NBA Final Intelligence

UTA 1-11
118 – 125
FINAL
HOU 9-3

Utah Jazz 118, Houston Rockets 125 — Recap

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📰Game Recap

The Houston Rockets defeated the Utah Jazz 125-118, with SportsFBI's pregame model assigning an 89% probability to the Houston victory. Alperen Sengun led the Rockets with a dominant 43 points, 12 rebounds, and 5 assists on 17-of-24 shooting, including one three-pointer.

The game was tightly contested early as both teams played to a 27-27 tie in the first quarter. Houston created separation in the second frame by outscoring Utah 36-26 to take a lead into halftime.

Utah responded in the third quarter by posting 36 points to Houston's 29, narrowing the deficit. However, the Rockets secured the win by outscoring the Jazz 33-29 in the final period.

Aside from Sengun's standout performance, Kevin Durant added 22 points, 3 rebounds, and 6 assists for Houston. Darryn Peterson led Utah with 28 points, 7 rebounds, and 4 threes, Keyonte George contributed 27 points and 7 assists, and Airious Bailey added 21 points.

#Rockets #Jazz #NBA #AlperenSengun

How the Prediction Fared

✓ Model Hit

SportsFBI's model, locked before tip-off, favored the Houston Rockets (89% confidence). It gave a 35% chance of a 20+ point margin; the game was decided by 7 points.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Spread · HOU -15.5 UTA covered Won by 7
Total · 220.5 Over 243 combined
Moneyline UTA +830 · HOU -1400 HOU favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Spread (HOU) -17.5-15.5 +2
Total 218.5220.5 +2
Moneyline (HOU) -1500-1400 +100

Standouts

Top Scorer · HOU
43 PTS, 12 REB, 5 AST, 1 3PM · 17-24 FG
Scoring · UTA
28 PTS, 7 REB, 2 AST, 4 3PM · 9-20 FG
Scoring · UTA
27 PTS, 6 REB, 7 AST, 4 3PM · 8-17 FG
Season highs
Alperen Sengun · Season-high 43 pointsDarryn Peterson · Season-high 28 points

Every player's line is in the box score below; the play-by-play is available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.

📊 Game Flow

UTA 10 largest lead Q3 3:31 (UTA 87, HOU 77) · 11-0 run, Q3 7:06–Q3 5:35
HOU 12 largest lead Q3 11:10 (UTA 53, HOU 65) · 14-0 run, Q3 3:08–Q3 0:30
Swings 11 lead changes Tied 7 times

Ahead for good: Alperen Sengun makes tip shot (Q3 1:05, UTA 87, HOU 88).

Clutch timeEvery score of the final five minutes
  • Q4 4:48 Alperen Sengun makes layupHOU · UTA 110, HOU 113
  • Q4 4:29 Darryn Peterson makes free throw 1 of 2UTA · UTA 111, HOU 113
  • Q4 4:19 Darryn Peterson makes free throw 2 of 2UTA · UTA 112, HOU 113
  • Q4 4:19 Kevin Durant makes 23-foot three point jumper (Fred VanVleet assists)HOU · UTA 112, HOU 116
  • Q4 3:49 Alperen Sengun makes free throw 1 of 2HOU · UTA 112, HOU 117
  • Q4 3:00 Darryn Peterson makes 13-foot pullup jump shotUTA · UTA 116, HOU 117
  • Q4 2:23 Amen Thompson makes 2-foot layup (Kevin Durant assists)HOU · UTA 116, HOU 119
  • Q4 1:44 Alperen Sengun makes layupHOU · UTA 116, HOU 121
  • Q4 1:44 Mo Bamba makes layup (Brice Sensabaugh assists)UTA · UTA 118, HOU 121
  • Q4 0:37 Fred VanVleet makes 9-foot two point shotHOU · UTA 118, HOU 123
  • Q4 0:06 Kevin Durant makes free throw 1 of 2HOU · UTA 118, HOU 124
  • Q4 0:06 Kevin Durant makes free throw 2 of 2HOU · UTA 118, HOU 125

Linescore

1234 T
UTA 27263629 118
HOU 27362933 125

🧮 How They Scored

UTAHOU
Four factorsHighlighted side won the factor
54.5%Effective FG%53.8%
9.1%Turnover %7.0%
31.0%Offensive rebound %39.1%
0.292Free-throw rate0.374

Box Score

Utah Jazz

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Keyonte George G 3827671038-174-67-8+7
Airious Bailey F 3521310007-133-84-4+10
Darryn Peterson G 3428722129-204-116-7-7
Brice Sensabaugh F 277210023-101-50-0-8
Josh Okogie G 227211102-72-61-2+4
Mo Bamba C 209810214-60-11-2+4
Isaiah Collier G 163250021-41-20-0-12
Josh Green G 142000001-40-20-0-10
Jaxson Hayes C 1412510005-60-02-2-1
Tony Bradley C 130510000-10-00-0-5
Svi Mykhailiuk G 70100000-00-00-0-14
Kyle Filipowski C 22000001-10-00-1-3

Houston Rockets

Player MINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFT+/-
Amen Thompson G-F 41121030124-80-14-5+6
Alperen Sengun F-C 374312511117-241-38-12+7
Fred VanVleet G 3417230106-113-62-3+11
Kevin Durant F 3322360025-142-410-10-2
Tari Eason F 33141120016-132-50-0+10
Jabari Smith Jr. F 246300002-91-51-2-7
Reed Sheppard G 190031200-70-60-0+6
Bogdan Bogdanovic G 1211130113-43-42-2+3
Oscar Tshiebwe F-C 60500110-10-00-0+1

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series UTA 0 – 1 HOU
Last 22 meetings · since 2020-21 UTA 11 – 11 HOU
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Utah Jazz 1-12 L11 L10 0-10 Next game: vs SAS · Sun, Nov 15
Houston Rockets 10-3 W3 L10 7-3 Next game: @ WAS · Sun, Nov 15

🔍 Key Suspects Results

4 of 6 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

UTA — Away
Darryn Peterson G Threes 2 HIT Actual 4
Keyonte George Keyonte George G Threes 2.5 UNDER MISS Actual 4
Jaxson Hayes Jaxson Hayes C Assists 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 1
HOU — Home
Kevin Durant Kevin Durant F Reb+Ast 9.5 UNDER HIT Actual 9
Jabari Smith Jr. Jabari Smith Jr. F Pts+Reb 21.5 OVER MISS Actual 9
Tari Eason Tari Eason F Pts+Reb 15.5 OVER HIT Actual 25

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