NHL Final Intelligence

CAR 8-2-1
5 – 6
FINAL/SO
EDM 7-1-1

Carolina Hurricanes 5, Edmonton Oilers 6 (SO) — Recap

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📰Game Recap

Edmonton, Alberta — The Edmonton Oilers rallied from a two-goal deficit in the third period to defeat the Carolina Hurricanes 6-5 in a shootout on Saturday. The Hurricanes had built a comfortable lead, but a late surge by Edmonton’s top offensive players forced extra time before the Oilers secured their seventh win of the season.

The game began with Leon Draisaitl putting the Oilers on the scoreboard at 8:07 of the first period, assisted by Evan Bouchard and Connor McDavid. Carolina quickly responded, with Jackson Blake tying the game at 10:30, assisted by Shayne Gostisbehere and Sebastian Aho. The Hurricanes took control in the second period, starting with Sebastian Aho's goal 30 seconds into the frame. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins briefly leveled the score for Edmonton at 4:20, but Carolina reeled off two more goals from Seth Jarvis at 12:59 and Logan Stankoven at 17:53, taking a 4-2 lead into the final period. Carolina outshot Edmonton 27-21 in the contest.

Edmonton mounted its comeback with two quick goals to open the third period. Connor McDavid scored at 26 seconds, followed by Leon Draisaitl’s second goal of the night at 2:51, tying the game at 4-4. Both goals featured assists from McDavid and Draisaitl, who each finished the night with two goals and three assists. Carolina briefly regained the lead at 17:20 when Juuso Välimäki found the back of the net. However, McDavid scored his second goal with 1:28 left in regulation, again assisted by Draisaitl, to tie the game at 5-5 and send it to overtime.

The scoreless overtime period led to a shootout, which the Oilers won. Brandon Bussi made 16 saves on 21 shots for Carolina, while Devon Levi stopped 22 of 27 shots for Edmonton to earn the win. Following the game, Edmonton improved to 7-1-1, and Carolina's record moved to 8-2-1. SportsFBI's pregame model, which leaned Carolina at 57%, missed its prediction.

#Oilers #Hurricanes #NHLRecap #ShootoutVictory

How the Prediction Fared

⚡ Upset

Before puck drop, DraftKings favored the Carolina Hurricanes (-135, 57% implied) over the Edmonton Oilers. The underdog won.

⚡ Model Missed

SportsFBI's model, locked before puck drop, favored the Carolina Hurricanes (57% confidence). It gave a 33% chance of a 3+ goal margin; the game was decided by 1 goal.

💵 Betting Result FanDuel closing line

Puck line · CAR -1.5 EDM covered Won by 1
Total · 6.5 Over 11 combined
Moneyline CAR -134 · EDM +112 CAR favored
Line movementOpening line → close
Puck line (EDM) -1.5+1.5 +3
Total 6.56.5 No move
Moneyline (EDM) -110+112 +222

Standouts

Top Scorer · EDM
2 G, 3 A, 5 PTS, 4 SOG · 24:25 TOI
Goals · EDM
2 G, 3 A, 5 PTS, 3 SOG · 25:02 TOI
Goaltending · EDM
22 saves on 27 shots (.815) · W
Season highs
Leon Draisaitl · Season-high 5 points

Every skater's and goalie's line is in the box score below.

📊 Game Flow

CAR 2 largest lead P2 17:53 (CAR 4, EDM 2) · 2-0 run, P1 10:30–P2 0:30
EDM 1 largest lead P1 8:07 (CAR 0, EDM 1) · 2-0 run, P3 0:26–P3 2:51
Swings 1 lead changes Tied 4 times
Scoring summary
  • P1 8:07 Leon Draisaitl (Evan Bouchard, Connor McDavid) EDM · Power play · tip-in shot · CAR 0, EDM 1
  • P1 10:30 Jackson Blake (Shayne Gostisbehere, Sebastian Aho) CAR · Power play · wrist shot · CAR 1, EDM 1
  • P2 0:30 Sebastian Aho (William Carrier) CAR · backhand shot · CAR 2, EDM 1
  • P2 4:20 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl) EDM · Power play · wrist shot · CAR 2, EDM 2
  • P2 12:59 Seth Jarvis (Jordan Martinook) CAR · wrist shot · CAR 3, EDM 2
  • P2 17:53 Logan Stankoven (Nikolaj Ehlers) CAR · wrist shot · CAR 4, EDM 2
  • P3 0:26 Connor McDavid (Leon Draisaitl, Jake Walman) EDM · snap shot · CAR 4, EDM 3
  • P3 2:51 Leon Draisaitl (Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Connor McDavid) EDM · Power play · wrist shot · CAR 4, EDM 4
  • P3 17:20 Juuso Välimäki (Jordan Martinook, Shayne Gostisbehere) CAR · snap shot · CAR 5, EDM 4
  • P3 18:32 Connor McDavid (Leon Draisaitl) EDM · Power play · deflected shot · CAR 5, EDM 5

Linescore

123OT SO T
CAR 1310 0 5
EDM 1130 1 6

Shots on goal: CAR 27, EDM 21 · The shootout winner is credited with one goal in the final score.

