Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Seattle Seahawks face Las Vegas Raiders in Week 10 at Allegiant Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Seattle Seahawks enter with a 3-3 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 24.7 points scored and 20.3 allowed. Their current streak is 2 losses.
Las Vegas Raiders enter with a 3-3 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 27.0 points scored and 27.0 allowed. Their current streak is 3 losses.
The scoring matchup puts Seattle Seahawksβs 24.7 points per game against a Las Vegas Raiders defense allowing 27.0. In the other direction, Las Vegas Raiders average 27.0 against Seattle Seahawksβs 20.3 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Seattle Seahawks have injury designations to monitor: Drake Thomas (LB) β Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Las Vegas Raiders have injury designations to monitor: Tonka Hemingway (DT) β Questionable; Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) β IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Las Vegas Raiders are Home field / environment; Starting QB efficiency.
The strongest model adjustments toward Seattle Seahawks are Early-down efficiency; Explosive-play differential.
The current model leans toward SEA at 53.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- π Record: Seattle Seahawks 3-3
- π Record: Las Vegas Raiders 3-3
SportsFBI Model
βοΈ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
SEAA Early-down efficiency +1.2 Strong
41% / 48% allowed | 44% / 37% allowed
LVH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
LV home field | LV 28 days / SEA 31 days
LVH Starting QB efficiency +0.84 Moderate
Kirk Cousins (2026) 63.4% CMP / 7.4 Y/A / 6.6% TD / 2.3% INT / 98.0 RATE Β· Sam Darnold (2026) 60.4% CMP / 6.9 Y/A / 4.7% TD / 4.7% INT / 77.4 RATE
SEAA Explosive-play differential +0.77 Strong
6% / 7% allowed | 6% / 3% allowed
SEAA Pass defense +0.76 Moderate
LV 6.8 net Y/A / 63.7% CMP / 101.8 RATE | SEA 4.3 / 63.3% / 75.3
SEAA Run-game matchup +0.62 Moderate
LV 3.0 rush Y/A / 4.9 allowed | SEA 3.9 / 3.5 | PBP 70% stuff avoided | 80% stuff avoided
LVH OL vs DL matchup +0.29 Weak
LV OL sack 3.5% / DEF sack 7.2% | SEA 7.5% / 8.2%
SEAA Third-down efficiency +0.21 Weak
LV OFF 42.3% / DEF 41.3% | SEA 32.4% / 28.0% | PBP 60%/50%/33% | 53%/53%/19%
LVH Special teams efficiency +0.16 Moderate
LV FG 93.3% / NET PUNT 46.8 | SEA 92.3% / 43.2
SEAA Recent form +0.15 Weak
LV L3 Β· SEA L2
SEAA Raw scoring differential +0.13 Weak
LV 27.0 PPG Β· SEA 24.7 PPG | LV 27.0 PA/G Β· SEA 20.3 PA/G
LVH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.12 Weak
57% / 74% allowed | 52% / 79% allowed
LVH Turnover differential +0.04 Weak
LV 1.3 GIVE / 1.7 TAKE | SEA 2.0 / 1.8
SEAA Schedule strength +0.03 Weak
LV 47% opp wins Β· SEA 49%
SEAA Game-script tendencies +0.03 Weak
58% neutral pass / 62 plays | 52% / 58
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