Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Dallas Cowboys face Los Angeles Rams in Week 15 at SoFi Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Dallas Cowboys enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 25.2 points scored and 26.5 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
Los Angeles Rams enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.5 points scored and 23.0 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
The scoring matchup puts Dallas Cowboys’s 25.2 points per game against a Los Angeles Rams defense allowing 23.0. In the other direction, Los Angeles Rams average 22.5 against Dallas Cowboys’s 26.5 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Dallas Cowboys have injury designations to monitor: DeMarvion Overshown (LB) — Questionable; KaVontae Turpin (WR) — Questionable; Dee Winters (LB) — Doubtful. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Los Angeles Rams have injury designations to monitor: Trent McDuffie (CB) — Questionable; Justin Dedich (G) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Los Angeles Rams are Pass defense; Home field / environment.
The strongest model adjustments toward Dallas Cowboys are Game-script tendencies; Special teams efficiency.
The current model leans toward LAR at 59.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Dallas Cowboys 2-4
- 🏈 Record: Los Angeles Rams 2-4
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
LARH Pass defense +1.0 Strong
LAR 5.3 net Y/A / 57.5% CMP / 77.2 RATE | DAL 7.4 / 68.5% / 110.2
LARH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
LAR home field | LAR 63 days / DAL 63 days
LARH Explosive-play differential +0.93 Strong
6% / 4% allowed | 5% / 8% allowed
DALA Game-script tendencies +0.65 Strong
60% neutral pass / 65 plays | 62% / 60
LARH Run-game matchup +0.49 Moderate
LAR 4.6 rush Y/A / 4.4 allowed | DAL 3.7 / 4.7 | PBP 84% stuff avoided | 80% stuff avoided
LARH Schedule strength +0.36 Strong
LAR 63% opp wins · DAL 44%
LARH Third-down efficiency +0.35 Moderate
LAR OFF 44.0% / DEF 32.9% | DAL 47.2% / 54.7% | PBP 73%/38%/22% | 80%/44%/30%
LARH Early-down efficiency +0.34 Weak
51% / 44% allowed | 49% / 47% allowed
DALA Special teams efficiency +0.13 Weak
LAR FG 60.0% / NET PUNT 41.5 | DAL 75.0% / 44.1
LARH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.12 Weak
63% / 50% allowed | 77% / 71% allowed
DALA OL vs DL matchup +0.10 Weak
LAR OL sack 3.8% / DEF sack 4.2% | DAL 2.8% / 4.2%
LARH Starting QB efficiency +0.07 Weak
Matthew Stafford (2026) 65.9% CMP / 7.2 Y/A / 4.4% TD / 2.4% INT / 91.7 RATE · Dak Prescott (2026) 66.3% CMP / 6.7 Y/A / 4.1% TD / 2.0% INT / 90.1 RATE
DALA Raw scoring differential +0.02 Weak
LAR 22.5 PPG · DAL 25.2 PPG | LAR 23.0 PA/G · DAL 26.5 PA/G
LARH Turnover differential +0.01 Weak
LAR 1.5 GIVE / 1.0 TAKE | DAL 1.2 / 0.5
📄 More NFL Games — Sunday, December 20, 2026
See the Full Analysis
All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.