Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Los Angeles Rams face Arizona Cardinals in Week 10 at State Farm Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Los Angeles Rams enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.5 points scored and 23.0 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
Arizona Cardinals enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 21.0 points scored and 29.7 allowed.
The scoring matchup puts Los Angeles Rams’s 22.5 points per game against a Arizona Cardinals defense allowing 29.7. In the other direction, Arizona Cardinals average 21.0 against Los Angeles Rams’s 23.0 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Los Angeles Rams have injury designations to monitor: Trent McDuffie (CB) — Questionable; Justin Dedich (G) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Arizona Cardinals have injury designations to monitor: Andrew Wingard (S) — Questionable; Wydett Williams Jr. (S) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Arizona Cardinals are Home field / environment; Recent form.
The strongest model adjustments toward Los Angeles Rams are Explosive-play differential; Pass defense.
The current model leans toward LAR at 55.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Los Angeles Rams 2-4
- 🏈 Record: Arizona Cardinals 2-4
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
LARA Explosive-play differential +1.0 Very Strong
3% / 6% allowed | 6% / 4% allowed
ARIH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
ARI home field | ARI 28 days / LAR 28 days
LARA Pass defense +0.80 Moderate
ARI 7.4 net Y/A / 65.7% CMP / 116.5 RATE | LAR 5.3 / 57.5% / 77.2
LARA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.60 Very Strong
48% / 76% allowed | 63% / 50% allowed
LARA Run-game matchup +0.52 Moderate
ARI 3.7 rush Y/A / 4.4 allowed | LAR 4.6 / 4.4 | PBP 77% stuff avoided | 84% stuff avoided
ARIH Recent form +0.45 Moderate
ARI W1 · LAR L2
LARA Early-down efficiency +0.44 Weak
47% / 45% allowed | 51% / 44% allowed
ARIH Game-script tendencies +0.42 Moderate
56% neutral pass / 66 plays | 60% / 65
LARA Starting QB efficiency +0.36 Weak
Jacoby Brissett (2026) 66.7% CMP / 5.7 Y/A / 3.8% TD / 2.6% INT / 83.4 RATE · Matthew Stafford (2026) 65.9% CMP / 7.2 Y/A / 4.4% TD / 2.4% INT / 91.7 RATE
ARIH OL vs DL matchup +0.33 Weak
ARI OL sack 4.9% / DEF sack 7.5% | LAR 3.8% / 4.2%
LARA Third-down efficiency +0.28 Moderate
ARI OFF 39.3% / DEF 41.8% | LAR 44.0% / 32.9% | PBP 69%/42%/23% | 73%/38%/22%
LARA Schedule strength +0.24 Moderate
ARI 50% opp wins · LAR 63%
LARA Raw scoring differential +0.22 Weak
ARI 21.0 PPG · LAR 22.5 PPG | ARI 29.7 PA/G · LAR 23.0 PA/G
ARIH Special teams efficiency +0.17 Moderate
ARI FG 87.5% / NET PUNT 40.5 | LAR 60.0% / 41.5
ARIH Turnover differential +0.14 Weak
ARI 1.0 GIVE / 1.3 TAKE | LAR 1.5 / 1.0
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