Rockets 119, Thunder 98 — NBA Recap

📰Game Recap

The Houston Rockets secured a comprehensive victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder, establishing an early lead and maintaining consistent control throughout the game. Houston outscored Oklahoma City in every quarter, steadily building on an initial advantage that saw them finish the first period up 35-26. The Rockets' balanced offensive effort and strong perimeter shooting proved too much for the Thunder.

Jabari Smith Jr. led the Rockets' charge with an impressive performance, scoring 30 points, grabbing 9 rebounds, and dishing out 5 assists, highlighted by 6 made three-pointers on 10-of-18 shooting. Marcus Smart provided a significant boost from beyond the arc, sinking all 7 of his three-point attempts to contribute 24 points, along with 5 rebounds and 3 assists. Alperen Sengun nearly achieved a triple-double with 16 points, 9 rebounds, and 9 assists, while Kevin Durant added 14 points as Houston continued to widen the gap with quarter advantages of 27-25, 30-24, and 27-23.

For the Oklahoma City Thunder, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was a primary offensive threat, scoring 26 points, collecting 4 rebounds, and providing 3 assists, connecting on 3 three-pointers among his 10-of-20 field goal attempts. However, Gilgeous-Alexander's individual effort was insufficient to counter Houston's collective scoring and defensive pressure. The outcome saw the Rockets convincingly defeat the Thunder, a result that diverged from the SportsFBI model's pregame lean of 61% in favor of Oklahoma City.

#RocketsWin #ThunderBasketball #JabariSmithJr #ShaiGilgeousAlexander #NBAGame

How the Prediction Fared

⚡ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Oklahoma City Thunder (61% confidence). It gave a 12% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 21 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · HOU -2.5 HOU covered Won by 21

Total · 219.5 Under 217 combined

Moneyline OKC +122 · HOU -144 HOU favored

Line movementOpening line → close

Spread (HOU) -4.5-2.5 +2

Total 218.5219.5 +1

Moneyline (HOU) -178-144 +34

Standouts

Top Scorer · HOU

Jabari Smith Jr.

30 PTS, 9 REB, 5 AST, 6 3PM · 10-18 FG

Scoring · OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

26 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST, 3 3PM · 10-20 FG

Scoring · HOU

Marcus Smart

24 PTS, 5 REB, 3 AST, 7 3PM · 7-10 FG

Season highs

Marcus Smart · Season-high 24 pointsMarcus Smart · Season-high 7 threesJabari Smith Jr. · Season-high 6 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

OKC 4 largest lead Q1 10:52 (OKC 4, HOU 0) · 10-0 run, Q2 5:43–Q2 3:20

HOU 27 largest lead Q4 7:46 (OKC 81, HOU 108) · 10-0 run, Q2 8:42–Q2 5:43

Swings 1 lead changes Tied 1 time

Ahead for good: Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point shot (Q1 8:43, OKC 5, HOU 7).

Linescore

	1	2	3	4		T
OKC	26	25	24	23		98
HOU	35	27	30	27		119

🧮 How They Scored

OKCHOU

44Points in the paint30

13Fast-break points13

9Second-chance points17

10Points off turnovers16

35Bench points27

Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor

49.4%Effective FG%55.6%

12.4%Turnover %9.1%

24.4%Offensive rebound %28.9%

0.176Free-throw rate0.256

🎯 Shot Chart

Oklahoma City Thunder37/85 FG

65%Restricted Area13 of 20
38%Paint (non-RA)9 of 24
56%Mid-Range5 of 9
0%Left Corner 30 of 3
0%Right Corner 30 of 2
37%Above-break 310 of 27

Houston Rockets41/90 FG

44%Restricted Area8 of 18
41%Paint (non-RA)7 of 17
57%Mid-Range8 of 14
18%Left Corner 32 of 11
63%Right Corner 35 of 8
50%Above-break 311 of 22

● made · ✕ missed, from the official shot log.

Box Score

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G	31	26	4	3	1	0	2	10-20	3-6	3-4	-7
Jared McCain G	28	10	4	2	1	0	2	5-14	0-5	0-0	-9
Aday Mara C	28	7	9	3	0	4	2	3-7	0-0	1-1	-8
Bennett Stirtz G	26	11	1	3	0	0	1	4-8	3-6	0-0	-12
Ajay Mitchell G	26	6	3	5	1	0	1	3-9	0-3	0-0	-27
Jaylin Williams F	26	3	4	1	1	0	1	1-6	0-3	1-1	-21
Isaiah Hartenstein F-C	25	10	7	0	3	0	2	3-8	0-2	4-4	-10
Kenrich Williams G-F	22	11	7	3	0	0	2	3-7	3-6	2-2	-12
Micah Peavy G-F	14	2	1	0	0	0	0	1-2	0-0	0-0	-3
Josh Dix SG	9	7	0	0	0	0	0	3-3	1-1	0-0	+1
Brooks Barnhizer F	6	5	2	0	1	0	0	1-1	0-0	3-3	+3

