7. 7 Chandler Simpson LF
  8. 8 Nick Fortes C
  9. 9 Taylor Walls SS

๐Ÿ“ธ Team Snapshot

TOR Away TB Home
Team OPS 0.637 0.728
Bullpen FIP 4.49 4.55
Run Diff / 10G +0.6 +2.0
Days Rest 0 0
Streak 1 -1

๐Ÿ“ˆ Betting Lines

Spread
TOR +2.5 (-239)
TB -2.5 (+178)
Total (O/U)
Over 2.5 (-119)
Under 2.5 (-109)
Moneyline
TOR +1300
TB -10000

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges โ€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

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