NBA Final Intelligence

BOS 5-1
93 – 109
FINAL
HOU 6-1

Boston Celtics 93, Houston Rockets 109 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

The Houston Rockets steadily pulled away from the Boston Celtics for a 109-93 victory. Alperen Sengun fueled Houston's offense with a near triple-double performance, registering 26 points, 7 rebounds, and 10 assists on an efficient 12-of-15 shooting. The Rockets' consistent scoring across quarters gradually built their advantage, aligning with SportsFBI's pregame projection that favored Houston at 61%.

The game began with an even first quarter, as both teams matched each other's pace, ending 29-29. Houston began to assert control in the second period, outscoring Boston 28-21 to take a 57-50 lead into halftime. Jabari Smith Jr. contributed 4 of his 14 points from beyond the arc in the game and added 10 rebounds for the Rockets, helping establish their presence. Boston's Jayson Tatum had 19 points, 6 rebounds, and 9 assists, but struggled with his shooting touch, converting just 5 of 16 attempts.

Houston maintained its momentum through the third quarter, adding to its lead with a 25-23 advantage in the period, pushing the score to 82-73. The Rockets then sealed their win in the final quarter, extending their lead further with a 27-20 run. Neemias Queta provided an efficient 16 points for Boston on 6-of-7 shooting, along with 6 rebounds, while Luka Garza added 14 points, all from four three-pointers. However, their efforts were not enough to counter Sengun's dominant outing and Houston's overall consistent scoring throughout the contest.

#RocketsCeltics #NBA #AlperenSengun #JaysonTatum #HoustonWin

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Houston Rockets (61% confidence). It gave a 12% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 16 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · HOU -4.5 HOU covered Won by 16
Total · 215.5 Under 202 combined
Moneyline BOS +150 · HOU -178 HOU favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Spread (HOU) -4.5-4.5 No move
Total 219.5215.5 -4
Moneyline (HOU) -174-178 -4

Standouts

Top Scorer · HOU
Alperen Sengun
26 PTS, 7 REB, 10 AST, 1 3PM · 12-15 FG
Scoring · BOS
Jayson Tatum
19 PTS, 6 REB, 9 AST, 1 3PM · 5-16 FG
Scoring · BOS
Neemias Queta
16 PTS, 6 REB, 1 AST, 1 3PM · 6-7 FG
Season highs
Alperen Sengun · Season-high 10 assistsLuka Garza · Season-high 4 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

BOS 0 largest lead Never led · 9-0 run, Q1 2:39–Q1 0:57
HOU 18 largest lead Q4 6:52 (BOS 79, HOU 97) · 10-0 run, Q4 8:13–Q4 6:52
Swings 0 lead changes Tied 2 times

Ahead for good: Jabari Smith Jr. makes 5-foot two point shot (Marcus Smart assists) (Q2 11:31, BOS 29, HOU 31).

Linescore

1234 T
BOS 29212320 93
HOU 29282527 109

🧮 How They Scored

BOSHOU
34Points in the paint50
2Fast-break points18
13Second-chance points13
15Points off turnovers15
34Bench points35
Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor
45.8%Effective FG%63.3%
14.0%Turnover %13.3%
32.5%Offensive rebound %26.5%
0.241Free-throw rate0.165

