NBA Final Intelligence

OKC 8-3
108 – 118
FINAL
POR 7-3

Oklahoma City Thunder 108, Portland Trail Blazers 118 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

The Portland Trail Blazers defeated the Oklahoma City Thunder 118-108, overcoming a pregame analytics model lean that favored Oklahoma City at 60 percent. The Thunder established an early edge in the first quarter, outscoring Portland 32-28 behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who finished with 31 points, four rebounds, and two assists on 9-of-20 shooting. Isaiah Hartenstein added 20 points, 11 rebounds, and six assists on 10-of-14 shooting for Oklahoma City, but Portland turned the tide before halftime.

In the second quarter, the Trail Blazers seized control by outscoring the Thunder 28-18 to take the lead. Deni Avdija paced Portland with 28 points, three rebounds, six assists, and four three-pointers on 9-of-20 shooting. Jrue Holiday and Sidy Cissoko each contributed 19 points for the Trail Blazers, with Holiday hitting five three-pointers and Cissoko draining four from deep.

Oklahoma City fought back in the third quarter with a 35-32 scoring advantage, but Portland sealed the victory with a 30-23 final period. Cissoko shot 6-of-9 overall to match Holiday's 19-point output, while Holiday also chipped in five assists and three rebounds. The Trail Blazers' perimeter shooting and middle quarters surge ultimately carried them past the Thunder despite Gilgeous-Alexander's game-high scoring effort.

#TrailBlazers #Thunder #NBA #Basketball

How the Prediction Fared

⚡ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Oklahoma City Thunder (60% confidence). It gave a 12% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 10 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · POR -2.5 POR covered Won by 10
Total · 224.5 Over 226 combined
Moneyline OKC +124 · POR -146 POR favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Spread (POR) +1.5-2.5 -4
Total 226.5224.5 -2
Moneyline (POR) +102-146 -248

Standouts

Top Scorer · OKC
31 PTS, 4 REB, 2 AST · 9-20 FG
Scoring · POR
28 PTS, 3 REB, 6 AST, 4 3PM · 9-20 FG
Scoring · OKC
20 PTS, 11 REB, 6 AST · 10-14 FG
Season highs
Isaiah Hartenstein · Season-high 20 pointsAlex Caruso · Season-high 4 threesSidy Cissoko · Season-high 4 threes

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

OKC 9 largest lead Q1 6:17 (OKC 23, POR 14) · 9-0 run, Q1 8:49–Q1 7:22
POR 12 largest lead Q3 10:22 (OKC 52, POR 64) · 13-0 run, Q2 3:50–Q2 1:13
Swings 11 lead changes Tied 5 times

Ahead for good: Sidy Cissoko makes free throw 1 of 2 (Q4 3:56, OKC 99, POR 100).

Clutch timeEvery score of the final five minutes
  • Q4 2:02 Damian Lillard makes 10-foot driving floating jump shotPOR · OKC 100, POR 108
  • Q4 1:46 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes free throw 1 of 2OKC · OKC 101, POR 108
  • Q4 1:46 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes free throw 2 of 2OKC · OKC 102, POR 108
  • Q4 1:26 Damian Lillard makes two point shotPOR · OKC 102, POR 110
  • Q4 1:19 Jared McCain makes 27-foot three point shotOKC · OKC 105, POR 110
  • Q4 1:00 Damian Lillard makes free throw 1 of 2POR · OKC 105, POR 111
  • Q4 1:00 Damian Lillard makes free throw 2 of 2POR · OKC 105, POR 112
  • Q4 0:50 Kenrich Williams makes free throw 2 of 2OKC · OKC 106, POR 112
  • Q4 0:47 Donovan Clingan makes dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)POR · OKC 106, POR 114
  • Q4 0:36 Deni Avdija makes running dunkPOR · OKC 106, POR 116
  • Q4 0:24 Isaiah Hartenstein makes dunkOKC · OKC 108, POR 116
  • Q4 0:18 Toumani Camara makes free throw 1 of 2POR · OKC 108, POR 117

Linescore

1234 T
OKC 32183523 108
POR 28283230 118

🧮 How They Scored

OKCPOR
Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor
48.3%Effective FG%57.4%
13.0%Turnover %16.3%
32.6%Offensive rebound %25.6%
0.318Free-throw rate0.321

Box Score

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G 3631421029-200-713-14-7
Isaiah Hartenstein F-C 342011620610-140-00-0-4
Aday Mara C 3211620124-80-03-4-6
Jared McCain G 3110631013-142-102-4-2
Alex Caruso G 2914723034-64-52-2-11
Kenrich Williams G-F 2611220103-102-53-4-6
Bennett Stirtz G 256113112-92-50-0-9
Nique Clifford G 165310002-51-30-0+3
Micah Peavy G-F 120300000-20-10-0-8

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Toumani Camara F 3814531205-102-52-2+9
Deni Avdija F 3528364259-204-136-6+10
Damian Lillard G 3218331025-142-106-6+16
Donovan Clingan C 3051221322-41-20-0+3
Jrue Holiday G 3019352035-125-84-4+16
Sidy Cissoko G 2919200026-94-73-4-11
Scoot Henderson G 195220022-71-30-0-3
Robert Williams III C-F 1810700113-40-04-4+7
Branden Carlson C 100200010-10-10-0+3

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series OKC 0 – 2 POR
Last 25 meetings · since 2020-21 OKC 20 – 5 POR
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Oklahoma City Thunder 8-4 L2 L10 6-4 Next game: @ LAC · Fri, Nov 13
Portland Trail Blazers 8-3 W2 L10 7-3 Next game: @ SAC · Fri, Nov 13

🔍 Key Suspects Results

4 of 8 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

OKC — Away
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G Reb+Ast 9.5 UNDER HIT Actual 6
Jared McCain Jared McCain G Threes 2.5 UNDER HIT Actual 2
Alex Caruso Alex Caruso G Reb+Ast 6.5 UNDER MISS Actual 9
POR — Home
Jrue Holiday Jrue Holiday G Assists 4.5 UNDER MISS Actual 5
Toumani Camara Toumani Camara F Rebounds 3.5 OVER HIT Actual 5
Sidy Cissoko Sidy Cissoko G Points 8.5 UNDER MISS Actual 19
Damian Lillard Damian Lillard G Points 19.5 UNDER HIT Actual 18
Donovan Clingan Donovan Clingan C Rebounds 10.5 UNDER MISS Actual 12

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