Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Baltimore Ravens face Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 15 at Acrisure Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Baltimore Ravens enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 26.0 points scored and 22.0 allowed.
Pittsburgh Steelers enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.8 points scored and 21.3 allowed. Their current streak is 2 wins.
The scoring matchup puts Baltimore Ravens’s 26.0 points per game against a Pittsburgh Steelers defense allowing 21.3. In the other direction, Pittsburgh Steelers average 22.8 against Baltimore Ravens’s 22.0 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Baltimore Ravens have injury designations to monitor: Rashod Bateman (WR) — Questionable; Lamar Jackson (QB) — Questionable; Cam Jurgens (C) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Pittsburgh Steelers have injury designations to monitor: Ben Skowronek (WR) — Questionable; Brandin Echols (CB) — Questionable; DeShon Elliott (S) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Pittsburgh Steelers are Home field / environment; Game-script tendencies.
The strongest model adjustments toward Baltimore Ravens are Early-down efficiency; Starting QB efficiency.
The current model sees a closely balanced matchup with no strong projected edge.
- 🏈 Record: Baltimore Ravens 4-2
- 🏈 Record: Pittsburgh Steelers 4-2
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
BALA Early-down efficiency +1.1 Strong
42% / 45% allowed | 51% / 40% allowed
PITH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
PIT home field | PIT 63 days / BAL 63 days
BALA Starting QB efficiency +0.80 Moderate
Aaron Rodgers (2026) 61.4% CMP / 6.4 Y/A / 5.2% TD / 2.1% INT / 88.0 RATE · Lamar Jackson (2026) 70.8% CMP / 10.1 Y/A / 6.3% TD / 1.0% INT / 119.6 RATE
PITH Game-script tendencies +0.61 Strong
64% neutral pass / 60 plays | 47% / 58
BALA Explosive-play differential +0.56 Moderate
6% / 8% allowed | 7% / 6% allowed
PITH Recent form +0.45 Moderate
PIT W2 · BAL L1
PITH Pass defense +0.22 Weak
PIT 5.7 net Y/A / 61.7% CMP / 78.6 RATE | BAL 6.0 / 65.0% / 87.0
PITH Schedule strength +0.20 Moderate
PIT 46% opp wins · BAL 36%
BALA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.19 Weak
53% / 50% allowed | 71% / 58% allowed
BALA Third-down efficiency +0.10 Weak
59%/23%/32% | 56%/56%/21%
BALA Raw scoring differential +0.08 Weak
PIT 22.8 PPG · BAL 26.0 PPG | PIT 21.3 PA/G · BAL 22.0 PA/G
PITH OL vs DL matchup +0.07 Weak
PIT OL sack 7.5% / DEF sack 7.4% | BAL 7.7% / 7.1%
PITH Turnover differential +0.06 Weak
PIT 1.2 GIVE / 1.7 TAKE | BAL 0.7 / 1.0
PITH Run-game matchup +0.01 Weak
PIT 4.6 rush Y/A / 4.0 allowed | BAL 4.9 / 3.8 | PBP 77% stuff avoided | 78% stuff avoided
BALA Special teams efficiency +0.01 Weak
PIT FG 76.5% / NET PUNT 46.3 | BAL 76.9% / 44.5
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