Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Denver Broncos face Las Vegas Raiders in Week 15 at Allegiant Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Denver Broncos enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 19.0 points scored and 20.8 allowed. Their current streak is 2 wins.
Las Vegas Raiders enter with a 3-3 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 27.0 points scored and 27.0 allowed. Their current streak is 3 losses.
The scoring matchup puts Denver Broncos’s 19.0 points per game against a Las Vegas Raiders defense allowing 27.0. In the other direction, Las Vegas Raiders average 27.0 against Denver Broncos’s 20.8 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Denver Broncos have injury designations to monitor: Tyler Badie (RB) — Questionable; Talanoa Hufanga (S) — Doubtful; Pat Surtain II (CB) — Doubtful. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Las Vegas Raiders have injury designations to monitor: Tonka Hemingway (DT) — Questionable; Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Las Vegas Raiders are Home field / environment; Starting QB efficiency.
The strongest model adjustments toward Denver Broncos are Pass defense; Recent form.
The current model sees a closely balanced matchup with no strong projected edge.
- 🏈 Record: Denver Broncos 4-2
- 🏈 Record: Las Vegas Raiders 3-3
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
LVH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
LV home field | LV 63 days / DEN 66 days
LVH Starting QB efficiency +0.87 Moderate
Kirk Cousins (2026) 63.4% CMP / 7.4 Y/A / 6.6% TD / 2.3% INT / 98.0 RATE · Bo Nix (2026) 60.3% CMP / 5.6 Y/A / 3.2% TD / 1.6% INT / 79.4 RATE
DENA Pass defense +0.79 Moderate
LV 6.8 net Y/A / 63.7% CMP / 101.8 RATE | DEN 5.3 / 56.5% / 73.1
DENA Recent form +0.75 Strong
LV L3 · DEN W2
LVH Game-script tendencies +0.42 Moderate
58% neutral pass / 62 plays | 57% / 55
DENA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.36 Moderate
57% / 74% allowed | 61% / 53% allowed
DENA Record quality +0.33 Moderate
LV 3-3 · DEN 4-2
LVH Third-down efficiency +0.24 Moderate
LV OFF 42.3% / DEF 41.3% | DEN 31.6% / 44.4% | PBP 60%/50%/33% | 59%/25%/21%
DENA Schedule strength +0.22 Moderate
LV 47% opp wins · DEN 58%
LVH Explosive-play differential +0.20 Weak
6% / 7% allowed | 3% / 6% allowed
LVH Special teams efficiency +0.18 Moderate
LV FG 93.3% / NET PUNT 46.8 | DEN 75.0% / 45.9
DENA Turnover differential +0.06 Weak
LV 1.3 GIVE / 1.7 TAKE | DEN 1.0 / 1.7
LVH Raw scoring differential +0.05 Weak
LV 27.0 PPG · DEN 19.0 PPG | LV 27.0 PA/G · DEN 20.8 PA/G
DENA Early-down efficiency +0.05 Weak
41% / 48% allowed | 36% / 42% allowed
DENA Run-game matchup +0.03 Weak
LV 3.0 rush Y/A / 4.9 allowed | DEN 3.4 / 4.7 | PBP 70% stuff avoided | 80% stuff avoided
DENA OL vs DL matchup +0.02 Weak
LV OL sack 3.5% / DEF sack 7.2% | DEN 4.1% / 7.7%
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