Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
San Francisco 49ers face Dallas Cowboys in Week 10 at AT&T Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
San Francisco 49ers enter with a 6-0 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 29.5 points scored and 18.3 allowed. Their current streak is 6 wins.
Dallas Cowboys enter with a 2-4 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 25.2 points scored and 26.5 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
The scoring matchup puts San Francisco 49ers’s 29.5 points per game against a Dallas Cowboys defense allowing 26.5. In the other direction, Dallas Cowboys average 25.2 against San Francisco 49ers’s 18.3 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
San Francisco 49ers have injury designations to monitor: Nick Bosa (DE) — Questionable; Mike Evans (WR) — Questionable; Marques Sigle (S) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Dallas Cowboys have injury designations to monitor: DeMarvion Overshown (LB) — Questionable; KaVontae Turpin (WR) — Questionable; Dee Winters (LB) — Doubtful. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Dallas Cowboys are Home field / environment; Game-script tendencies.
The strongest model adjustments toward San Francisco 49ers are Starting QB efficiency; Explosive-play differential.
The current model leans toward SF at 61.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: San Francisco 49ers 6-0
- 🏈 Record: Dallas Cowboys 2-4
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
SFA Starting QB efficiency +1.4 Strong
Dak Prescott (2026) 66.3% CMP / 6.7 Y/A / 4.1% TD / 2.0% INT / 90.1 RATE · Brock Purdy (2026) 69.6% CMP / 8.5 Y/A / 8.2% TD / 1.2% INT / 118.1 RATE
SFA Explosive-play differential +1.1 Very Strong
5% / 8% allowed | 6% / 4% allowed
SFA Record quality +1.0 Very Strong
DAL 2-4 · SF 6-0
SFA Recent form +1.0 Very Strong
DAL L2 · SF W6
DALH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
DAL home field | DAL 28 days / SF 27 days
SFA Pass defense +0.75 Moderate
DAL 7.4 net Y/A / 68.5% CMP / 110.2 RATE | SF 5.5 / 65.9% / 88.4
DALH Game-script tendencies +0.71 Strong
62% neutral pass / 60 plays | 56% / 57
SFA Run-game matchup +0.61 Moderate
DAL 3.7 rush Y/A / 4.7 allowed | SF 4.6 / 3.6 | PBP 80% stuff avoided | 84% stuff avoided
DALH Key injury availability +0.50 Weak
DAL 0 unavailable starters · SF 1
SFA Early-down efficiency +0.39 Weak
49% / 47% allowed | 52% / 41% allowed
SFA Raw scoring differential +0.35 Moderate
DAL 25.2 PPG · SF 29.5 PPG | DAL 26.5 PA/G · SF 18.3 PA/G
SFA Red-zone TD efficiency +0.27 Moderate
77% / 71% allowed | 90% / 50% allowed
SFA Third-down efficiency +0.26 Moderate
DAL OFF 47.2% / DEF 54.7% | SF 51.5% / 38.6% | PBP 80%/44%/30% | 64%/45%/40%
SFA OL vs DL matchup +0.21 Weak
DAL OL sack 2.8% / DEF sack 4.2% | SF 2.8% / 6.6%
DALH Schedule strength +0.19 Moderate
DAL 44% opp wins · SF 35%
SFA Turnover differential +0.12 Weak
DAL 1.2 GIVE / 0.5 TAKE | SF 1.0 / 1.2
DALH Special teams efficiency +0.02 Weak
DAL FG 75.0% / NET PUNT 44.1 | SF 66.7% / 45.5
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