🎯 Shot Chart

Boston Celtics32/83 FG
Baylor Scheierman: missed 26 ftBaylor Scheierman: made 11 ftJayson Tatum: missed 29 ftHugo González: made 3 ftDerrick White: missed 22 ftJayson Tatum: made 2 ftDerrick White: made 8 ftBaylor Scheierman: made 27 ftJayson Tatum: missed 12 ftHugo González: missed 3 ftHugo González: made 0 ftSam Hauser: missed 24 ftPayton Pritchard: missed 26 ftJayson Tatum: missed 25 ftHugo González: made 3 ftPayton Pritchard: missed 24 ftSam Hauser: missed 30 ftJayson Tatum: made 2 ftSam Hauser: made 1 ftNeemias Queta: missed 8 ftLuka Garza: made 25 ftLuka Garza: made 24 ftLuka Garza: missed 7 ftDerrick White: missed 26 ftPayton Pritchard: missed 24 ftMike Conley: made 26 ftLuka Garza: missed 25 ftLuka Garza: missed 25 ftDerrick White: missed 25 ftLuka Garza: missed 9 ftDerrick White: missed 12 ftDerrick White: missed 6 ftLuka Garza: made 23 ftSam Hauser: missed 26 ftMitchell Robinson: made 0 ftJordan Walsh: made 23 ftJayson Tatum: missed 27 ftNeemias Queta: made 1 ftJayson Tatum: missed 2 ftNeemias Queta: made 0 ftJayson Tatum: made 24 ftJayson Tatum: missed 1 ftBaylor Scheierman: missed 15 ftNeemias Queta: made 24 ftJayson Tatum: missed 17 ftNeemias Queta: made 0 ftDerrick White: missed 10 ftNeemias Queta: made 0 ftBaylor Scheierman: made 24 ftMitchell Robinson: made 3 ftBaylor Scheierman: missed 29 ftBaylor Scheierman: missed 23 ftJayson Tatum: missed 28 ftJayson Tatum: made 11 ftJayson Tatum: missed 26 ftBaylor Scheierman: missed 8 ftHugo González: missed 3 ftPayton Pritchard: missed 27 ftJayson Tatum: missed 3 ftSam Hauser: missed 25 ftPayton Pritchard: missed 5 ftLuka Garza: missed 23 ftDerrick White: made 17 ftRon Harper Jr.: missed 28 ftRon Harper Jr.: missed 23 ftRon Harper Jr.: missed 6 ftDerrick White: missed 18 ftLuka Garza: made 31 ftSam Hauser: missed 28 ftPayton Pritchard: missed 5 ftDerrick White: made 23 ftDerrick White: missed 2 ftPayton Pritchard: missed 28 ftNeemias Queta: made 2 ftDerrick White: missed 25 ftJayson Tatum: made 3 ftBaylor Scheierman: made 28 ftHugo González: missed 26 ftJayson Tatum: missed 28 ftJordan Walsh: missed 22 ftJordan Walsh: missed 29 ftJordan Walsh: made 11 ftChris Cenac Jr.: made 1 ft
  • 71%Restricted Area15 of 21
  • 18%Paint (non-RA)2 of 11
  • 33%Mid-Range3 of 9
  • 50%Left Corner 34 of 8
  • 33%Right Corner 31 of 3
  • 23%Above-break 37 of 31
Houston Rockets43/79 FG
Fred VanVleet: missed 23 ftKevin Durant: made 13 ftAlperen Sengun: missed 26 ftFred VanVleet: made 28 ftJabari Smith Jr.: missed 26 ftFred VanVleet: missed 26 ftKevin Durant: made 16 ftAmen Thompson: made 2 ftAmen Thompson: made 2 ftAlperen Sengun: made 7 ftJabari Smith Jr.: missed 16 ftKevin Durant: made 2 ftTari Eason: made 26 ftAlperen Sengun: made 13 ftTari Eason: made 24 ftReed Sheppard: missed 26 ftReed Sheppard: missed 25 ftMarcus Smart: missed 27 ftAlperen Sengun: made 3 ftJabari Smith Jr.: made 5 ftAlperen Sengun: made 2 ftBogdan Bogdanovic: missed 23 ftMarcus Smart: missed 26 ftJabari Smith Jr.: made 28 ftAlperen Sengun: made 3 ftReed Sheppard: missed 13 ftMarcus Smart: missed 10 ftJabari Smith Jr.: missed 0 ftReed Sheppard: missed 18 ftJabari Smith Jr.: missed 0 ftAlperen Sengun: missed 1 ftAmen Thompson: made 3 ftAmen Thompson: missed 5 ftKevin Durant: missed 8 ftOscar Tshiebwe: made 3 ftTari Eason: made 23 ftTari Eason: missed 23 ftAmen Thompson: made 2 ftTari Eason: made 3 ftOscar Tshiebwe: made 3 ftKevin Durant: made 3 ftFred VanVleet: missed 27 ftAlperen Sengun: made 2 ftFred VanVleet: missed 27 ftFred VanVleet: made 29 ftFred VanVleet: missed 25 ftAlperen Sengun: made 26 ftFred VanVleet: made 19 ftJabari Smith Jr.: made 25 ftAlperen Sengun: made 0 ftTari Eason: missed 23 ftAlperen Sengun: made 2 ftFred VanVleet: missed 25 ftJabari Smith Jr.: made 26 ftMarcus Smart: missed 6 ftMarcus Smart: missed 23 ftMarcus Smart: missed 24 ftAmen Thompson: missed 12 ftAmen Thompson: missed 4 ftTari Eason: made 2 ftKevin Durant: made 15 ftMarcus Smart: missed 26 ftJabari Smith Jr.: missed 10 ftAlperen Sengun: made 2 ftTari Eason: missed 26 ftMarcus Smart: made 23 ftMarcus Smart: made 24 ftReed Sheppard: made 27 ftReed Sheppard: made 0 ftAlperen Sengun: made 5 ftReed Sheppard: made 25 ftMarcus Smart: missed 23 ftAlperen Sengun: made 10 ftAlperen Sengun: missed 4 ftAmen Thompson: missed 2 ftAmen Thompson: made 1 ftJabari Smith Jr.: made 25 ftJae'Sean Tate: missed 26 ftBruce Thornton: made 17 ft
  • 83%Restricted Area19 of 23
  • 43%Paint (non-RA)6 of 14
  • 57%Mid-Range4 of 7
  • 50%Left Corner 33 of 6
  • 0%Right Corner 30 of 4
  • 44%Above-break 311 of 25

