NBA Final Intelligence
Boston Celtics 93, Houston Rockets 109 — Recap
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Game Recap
The Houston Rockets steadily pulled away from the Boston Celtics for a 109-93 victory. Alperen Sengun fueled Houston's offense with a near triple-double performance, registering 26 points, 7 rebounds, and 10 assists on an efficient 12-of-15 shooting. The Rockets' consistent scoring across quarters gradually built their advantage, aligning with SportsFBI's pregame projection that favored Houston at 61%.
The game began with an even first quarter, as both teams matched each other's pace, ending 29-29. Houston began to assert control in the second period, outscoring Boston 28-21 to take a 57-50 lead into halftime. Jabari Smith Jr. contributed 4 of his 14 points from beyond the arc in the game and added 10 rebounds for the Rockets, helping establish their presence. Boston's Jayson Tatum had 19 points, 6 rebounds, and 9 assists, but struggled with his shooting touch, converting just 5 of 16 attempts.
Houston maintained its momentum through the third quarter, adding to its lead with a 25-23 advantage in the period, pushing the score to 82-73. The Rockets then sealed their win in the final quarter, extending their lead further with a 27-20 run. Neemias Queta provided an efficient 16 points for Boston on 6-of-7 shooting, along with 6 rebounds, while Luka Garza added 14 points, all from four three-pointers. However, their efforts were not enough to counter Sengun's dominant outing and Houston's overall consistent scoring throughout the contest.
How the Prediction Fared
SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Houston Rockets (61% confidence). It gave a 12% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 16 points.
💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line
Standouts
Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.
📊 Game Flow
Ahead for good: Jabari Smith Jr. makes 5-foot two point shot (Marcus Smart assists) (Q2 11:31, BOS 29, HOU 31).
Linescore
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 29 | 21 | 23 | 20 | 93 | |
| HOU | 29 | 28 | 25 | 27 | 109 |
🧮 How They Scored
🎯 Shot Chart
- 71%Restricted Area15 of 21
- 18%Paint (non-RA)2 of 11
- 33%Mid-Range3 of 9
- 50%Left Corner 34 of 8
- 33%Right Corner 31 of 3
- 23%Above-break 37 of 31
- 83%Restricted Area19 of 23
- 43%Paint (non-RA)6 of 14
- 57%Mid-Range4 of 7
- 50%Left Corner 33 of 6
- 0%Right Corner 30 of 4
- 44%Above-break 311 of 25
● made · ✕ missed, from the official shot log.
Box Score
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum F | 32 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5-16 | 1-7 | 8-8 | +1 |
| Payton Pritchard G | 30 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 4-6 | -17 |
| Derrick White G | 30 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | -4 |
| Baylor Scheierman G | 27 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | -10 |
| Neemias Queta C | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | +7 |
| Sam Hauser F | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | -5 |
| Luka Garza C | 18 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | +2 |
| Hugo González G | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | -16 |
| Mitchell Robinson C | 15 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -16 |
| Jordan Walsh G | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | -8 |
| Ron Harper Jr. F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | -6 |
| Mike Conley G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | -6 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. F | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -1 |
| Dillon Mitchell F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -1 |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun F-C | 38 | 26 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12-15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | +21 |
| Jabari Smith Jr. F | 36 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | +20 |
| Kevin Durant F | 33 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | +10 |
| Tari Eason F | 27 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | +16 |
| Fred VanVleet G | 27 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | +13 |
| Amen Thompson G-F | 25 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | +2 |
| Marcus Smart G | 20 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | +5 |
| Reed Sheppard G | 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | -1 |
