Matchup Analysis Automated Analysis
Las Vegas Raiders face Cleveland Browns in Week 12 at Huntington Bank Field. This early analysis uses the available pregame data; injury reports and market prices can still change before kickoff.
Las Vegas Raiders enter with a 3-3 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 27.0 points scored and 27.0 allowed. Their current streak is 3 losses.
Cleveland Browns enter with a 4-2 record across 6 completed games in this competition phase. They average 17.7 points scored and 20.3 allowed.
The scoring matchup puts Las Vegas Raiders’s 27.0 points per game against a Cleveland Browns defense allowing 20.3. In the other direction, Cleveland Browns average 17.7 against Las Vegas Raiders’s 27.0 allowed. These season averages provide a broad view of offensive production and defensive results; they do not adjust for opponent strength or establish a specific passing or rushing advantage.
Las Vegas Raiders have injury designations to monitor: Tonka Hemingway (DT) — Questionable; Dont'e Thornton Jr. (WR) — IR-R. These designations do not confirm who will start.
Cleveland Browns have injury designations to monitor: Grant Delpit (S) — Questionable; Mason Graham (DT) — Questionable; Quinshon Judkins (RB) — Questionable. These designations do not confirm who will start.
The strongest model adjustments toward Cleveland Browns are Home field / environment; Pass defense.
The strongest model adjustments toward Las Vegas Raiders are Game-script tendencies; OL vs DL matchup.
The current model leans toward CLE at 54.0% estimated win probability. This is a provisional model estimate, not a calibrated guarantee.
- 🏈 Record: Las Vegas Raiders 3-3
- 🏈 Record: Cleveland Browns 4-2
SportsFBI Model
⚖️ Game Edges
Key factors driving this matchup
CLEH Home field / environment +1.0 Moderate
CLE home field | CLE 42 days / LV 42 days
LVA Game-script tendencies +0.71 Strong
52% neutral pass / 54 plays | 58% / 62
CLEH Pass defense +0.63 Moderate
CLE 5.5 net Y/A / 59.7% CMP / 89.1 RATE | LV 6.8 / 63.7% / 101.8
CLEH Recent form +0.60 Strong
CLE W1 · LV L3
LVA OL vs DL matchup +0.51 Moderate
CLE OL sack 12.1% / DEF sack 8.4% | LV 3.5% / 7.2%
CLEH Record quality +0.33 Moderate
CLE 4-2 · LV 3-3
CLEH Run-game matchup +0.31 Weak
CLE 3.6 rush Y/A / 4.4 allowed | LV 3.0 / 4.9 | PBP 79% stuff avoided | 70% stuff avoided
CLEH Early-down efficiency +0.29 Weak
40% / 43% allowed | 41% / 48% allowed
CLEH Red-zone TD efficiency +0.27 Moderate
46% / 44% allowed | 57% / 74% allowed
LVA Starting QB efficiency +0.22 Weak
Deshaun Watson (2026) 63.8% CMP / 6.7 Y/A / 4.0% TD / 1.1% INT / 92.0 RATE · Kirk Cousins (2026) 63.4% CMP / 7.4 Y/A / 6.6% TD / 2.3% INT / 98.0 RATE
LVA Third-down efficiency +0.11 Weak
CLE OFF 30.8% / DEF 39.1% | LV 42.3% / 41.3% | PBP 73%/43%/13% | 60%/50%/33%
CLEH Schedule strength +0.09 Weak
CLE 52% opp wins · LV 47%
LVA Turnover differential +0.08 Weak
CLE 1.2 GIVE / 1.2 TAKE | LV 1.3 / 1.7
LVA Special teams efficiency +0.06 Weak
CLE FG 92.3% / NET PUNT 46.4 | LV 93.3% / 46.8
LVA Raw scoring differential +0.05 Weak
CLE 17.7 PPG · LV 27.0 PPG | CLE 20.3 PA/G · LV 27.0 PA/G
CLEH Explosive-play differential +0.04 Weak
6% / 6% allowed | 6% / 7% allowed
📄 More NFL Games — Sunday, November 29, 2026
See the Full Analysis
All Key Suspects with verdict breakdowns, matchup conditions, sharp money signals, live lineup tracking, and player prop edges — available in the BlowOutAlert workspace.