● made · ✕ missed, from the official shot log.

Box Score

Boston Celtics

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Jayson Tatum F 3219691055-161-78-8+1
Payton Pritchard G 304331010-70-54-6-17
Derrick White G 307231033-121-50-0-4
Baylor Scheierman G 2711521024-93-60-0-10
Neemias Queta C 2616610016-71-13-4+7
Sam Hauser F 192211001-60-50-0-5
Luka Garza C 1814300104-94-72-2+2
Hugo González G 166301003-60-10-0-16
Mitchell Robinson C 154400022-20-00-0-16
Jordan Walsh G 125300002-41-20-0-8
Ron Harper Jr. F 70110000-30-20-0-6
Mike Conley G 43000111-11-10-0-6
Chris Cenac Jr. F 32000001-10-00-0-1
Dillon Mitchell F 30000000-00-00-0-1

Houston Rockets

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Alperen Sengun F-C 382671022112-151-21-2+21
Jabari Smith Jr. F 36141000005-104-50-0+20
Kevin Durant F 3312332145-60-02-3+10
Tari Eason F 2713430225-83-60-0+16
Fred VanVleet G 278291013-92-80-0+13
Amen Thompson G-F 2514331025-90-04-5+2
Marcus Smart G 208442022-102-82-2+5
Reed Sheppard G 178110013-72-40-0-1
Oscar Tshiebwe F-C 84100002-20-00-1-2
Bogdan Bogdanovic G 50010000-10-10-0+4
Isaiah Crawford F 20000000-00-00-0-4
Bruce Thornton G 22000001-10-00-0-2
Jae'Sean Tate F 20100000-10-10-0-2