| Oscar Tshiebwe F-C | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | -2 |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | +4 |
| Isaiah Crawford F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -4 |
| Bruce Thornton G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | -2 |
| Jae'Sean Tate F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | -2 |
🔬 Advanced Stats
| Player | Role | MIN | PTS | TS% | USG% | NET | PIE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | Starter | 32:17 | 19 | 48.7 | 32.4 | +5.2 | 11.9 |
| Neemias Queta | Starter | 25:46 | 16 | 91.3 | 16.7 | +16.8 | 16.9 |
| Baylor Scheierman | Starter | 26:57 | 11 | 61.1 | 18.0 | -22.7 | 8.7 |
| Derrick White | Starter | 29:45 | 7 | 29.2 | 22.1 | -5.3 | 0.9 |
| Hugo González | Starter | 15:56 | 6 | 50.0 | 15.4 | -41.6 | 9.2 |
| Luka Garza | Bench | 17:31 | 14 | 70.9 | 24.4 | -0.2 | 21.8 |
| Jordan Walsh | Bench | 12:14 | 5 | 62.5 | 18.2 | -25.3 | 8.1 |
| Mitchell Robinson | Bench | 15:13 | 4 | 100.0 | 10.5 | -55.8 | 3.0 |
| Payton Pritchard | Bench | 30:20 | 4 | 20.7 | 13.9 | -26.7 | -0.4 |
| Mike Conley | Bench | 3:35 | 3 | 150.0 | 22.2 | -107.1 | 11.5 |
| Sam Hauser | Bench | 18:56 | 2 | 16.7 | 12.2 | -15.9 | -0.9 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. | Bench | 2:29 | 2 | 100.0 | 25.0 | -25.0 | 20.0 |
| Ron Harper Jr. | Bench | 6:33 | 0 | 0.0 | 21.4 | -54.5 | -4.1 |
| Dillon Mitchell | Bench | 2:29 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -25.0 | 0.0 |
| Player | Role | MIN | PTS | TS% | USG% | NET | PIE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun | Starter | 37:44 | 26 | 81.9 | 21.0 | +27.8 | 26.0 |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | Starter | 36:08 | 14 | 70.0 | 13.0 | +28.2 | 14.3 |
| Amen Thompson | Starter | 25:10 | 14 | 62.5 | 22.8 | +6.4 | 11.7 |
| Kevin Durant | Starter | 32:43 | 12 | 82.0 | 15.5 | +13.8 | 11.0 |
| Fred VanVleet | Starter | 26:52 | 8 | 44.4 | 17.9 | +22.9 | 8.8 |
| Tari Eason | Bench | 26:57 | 13 | 81.3 | 16.9 | +30.2 | 12.9 |
| Marcus Smart | Bench | 19:44 | 8 | 36.8 | 28.9 | +13.2 | 6.0 |
| Reed Sheppard | Bench | 16:31 | 8 | 57.1 | 23.5 | -7.6 | 8.0 |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | Bench | 7:27 | 4 | 82.0 | 13.3 | -15.4 | 7.8 |
| Bruce Thornton | Bench | 1:42 | 2 | 100.0 | 33.3 | -66.7 | 28.6 |
| Steven Adams | Bench | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | Bench | 5:17 | 0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | +52.2 | 0.0 |
| Clint Capela | Bench | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jae'Sean Tate | Bench | 1:42 | 0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -66.7 | 0.0 |
| Isaiah Crawford | Bench | 2:03 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -100.0 | -12.5 |
🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines
| Player | Prop | Line | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun HOU | Points | 17.5 | 26 | Over |
| Rebounds | 8.5 | 7 | Under | |
| Assists | 5.5 | 10 | Over | |
| 3-pointers | 0.5 | 1 | Over | |
| Pts + Reb | 26.5 | 33 | Over | |
| Reb + Ast | 13.5 | 17 | Over | |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 31.5 | 43 | Over | |
| Jayson Tatum BOS | Points | 27.5 | 19 | Under |
| Rebounds | 7.5 | 6 | Under | |
| Assists | 6.5 | 9 | Over | |
| 3-pointers | 2.5 | 1 | Under | |
| Pts + Reb | 34.5 | 25 | Under | |
| Reb + Ast | 13.5 | 15 | Over | |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 41.5 | 34 | Under | |
| Neemias Queta BOS | Points | 8.5 | 16 | Over |
| Rebounds | 5.5 | 6 | Over | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. HOU | Points | 14.5 | 14 | Under |
| Rebounds | 5.5 | 10 | Over | |
| Assists | 1.5 | 0 | Under | |
| 3-pointers | 2.5 | 4 | Over | |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 22.5 | 24 | Over | |
| Amen Thompson HOU | Points | 15.5 | 14 | Under |
| Rebounds | 6.5 | 3 | Under | |
| Assists | 4.5 | 3 | Under | |
| Pts + Reb | 21.5 | 17 | Under | |
| Reb + Ast | 10.5 | 6 | Under | |
| Pts + Reb + Ast | 26.5 | 20 | Under | |
| Tari Eason HOU | Points | 9.5 | 13 | Over |
| Rebounds | 5.5 | 4 | Under | |
| 3-pointers | 1.5 | 3 | Over |
The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.
⚔️ Season Series & What's Next
- BOS 114@HOU 93 Recap
- HOU 128@BOS 101 Recap
- HOU 114@BOS 112 Recap
- BOS 109@HOU 86 Recap
- BOS 116@HOU 107 Recap
More NBA Results — Monday, November 2, 2026
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