📋 Team Stats

CAREDM
27Shots on goal21
61Shot attempts53
32Faceoff wins29
30Hits17
14Blocked shots12
1Power-play goals3
8Takeaways4
20Giveaways20
8Penalty minutes4
76.2%Save %81.5%
Shots on goal by period
TeamP1P2P3OTTotal
CAR7810227
EDM4511121

🎯 Shot Map

Carolina Hurricanes5 G · 42 attempts
Jackson Blake: saved (tip-in)Logan Stankoven: missed the netNikolaj Ehlers: saved (wrist)Sean Walker: missed the netJackson Blake: saved (backhand)Sebastian Aho: saved (wrist)Shayne Gostisbehere: saved (slap)Jackson Blake: goal (wrist)Andrei Svechnikov: saved (wrist)Nikolaj Ehlers: missed the netSebastian Aho: goal (backhand)K'Andre Miller: missed the netSkyler Brind'Amour: missed the netK'Andre Miller: missed the netSebastian Aho: missed the netSean Walker: saved (slap)Nicolas Deslauriers: missed the netJalen Chatfield: missed the netJaccob Slavin: saved (snap)Jordan Martinook: missed the netSeth Jarvis: goal (wrist)Logan Stankoven: saved (snap)Nicolas Deslauriers: missed the netSeth Jarvis: saved (snap)Sean Walker: saved (snap)Logan Stankoven: goal (wrist)Skyler Brind'Amour: missed the netSean Walker: saved (snap)Logan Stankoven: saved (snap)Logan Stankoven: missed the netEric Robinson: missed the netEric Robinson: saved (snap)Eric Robinson: saved (snap)Jackson Blake: saved (tip-in)Sean Walker: saved (snap)Logan Stankoven: saved (snap)Seth Jarvis: saved (deflected)Juuso Välimäki: goal (snap)Andrei Svechnikov: missed the netSebastian Aho: saved (slap)Logan Stankoven: saved (backhand)Sean Walker: saved (snap)
  • 5Goals12% of attempts
  • 22Saved52% of attempts
  • 15Missed the net36% of attempts
Edmonton Oilers5 G · 38 attempts
Leon Draisaitl: saved (backhand)Vasily Podkolzin: saved (backhand)Leon Draisaitl: missed the netZach Hyman: missed the netMattias Ekholm: missed the netLeon Draisaitl: goal (tip-in)Vasily Podkolzin: missed the netKasperi Kapanen: saved (snap)Evan Bouchard: missed the netRyan Nugent-Hopkins: goal (wrist)Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: saved (wrist)Leon Draisaitl: missed the netRyan Nugent-Hopkins: saved (wrist)Kasperi Kapanen: saved (backhand)Alex Formenton: missed the netOwen Michaels: missed the netColton Dach: missed the netTrent Frederic: missed the netTrent Frederic: saved (wrist)Mattias Ekholm: missed the netConnor McDavid: goal (snap)Leon Draisaitl: goal (wrist)Kasperi Kapanen: saved (wrist)Ryan Shea: missed the netVasily Podkolzin: saved (tip-in)Leon Draisaitl: saved (wrist)Jake Walman: missed the netRyan Nugent-Hopkins: saved (tip-in)Zach Hyman: saved (tip-in)Connor McDavid: missed the netConnor McDavid: saved (wrist)Ryan Nugent-Hopkins: missed the netRyan Nugent-Hopkins: missed the netVasily Podkolzin: saved (tip-in)Mathieu Joseph: saved (wrist)Ryan Shea: missed the netConnor McDavid: goal (deflected)Zach Hyman: saved (wrist)
  • 5Goals13% of attempts
  • 16Saved42% of attempts
  • 17Missed the net45% of attempts

● goal (large) · ● saved · ✕ missed the net; blocked shots are not located. Each team attacks to the right.

