Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Pittsburgh Steelers face Cincinnati Bengals in Week 10 at Paycor Stadium. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Pittsburgh Steelers enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 22.8 points scored and 21.3 allowed. Their current streak is 2 wins.
Cincinnati Bengals enter with a 3-2 record across 5 completed games in this competition phase. They average 25.6 points scored and 21.8 allowed.
The scoring matchup puts Pittsburgh Steelers’s 22.8 points per game against a Cincinnati Bengals defense allowing 21.8. In the other direction, Cincinnati Bengals average 25.6 against Pittsburgh Steelers’s 21.3 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Pittsburgh Steelers have injury designations to monitor: Ben Skowronek (WR) — Questionable; Brandin Echols (CB) — Questionable; DeShon Elliott (S) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Cincinnati Bengals have injury designations to monitor: Colbie Young (WR) — Questionable; Kyle Dugger (S) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Cincinnati Bengals are Starting QB efficiency; Home field / environment.
The strongest model adjustments toward Pittsburgh Steelers are Run-game matchup; Explosive-play differential.
The current model leans toward CIN at 56.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Pittsburgh Steelers 4-2
- 🏈 Record: Cincinnati Bengals 3-2
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
CINH Starting QB efficiency +1.2 Moderate
Joe Burrow (2026) 71.4% CMP / 7.2 Y/A / 5.8% TD / 1.6% INT / 104.4 RATE · Aaron Rodgers (2026) 61.4% CMP / 6.4 Y/A / 5.2% TD / 2.1% INT / 88.0 RATE
CINH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
CIN home field | CIN 35 days / PIT 28 days
CINH OL vs DL matchup +0.50 Moderate
CIN OL sack 4.5% / DEF sack 9.2% | PIT 7.5% / 7.4%
CINH Early-down efficiency +0.40 Weak
45% / 45% allowed | 42% / 45% allowed
PITA Run-game matchup +0.32 Weak
CIN 3.6 rush Y/A / 5.0 allowed | PIT 4.6 / 4.0 | PBP 81% stuff avoided | 77% stuff avoided
PITA Explosive-play differential +0.20 Weak
5% / 8% allowed | 6% / 8% allowed
PITA Schedule strength +0.19 Moderate
CIN 37% opp wins · PIT 46%
CINH Game-script tendencies +0.19 Weak
61% neutral pass / 60 plays | 64% / 60
PITA Recent form +0.15 Weak
CIN W1 · PIT W2
PITA Record quality +0.13 Weak
CIN 3-2 · PIT 4-2
CINH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.12 Weak
53% / 41% allowed | 53% / 50% allowed
CINH Raw scoring differential +0.06 Weak
CIN 25.6 PPG · PIT 22.8 PPG | CIN 21.8 PA/G · PIT 21.3 PA/G
CINH Special teams efficiency +0.06 Weak
CIN FG 100.0% / NET PUNT 39.8 | PIT 76.5% / 46.3
PITA Pass defense +0.05 Weak
CIN 6.0 net Y/A / 62.5% CMP / 87.0 RATE | PIT 5.7 / 61.7% / 78.6
PITA Turnover differential +0.03 Weak
CIN 1.2 GIVE / 1.6 TAKE | PIT 1.2 / 1.7
📄 More NFL Games — Sunday, November 15, 2026
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