Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Detroit Lions face Minnesota Vikings in Week 15 at U.S. Bank Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Detroit Lions enter with a 3-2 record across 5 completed games in this competition phase. They average 32.8 points scored and 29.6 allowed.
Minnesota Vikings enter with a 5-0 record across 5 completed games in this competition phase. They average 21.8 points scored and 12.8 allowed. Their current streak is 5 wins.
The scoring matchup puts Detroit Lions’s 32.8 points per game against a Minnesota Vikings defense allowing 12.8. In the other direction, Minnesota Vikings average 21.8 against Detroit Lions’s 29.6 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Detroit Lions have injury designations to monitor: Rock Ya-Sin (CB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Minnesota Vikings have injury designations to monitor: Jordan Addison (WR) — Questionable; Christian Darrisaw (OT) — Questionable; T.J. Hockenson (TE) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Minnesota Vikings are Home field / environment; Record quality.
The strongest model adjustments toward Detroit Lions are Starting QB efficiency; Game-script tendencies.
The current model leans toward MIN at 54.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Detroit Lions 3-2
- 🏈 Record: Minnesota Vikings 5-0
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
DETA Starting QB efficiency +1.0 Moderate
Kyler Murray (2026) 68.3% CMP / 6.6 Y/A / 2.0% TD / 2.0% INT / 84.7 RATE · Jared Goff (2026) 67.0% CMP / 7.8 Y/A / 6.3% TD / 0.0% INT / 111.3 RATE
MINH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
MIN home field | MIN 70 days / DET 70 days
MINH Record quality +0.80 Very Strong
MIN 5-0 · DET 3-2
MINH Pass defense +0.77 Moderate
MIN 5.0 net Y/A / 53.2% CMP / 62.9 RATE | DET 6.4 / 68.1% / 106.3
MINH Recent form +0.60 Strong
MIN W5 · DET W1
DETA Game-script tendencies +0.56 Strong
52% neutral pass / 58 plays | 58% / 63
MINH Third-down efficiency +0.46 Strong
MIN OFF 38.0% / DEF 22.2% | DET 37.3% / 50.7% | PBP 80%/48%/21% | 44%/63%/24%
DETA Early-down efficiency +0.32 Weak
33% / 34% allowed | 51% / 48% allowed
MINH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.30 Moderate
50% / 25% allowed | 77% / 76% allowed
DETA Run-game matchup +0.27 Weak
MIN 3.8 rush Y/A / 4.0 allowed | DET 4.4 / 4.2 | PBP 79% stuff avoided | 81% stuff avoided
DETA Schedule strength +0.24 Moderate
MIN 37% opp wins · DET 49%
DETA OL vs DL matchup +0.22 Weak
MIN OL sack 9.7% / DEF sack 9.8% | DET 5.4% / 8.6%
MINH Explosive-play differential +0.20 Weak
5% / 5% allowed | 6% / 8% allowed
MINH Turnover differential +0.11 Weak
MIN 0.8 GIVE / 2.0 TAKE | DET 0.2 / 1.0
MINH Raw scoring differential +0.09 Weak
MIN 21.8 PPG · DET 32.8 PPG | MIN 12.8 PA/G · DET 29.6 PA/G
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