🔬 Advanced Stats

Boston CelticsTS% true shooting · USG% usage · NET net rating · PIE player impact
PlayerRoleMINPTSTS%USG%NETPIE
Jayson Tatum Starter 32:171948.732.4+5.211.9
Neemias Queta Starter 25:461691.316.7+16.816.9
Baylor Scheierman Starter 26:571161.118.0-22.78.7
Derrick White Starter 29:45729.222.1-5.30.9
Hugo González Starter 15:56650.015.4-41.69.2
Luka Garza Bench 17:311470.924.4-0.221.8
Jordan Walsh Bench 12:14562.518.2-25.38.1
Mitchell Robinson Bench 15:134100.010.5-55.83.0
Payton Pritchard Bench 30:20420.713.9-26.7-0.4
Mike Conley Bench 3:353150.022.2-107.111.5
Sam Hauser Bench 18:56216.712.2-15.9-0.9
Chris Cenac Jr. Bench 2:292100.025.0-25.020.0
Ron Harper Jr. Bench 6:3300.021.4-54.5-4.1
Dillon Mitchell Bench 2:2900.00.0-25.00.0
Houston RocketsTS% true shooting · USG% usage · NET net rating · PIE player impact
PlayerRoleMINPTSTS%USG%NETPIE
Alperen Sengun Starter 37:442681.921.0+27.826.0
Jabari Smith Jr. Starter 36:081470.013.0+28.214.3
Amen Thompson Starter 25:101462.522.8+6.411.7
Kevin Durant Starter 32:431282.015.5+13.811.0
Fred VanVleet Starter 26:52844.417.9+22.98.8
Tari Eason Bench 26:571381.316.9+30.212.9
Marcus Smart Bench 19:44836.828.9+13.26.0
Reed Sheppard Bench 16:31857.123.5-7.68.0
Oscar Tshiebwe Bench 7:27482.013.3-15.47.8
Bruce Thornton Bench 1:422100.033.3-66.728.6
Steven Adams Bench 000.00.00.00.0
Bogdan Bogdanovic Bench 5:1700.010.0+52.20.0
Clint Capela Bench 000.00.00.00.0
Jae'Sean Tate Bench 1:4200.033.3-66.70.0
Isaiah Crawford Bench 2:0300.00.0-100.0-12.5

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

PlayerPropLineActualResult
Alperen Sengun HOU Points17.526 Over
Rebounds8.57 Under
Assists5.510 Over
3-pointers0.51 Over
Pts + Reb26.533 Over
Reb + Ast13.517 Over
Pts + Reb + Ast31.543 Over
Jayson Tatum BOS Points27.519 Under
Rebounds7.56 Under
Assists6.59 Over
3-pointers2.51 Under
Pts + Reb34.525 Under
Reb + Ast13.515 Over
Pts + Reb + Ast41.534 Under
Neemias Queta BOS Points8.516 Over
Rebounds5.56 Over
Jabari Smith Jr. HOU Points14.514 Under
Rebounds5.510 Over
Assists1.50 Under
3-pointers2.54 Over
Pts + Reb + Ast22.524 Over
Amen Thompson HOU Points15.514 Under
Rebounds6.53 Under
Assists4.53 Under
Pts + Reb21.517 Under
Reb + Ast10.56 Under
Pts + Reb + Ast26.520 Under
Tari Eason HOU Points9.513 Over
Rebounds5.54 Under
3-pointers1.53 Over

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series BOS 0 – 1 HOU
Last 13 meetings · since 2020-21 BOS 9 – 4 HOU
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Boston Celtics 5-2 L1 L10 5-2 Next game: vs MIL · Wed, Nov 4
Houston Rockets 7-1 W2 L10 7-1 Next game: vs MIN · Wed, Nov 4

🔍 Key Suspects Results

4 of 6 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

BOS — Away
Payton Pritchard Payton Pritchard G Reb+Ast 6.5 UNDER HIT Actual 6
Neemias Queta Neemias Queta C Rebounds 5.5 UNDER MISS Actual 6
HOU — Home
Reed Sheppard Reed Sheppard G Threes 2 HIT Actual 2
Tari Eason Tari Eason F Rebounds 5.5 OVER MISS Actual 4
Fred VanVleet Fred VanVleet G Reb+Ast 8.5 OVER HIT Actual 11
Marcus Smart Marcus Smart G Points 6.5 OVER HIT Actual 8

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