Sam Darnold Sam Darnold
Kirk Cousins Kirk Cousins
SEA 4:05 PM ET LV

NFL Β· MATCHUP INTELLIGENCE

November 15, 2026 Β· 4:05 PM ET

Seahawks vs Raiders

Allegiant Stadium

SEA 3-3 Β· LV 3-3

β€Ή β€Ί

Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis

Seattle Seahawks face Las Vegas Raiders in Week 10 at Allegiant Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.

Seattle Seahawks enter with a 3-3 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 24.7 points scored and 20.3 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.

Las Vegas Raiders enter with a 3-3 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 27.0 points scored and 27.0 allowed. Their current streak is 3 losses.

The scoring matchup puts Seattle Seahawks’s 24.7 points per game against a Las Vegas Raiders defense allowing 27.0. In the other direction, Las Vegas Raiders average 27.0 against Seattle Seahawks’s 20.3 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.

Seattle Seahawks have injury designations to monitor: Drake Thomas (LB) β€” Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.

Las Vegas Raiders have injury designations to monitor: Tonka Hemingway (DT) β€” Questionable; Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) β€” IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.

The strongest model adjustments toward Las Vegas Raiders are Home field / environment; Starting QB efficiency.

The strongest model adjustments toward Seattle Seahawks are Early-down efficiency; Explosive-play differential.

The current model leans toward SEA at 53.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.

  • 🏈 Record: Seattle Seahawks 3-3
  • 🏈 Record: Las Vegas Raiders 3-3

Automated analysis β€” full AI preview generates about an hour before kickoff.

SportsFBI Model

Projects Seattle Seahawks to win β€” 53% confidence

βš–οΈ Game Edges

Key factors driving this matchup

SEAA Early-down efficiency +1.2 Strong

41% / 48% allowed | 44% / 37% allowed

LVH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate

LV home field | LV 28 days / SEA 31 days

LVH Starting QB efficiency +0.84 Moderate

Kirk Cousins (2026) 63.4% CMP / 7.4 Y/A / 6.6% TD / 2.3% INT / 98.0 RATE Β· Sam Darnold (2026) 60.4% CMP / 6.9 Y/A / 4.7% TD / 4.7% INT / 77.4 RATE

SEAA Explosive-play differential +0.77 Strong

6% / 7% allowed | 6% / 3% allowed

SEAA Pass defense +0.76 Moderate

LV 6.8 net Y/A / 63.7% CMP / 101.8 RATE | SEA 4.3 / 63.3% / 75.3

SEAA Run-game matchup +0.62 Moderate

LV 3.0 rush Y/A / 4.9 allowed | SEA 3.9 / 3.5 | PBP 70% stuff avoided | 80% stuff avoided

LVH OL vs DL matchup +0.29 Weak

LV OL sack 3.5% / DEF sack 7.2% | SEA 7.5% / 8.2%

SEAA Third-down efficiency +0.21 Weak

LV OFF 42.3% / DEF 41.3% | SEA 32.4% / 28.0% | PBP 60%/50%/33% | 53%/53%/19%

LVH Special teams efficiency +0.16 Moderate

LV FG 93.3% / NET PUNT 46.8 | SEA 92.3% / 43.2

SEAA Recent form +0.15 Weak

LV L3 Β· SEA L2

SEAA Raw scoring differential +0.13 Weak

LV 27.0 PPG Β· SEA 24.7 PPG | LV 27.0 PA/G Β· SEA 20.3 PA/G

LVH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.12 Weak

57% / 74% allowed | 52% / 79% allowed

LVH Turnover differential +0.04 Weak

LV 1.3 GIVE / 1.7 TAKE | SEA 2.0 / 1.8

SEAA Schedule strength +0.03 Weak

LV 47% opp wins Β· SEA 49%

SEAA Game-script tendencies +0.03 Weak

58% neutral pass / 62 plays | 52% / 58

See the Full Analysis

All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges β€” available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.