🏒 Box Score

CAR skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Sebastian Aho C 112033022:06
Shayne Gostisbehere D 022+212115:25
Jordan Martinook L 022+104015:07
Logan Stankoven C 101+151118:13
Jackson Blake R 101+140017:36
Seth Jarvis R 101+134015:15
Juuso Välimäki D 101+310014:17
William Carrier L 011005117:27
Nikolaj Ehlers L 011+110017:04
Jaccob Slavin D 000-110325:49
K'Andre Miller D 000001024:21
Sean Walker D 000+152123:45
Jalen Chatfield D 000-102322:07
Andrei Svechnikov R 000012018:47
Jesperi Kotkaniemi C 000+100113:34
Eric Robinson L 000020011:22
Nicolas Deslauriers L 000002309:38
Skyler Brind'Amour C 000002008:10
CAR goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Brandon Bussi O 162176.2565:00
EDM skatersG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerPosGAP+/-SOGHITBLKTOI
Connor McDavid C 235+131025:02
Leon Draisaitl C 235+141024:25
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C 112040120:58
Evan Bouchard D 011000229:59
Jake Walman D 011-200115:19
Ryan Shea D 000+100228:45
Connor Murphy D 000-101222:21
Zach Hyman L 000020020:31
Kasperi Kapanen R 000-131020:06
Vasily Podkolzin R 000034118:05
Mattias Ekholm D 000-100014:16
Owen Michaels R 000-201112:08
Mathieu Joseph R 000-210011:33
Colton Dach C 000-104011:17
Alex Formenton L 000-101010:17
Isaac Howard L 000000110:07
Ty Emberson D 000-101110:05
Trent Frederic C 000012008:28
EDM goaliesG goals · A assists · P points · SOG shots on goal · TOI time on ice
PlayerDecSVSASV%GATOI
Devon Levi W 222781.5564:12

🎟️ Player Props Results Consensus lines

PlayerPropLineActualResult
Connor McDavid EDM Points1.55 Over
Assists0.53 Over
Goals0.52 Over
Shots on goal2.53 Over
Leon Draisaitl EDM Points1.55 Over
Assists0.53 Over
Goals0.52 Over
Shots on goal2.54 Over
Sebastian Aho CAR Points0.52 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Goals0.51 Over
Shots on goal2.53 Over
Shayne Gostisbehere CAR Points0.52 Over
Assists0.52 Over
Shots on goal1.51 Under
Jordan Martinook CAR Points0.52 Over
Assists0.52 Over
Shots on goal1.50 Under
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins EDM Points0.52 Over
Assists0.51 Over
Shots on goal1.54 Over

The last pregame line, graded against the final box score.

⚔️ Season Series & What's Next

2026-27 season series CAR 0 – 1 EDM
Last 3 meetings · since 2025-26 CAR 1 – 2 EDM
Previous meetingsOpen the recap
After this game
Carolina Hurricanes 8-2-2 L1 L10 8-1-1 Next game recap: @ STL · Sat, Oct 24
Edmonton Oilers 8-1-1 W3 L10 8-1-1 Next game recap: vs TOR · Sat, Oct 24

🔍 Key Suspects Results

8 of 13 graded picks hit. Pushes and voided picks are not counted.

CAR — Away
Jackson Blake Jackson Blake RW Shots on Goal · DraftKings 2+ MILESTONE HIT Actual 4
Shayne Gostisbehere Shayne Gostisbehere D Assists · BetMGM 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
William Carrier William Carrier LW Shots on Goal · DraftKings 4+ MILESTONE MISS Actual 0
Andrei Svechnikov Andrei Svechnikov RW Assists · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Logan Stankoven Logan Stankoven C Shots on Goal · DraftKings 4+ MILESTONE HIT Actual 5
Sebastian Aho Sebastian Aho C Points · DraftKings 1.5 UNDER MISS Actual 2
EDM — Home
Vasily Podkolzin Vasily Podkolzin RW Points · DraftKings 0.5 OVER MISS Actual 0
Mattias Ekholm Mattias Ekholm D Shots on Goal · DraftKings 1.5 UNDER HIT Actual 0
Connor McDavid Connor McDavid C Assists · FanDuel 2+ MILESTONE HIT Actual 3
Evan Bouchard Evan Bouchard D Assists · BetMGM 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 1
Zach Hyman Zach Hyman LW Shots on Goal · DraftKings 2.5 UNDER HIT Actual 2
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C Assists · DraftKings 0.5 UNDER MISS Actual 1
Leon Draisaitl Leon Draisaitl C Goals · FanDuel 0.5 OVER HIT Actual 2

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