Houston Rockets

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT	+/-
Marcus Smart G	36	24	5	3	1	0	1	7-10	7-10	3-3	+20
Jabari Smith Jr. F	33	30	9	5	0	1	1	10-18	6-12	4-5	+33
Alperen Sengun F-C	33	16	9	9	0	1	2	6-17	0-2	4-6	+19
Amen Thompson G-F	28	8	3	1	1	0	0	3-8	0-0	2-2	+4
Kevin Durant F	27	14	3	4	1	3	1	4-9	0-1	6-6	+6
Bogdan Bogdanovic G	19	4	2	1	0	0	2	2-7	0-4	0-0	+4
Tari Eason F	19	8	3	2	1	2	2	3-7	2-6	0-0	+10
Isaiah Crawford F	19	8	1	0	0	0	0	3-6	2-5	0-0	+13
Clint Capela C	10	0	4	2	0	0	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	+3
Bruce Thornton G	6	5	1	0	0	0	0	2-4	1-1	0-0	-3
Jae'Sean Tate F	6	0	3	1	1	0	0	0-3	0-0	0-0	-3
Oscar Tshiebwe F-C	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	1-1	0-0	0-1	-1

🔬 Advanced Stats

Oklahoma City ThunderTS% true shooting · USG% usage · NET net rating · PIE player impact

Player	Role	MIN	PTS	TS%	USG%	NET	PIE
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	Starter	30:34	26	59.7	31.1	-13.2	14.9
Kenrich Williams	Starter	21:29	11	69.8	18.9	-25.0	13.2
Isaiah Hartenstein	Starter	24:46	10	51.2	21.8	-15.3	8.6
Jared McCain	Starter	27:51	10	35.7	24.6	-18.1	1.9
Ajay Mitchell	Starter	26:22	6	33.3	16.9	-51.9	3.1
Bennett Stirtz	Bench	26:26	11	68.8	16.7	-20.9	6.6
Aday Mara	Bench	27:43	7	47.0	14.5	-14.5	11.7
Josh Dix	Bench	8:39	7	116.7	17.6	+5.9	17.9
Brooks Barnhizer	Bench	6:10	5	107.8	16.7	+25.0	44.4
Jaylin Williams	Bench	26:19	3	23.3	12.7	-33.5	1.6
Micah Peavy	Bench	13:41	2	50.0	7.1	-7.1	1.8

Houston RocketsTS% true shooting · USG% usage · NET net rating · PIE player impact

Player	Role	MIN	PTS	TS%	USG%	NET	PIE
Jabari Smith Jr.	Starter	33:14	30	74.3	28.4	+47.9	23.8
Marcus Smart	Starter	35:42	24	106.0	14.8	+30.4	20.1
Alperen Sengun	Starter	32:34	16	40.7	28.6	+33.3	10.0
Kevin Durant	Starter	27:23	14	60.1	20.6	+8.7	13.6
Amen Thompson	Starter	28:09	8	45.0	13.2	+5.1	5.4
Tari Eason	Bench	19:09	8	57.1	20.5	+25.6	8.6
Isaiah Crawford	Bench	18:41	8	66.7	13.3	+37.1	4.9
Bruce Thornton	Bench	5:35	5	62.5	23.5	-38.2	18.4
Bogdan Bogdanovic	Bench	19:15	4	28.6	21.4	+14.0	-2.2
Oscar Tshiebwe	Bench	4:25	2	69.4	8.3	-25.0	13.5
Steven Adams	Bench	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Clint Capela	Bench	10:18	0	0.0	4.5	+8.7	8.2
Fred VanVleet	Bench	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Jae'Sean Tate	Bench	5:35	0	0.0	17.6	-38.2	5.3
Reed Sheppard	Bench	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

Player	Prop	Line	Actual	Result
Jabari Smith Jr. HOU	Points	14.5	30	Over
	Rebounds	5.5	9	Over
	3-pointers	2.5	6	Over
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC	Points	29.5	26	Under
	Rebounds	4.5	4	Under
	Assists	5.5	3	Under
	3-pointers	1.5	3	Over
	Reb + Ast	9.5	7	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	39.5	33	Under
Marcus Smart HOU	Points	9.5	24	Over
	Rebounds	2.5	5	Over
	Assists	3.5	3	Under
	3-pointers	1.5	7	Over
	Pts + Reb	11.5	29	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	15.5	32	Over
Alperen Sengun HOU	Points	18.5	16	Under
	Rebounds	8.5	9	Over
	Assists	5.5	9	Over
	Reb + Ast	14.5	18	Over
	Pts + Reb + Ast	33.5	34	Over
Kevin Durant HOU	Points	22.5	14	Under
	Rebounds	5.5	3	Under
	Assists	3.5	4	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	0	Under
	Reb + Ast	8.5	7	Under
	Pts + Reb + Ast	31.5	21	Under
Kenrich Williams OKC	Points	6.5	11	Over
	Rebounds	4.5	7	Over
	3-pointers	1.5	3	Over
	Pts + Reb	10.5	18	Over